Financial Review

Manufacturing Breaks Bad

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSISM manufacturing contraction. Productivity drops, labor costs rise. Auto sales dip. Oil under $44. This summer was cheap for drivers. What Brexit effect? Hanjin Shipping BK. Samsung charred. SpaceX explodes, and takes Facebook satellite with it. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-01-2016

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Financial Review

Waiting for the Jobs Report

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-03-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:17 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-03-2016 DOW + 44 = 16,943 SPX + 6 = 1993 NAS + 4 = 4707 10 Y – .02 = 1.83% OIL + .05 = 34.71 GOLD + 24.40 = 1264.90   We have a batch of economic reports, so we’ll run through the data and then break down the implications. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing index dropped 0.1 point to 53.4%.Any reading over 50 signals expansion. ISM’s production gauge rose 3.9 points to 57.8%.Growth in the services sector has been expanding at a slower pace for the past four months, and that is now showing up as contraction in service sector employment. Details from the services survey showed the employment index declined to 49.7 from 52.1 in January, indicating companies last month started cutting staff.   The number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits rose by 6,000 to 278,000 in the last week of February, but the overall pace of layoffs still hovered near postrecession lows. The average of new claims over the past four weeks, meanwhile, fell by 1,750 to 270,250 and hit a three-month low. In a separate report, global out placement consultancy Challenger, Gray & Christmas said U.S.-based companies announced 61,599 job cuts last month, down from 75,114 in January. Layoffs remained concentrated in the energy sector. Tomorrow the Labor Department will publish the monthly non-farm payroll report; look for …

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Financial Review

A Far, Far Better Thing

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-12-03-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 12-03-2015 DOW – 252 = 17,477 SPX – 29 = 2049 NAS – 85 = 5037 10 YR YLD + .15 = 2.33% OIL + 1.33 = 41.27 GOLD + 8.40 = 1062.60 The S&P 500 suffered its biggest drop since late September.   The European Central Bank cut its deposit rate commercial banks must pay to store money overnight to minus 0.3% from minus 0.2%. The ECB left its key lending rate unchanged at 0.05% and the rate on its marginal lending facility at 0.3%. They also announced they will extend their bond buying program until March 2017. But the central bank did not increase the monthly spending on bonds beyond the current monthly level of 60 billion euros, or $63 billion. With inflation at just 0.1%, unemployment still over 10% and bank lending disappointing, many analysts were expecting more aggressive moves. Now, here’s where it got interesting; the dollar index dropped over 2%, at one point the euro was up about 3% but finished trade with modest gains. Early this morning the Financial Times tweeted and reported the ECB was leaving rates unchanged. Oops. But even after the correction, the euro held on to some of the gains.   Even as the ECB announced fresh stimulus, the Federal Reserve is considering tightening monetary policy. Actually, it is more than just a consideration – the Fed has …

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