Financial Review

Consuming Oxygen

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-10-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..Comey firing offers minor distraction on Wall Street. IMF concerned about growing corporate debt, warns of swift repricing. Senate sticks with limits on methane emissions. Oil prices pop on lower inventories. Aetna exits ACA exchanges. Tesla launches Solar Roofs. Sears’ Lampert confirms he is clueless. Snap snapped. Whole Foods reshuffled. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-10-2017

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Let’s All Go to the Movies

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-24-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..S&P and Nasdaq hit records. TPP dead. Keystone and DAP revived. Breakfast with Big 3. South China Sea simmers. UK loses Article 50 case. Aetna-Humana and a big threat. Earnings season in full bloom (or bust, depending.) Home resales dry up in December. It’s a La La Land world we live in. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-24-2017

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Year of the Rooster

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-23-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..TPP axed. Baseline 25 million jobs and 4% GDP. Emoluments matter. Foxconn TVs in USA. Kroger to add jobs. IBM to add jobs – after firing workers. Yahoo under SEC investigation. McDonald’s post-breakfast come down. Halliburton reports mixed earnings. OPEC cuts as expected. Everett Washington sues Purdue Pharma for OxyContin epidemic. United grounded. Hong Kong most expensive. South Korea most innovative. Happy Year of the Rooster. Tax season starts. Have a cookie. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-23-2017

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Transitioning

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-10-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..Dow hits a record high close. Treasuries flop. Trump and Obama meet for transition. A few protests. TPP is dead. Obamacare is almost dead. Aetna is shocked. Pfizer spinoff. Conoco selling oil. We should all be TubeMoguls. Goldman calls the moving van. Sarao spoofs his way to jail. Shake Shack shines. Taser shocks (in a good way). Mylan whiffs. Oil glut continues. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-10-2016.

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Pandora’s Box

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-17-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFOMC minutes show the Fed stuck in neutral. Aetna threatened to pull out of Obamacare exchanges if DOJ did not approve Humana merger – how it could backfire on Aetna. The return of subprime. Cisco job cuts. Target blames Apple. Unstoppable inversion. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-17-2016

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Groundwork for Fed Minutes

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-16-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSHousing starts up. CPI up. Industrial production up. Is the Fed up for a rate hike? 13-F review – lots of shorts. Aetna quits ACA. EPA standards for trucks. Ford gives up the wheel. Knock, knock. It’s Google.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-16-2016 DOW – 84 = 18,552 SPX – 12 = 2178 NAS – 34 = 5227 10 Y + .02 = 1.57% OIL + .84 = 46.58 GOLD + 7.20 = 1346.80 Housing starts ran at a seasonally adjusted 1.21 million annual rate in July, a 2.1% increase over the June figure. Permits were at a 1.15 million annual rate in July, essentially flat from a revised June reading. Single-family starts edged up 0.5% to a 770,000 annual pace. Most of the strength in July came from multifamily starts, which popped 8.3% to a 433,000 annual rate. Overall housing starts are 5.6% higher compared to a year ago, and July’s figure was the second-best of the recovery.   The consumer price index rose 0.8% compared to a year ago. The Labor Department said core CPI, which strips out food and energy, rose 2.2%. The cost of food was unchanged in July, and has risen 0.2% over the past year, the smallest increase since the 12 months ending in March 2010. Energy prices declined 1.6% and are 10.9% lower for the year. (However, today, oil posted its fourth straight session of …

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Chugging Higher

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-03-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSISM services down but still growing. ADP jobs solid at 179k. Lockhart hints at hikes, blah, blah. Gross and Gundlach go all Chicken Little. Bank of England cuts tomorrow. Mortgage rates are low; nobody cares. Bitcoin heist. Wal-Mart buying Jet.com – poof. Time Warner encourages cord cutters. The Olympics have started. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-03-2016

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Number 9

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-20-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSDow record high again. Earnings beat diminished expectations. MS, INTC, AXP. VW investigated all the way to the top. Turkey purge. HSBC arrests. The long, strange, fraudulent trip of 1MDB. Bud deal approved. Aetna-Humana, not so much. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-20-2016

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Or Just Google It

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-01-2016 DOW – 17 = 16,449 SPX – 0.86 = 1939 NAS + 6 = 4620 10 Y + .04 = 1.97% OIL – 2.23 = 31.39 GOLD + 10.20 = 1129.00   Following the S&P’s worst January since 2009 ( down -5.1%), and a volatile month for oil prices, about a fifth of S&P 500 companies will report earnings this week, while lots of economic data (manufacturing figures, auto sales and Friday’s jobs report) could also help determine the future direction of stocks. The consensus estimate calls for about 185,000 net new jobs in January, down from 292,000 in December. And just a reminder that last Friday brought the first look at fourth quarter GDP, which grew at an anemic 0.7% annual rate in the fourth quarter. That’s a bad quarter to be sure, and real GDP is up only 1.8% from a year ago. That’s a weak year judged by the US postwar average of 3.1%, but is not far from the 2.1% annual growth we’ve been averaging since 2009. The Atlanta Fed model’s initial estimate for first-quarter growth has been published; the “Nowcast” of first-quarter growth calls for 1.2% annualized growth. Weak, but not recessionary.   Also on Friday, the Bank of Japan moved to negative interest rates; this Wednesday BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is scheduled to speak. Today, European Central Bank president Mario Draghi addressed the …

READ MORE →
Financial Review

No Rhyme nor Reason

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-08-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-08-2015   DOW + 390 = 16,492 SPX + 48 = 1969 NAS + 128 = 4811 10 YR YLD + .06 = 2.19% OIL – .11 = 45.94 GOLD – 1.40 = 1122.40 SILV + .22 = 14.90   There is no particular rhyme nor reason to explain today’s rally on Wall Street, or for that matter, last week’s declines. Last Friday’s jobs report did little to provide clarity about whether the Fed would raise rates at next week’s FOMC meeting.   The economy added 173,000 jobs in August, which was below expectations; and the unemployment rate dropped to 5.1%. Following Friday’s employment data, futures market traders predicted about a 20 percent chance a rate hike will come this month, down from around 30 percent before the jobs report. I think the Fed might act next week, just to clear the air. If you remember back to the “taper tantrum” of 2013, when the markets became jittery about the prospect of the end of Quantitative Easing, the anticipation was worse than the actual event. So, the easiest thing might just be to do it and be done.   Of course, it is easy to argue against a rate hike. The U-6 unemployment rate is still around 10.3%; some people consider this the “real” unemployment rate because it includes part-time employees seeking full-time jobs and marginally employed workers. The …

READ MORE →