Financial Review

Earnings Reporting Season Kicks Off

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-13-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..JPM, WFC, and C all report. Producer prices flat, but up for the year. Consumer sentiment to 17 year high. Oil inventories increased. Iron Ore free fall. Electricity use is in long-term downtrend. Canada goes to pot. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-13-2017

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Financial Review

Mind the Gap

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-18-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..Stocks trade in very narrow range. CPI at 2.1%; the rent’s too high. The Fed talks rate increase. Beige Book optimism. BIS says QE doesn’t help Main Street – duh. HSBC, Paris. JPMorgan targeted minorities and women – 2 suits. American Airlines launches Sub-Cattle Class. Essilor buys Luxottica. Target misses. Navient bad news for student loans. Bookies on the inaugural speech. 2016 the hottest year ever, again. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-18-20017

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Financial Review

Thus Spake Yellen

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-14-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..Retail sales rebound. Consumer sentiment dips – blame the election, it is driving us crazy. PPI up. Treasury tackles earnings stripping. Janet Yellen on the grand experiment of economics and the path forward. Earnings: JPM (zero systemic problems but billions in fines), C, WFC (Ohio puts Wells Fargo on probation). A faster server. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-14-2016.

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Financial Review

Progress Not Perfection

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-15-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSAnother record, by a hair. Inflation in a disinflationary world. Retail sales up. Industrial production up. Sentiment down. Earnings recession. Herbalife not quite a Ponzi scheme. BP pays. Sheep level view. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-15-2016

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Financial Review

Two Days!

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-25-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSA two day rally. Citi gets off easy. HP gets twisted. Families struggle. Robots build phones and serve pizza. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-25-2016.

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Financial Review

More Exciting Than Soccer

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-15-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSClosing numbers, economic data, plus a preview of the Doha meeting on oil, and a look at Brazil’s impeachment. The latest Panama Papers fallout. Time to buy your own cable box.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-15-2016

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Financial Review

The Vultures Eat

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-29-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-29-2016   DOW – 123 = 16,516 SPX – 15 = 1932 NAS – 32 = 4557 10 Y – .02 = 1.74% OIL + 1.12 = 33.90 GOLD + 16.50 = 1239.30   If you missed the past month, you might think things were calm on Wall Street for the month of February. For the month, the Dow rose 0.3 percent, the S&P 500 lost 0.4 percent and the Nasdaq lost 1.2 percent. This marks the first time since 2011 that major indexes posted three consecutive monthly declines.   Chinese shares closed at one-month lows. China cut the amount of cash banks must hold as reserves for the fifth time since last February. The yuan hit a three week low. China expects to lay off 1.8 million coal and steel workers.    A weekend meeting of G20 finance chiefs ended without a plan to spur global growth. The G20 issued a statement which basically said the global economy is not as bad as the doomsayers think. G20 finance ministers agreed to use “all policy tools – monetary, fiscal and structural – individually and collectively” to reach the group’s economic goals; but there was no plan for coordinated stimulus. Participants also repeated previous pledges not to engage in competitive currency devaluations and promised to “consult closely” on exchange markets. Those pledges might not last long, and the Euro Union might …

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Financial Review

If You Build It

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-25-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS  Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-25-2016 DOW + 212 = 16,697 SPX + 21 = 1951 NAS + 39 = 4582 10 Y – .05 = 1.70% OIL + .93 = 33.08 GOLD + 4.30 = 1233.70 The Shanghai Composite in China dropped 6.4% today, extending its fall this year to 22%, as surging money-market rates signaled tighter liquidity and the offshore yuan weakened for a fifth day, while the country’s vice finance minister warned of pressure on exports. The plunge comes as world leaders gather for a G20 meeting in Shanghai, where current market turmoil and a global economic slowdown are expected to be key topics of discussion. European shares bounced after two days of falls, and sterling steadied after having been pounded all week by ‘Brexit’ fears.  The S&P 500 Index closed at a seven-week high, right at a major level of resistance, and just barely breaking above the 50 day moving average.   Meanwhile, the IMF is calling for urgent and bold action to combat the slowing world economy ahead of the gathering of G20 finance ministers and central bank chiefs. The IMF report says: “The G20 must plan now for coordinated demand support using available fiscal space to boost public investment.” The calls for an organized stimulus program followed warnings that China’s slowdown, financial market turbulence and the collapse in commodity prices were major headwinds that could derail a global recovery. …

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Financial Review

Flip Flop Fedspeak

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-18-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-18-2016 DOW – 40 = 16,413 SPX – 8 = 1917 NAS – 46 = 4487 10 Y – .06 = 1.76% OIL – .12 = 30.54 GOLD + 22.30 = 1231.70 After spending 2015 calling for rate hikes St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Wednesday evening in a speech on monetary policy that it would be unwise for the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates given declining inflation expectations and recent equity market volatility. Bullard, who is a voting member of the Fed’s rate-setting committee this year, said he now feels key assumptions supporting higher rates have been undermined. Bullard’s big concern is inflation expectations, and inflation has been trending lower, and Bullard believes stock market expectations have a big impact on inflation. In contrast to Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen or Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, Bullard doesn’t think labor market conditions have much impact on inflation as the traditional “Phillips curve” suggests.   Today, San Francisco Fed President John Williams gave a speech in LA, where he said the economy “is, all in all, looking pretty good.” Williams said his views of the economy haven’t changed much from December: “When I look at my December forecast and compare it with my outlook for unemployment and core inflation today, there’s virtually no change” Williams said he was aware of potential risks facing the economy but added …

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Financial Review

Been to the Mountaintop

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-15-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-15-2016 DOW – 390 = 15,988 SPX – 41 = 1880 NAS – 126 = 4488 10 Y – .07 = 2.03% OIL – 1.52 = 29.68 GOLD + 10.30 = 1089.80   Let’s start with the good news: US stock and bond markets are closed Monday for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday.   For the day the Dow dropped 2.4%, the S&P 500 dropped 2.1%, and the Nasdaq lost 2.75%. And even though it was a volatile week, almost all of the damage for the week came in today’s session. The Dow Industrials did take out the September lows but not the August lows of 15,370. The Nasdaq composite knocked out the closing low from August but not the intra-day August low. The S&P 500 hit an intra-day low of 1857, dropping below the August 24th low of 1867. So we should wait for confirmation of a close below 1867 – at which point we have wiped out any reasonable support. The Russell 2000 small-cap index dropped as much as 3.5 percent to its lowest level since July 2013. The major S&P sectors all ended sharply lower. The energy sector dropped 2.87 percent as oil prices fell but the tech sector was the big loser, down 3.1%, with Intel down 9% following a weak earnings report after the close yesterday.   It’s a sea of red all over …

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