Financial Review

Records Across the Board

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Dow, S&P and Nasdaq close at record highs. ISM manufacturing ticks up. Construction spending down. ADP private jobs strong. Fed Beige Book points to tight labor market. Trump pulls out of Paris Accord. Illinois cut.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-01-2017

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Financial Review

Cleaning Up

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-28-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Dow breaks losing streak. Consumer confidence bumps on labor strength. Goods deficit falls. Case Shiller home sales rise. ACA death by a thousand cuts. Repealing Fair Pay and Safe Workplaces. Coal? Brilliant. Elon Musk’s neural lace. Brexit tomorrow. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-28-2017

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Financial Review

Again and Again

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-21-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Walmart beats; Amazon counterpunches. Macy’s slips and sells RE. Home Depot beats and buys back. Verizon will buy Yahoo with a cut. Burger King buys Popeyes. Kraft won’t buy Unilever. Sprint-TMobile. International money transfers – there’s an app. Eurozone biz activity best in 6 years. HSBC tanks. BHP profit. China stops buying coal from North Korea. Waiting on the Fed. Oil prices move higher, as OPEC cuts production but US demand drops. Trump starts deportations. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-21-2017

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Financial Review

Times Change

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-30-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-30-2015   DOW + 235 = 16,284 SPX + 35 = 1920 NAS + 102 = 4620 10 YR YLD + .01 = 2.06% OIL – .14 = 45.09 GOLD – 12.40 = 1116.30 SILV – .13 = 14.62   This is the last trading day of the third quarter. China’s main stock market posted its worst quarter since 2008 and its smaller Shenzhen index, posted its worst quarter in at least two decades. Markets in Singapore and Indonesia are set to post their worst quarters since the financial crisis. The MSCI Asia ex-Japan Index fell 19.1% from the beginning of the quarter. The Nikkei closed out its worst quarter since 2010 and the ASX its worst since 2011.   European stocks moved higher today, but not enough to recover from the worst quarter in 4 years. The Stoxx Europe 600 index is down about 9.5% for the quarter. Germany’s DAX index down 12% for the quarter. France’s CAC index posted a quarterly loss of 7.3%, and the UK’s FTSE 100 down 7.7%. The Eurozone is back in deflation. Consumer prices slipped 0.1% year-over-year in September.   The major U.S. averages had a rough third quarter. Concerns about spillover from slowdown in China and the timing of a Federal Reserve rate hike sent markets into correction territory, or more than 10 percent below their 52-week highs, in late August. …

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Financial Review

Cleaning Up

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-03-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW – 91 = 17,598 SPX – 5 = 2098 NAS – 12 = 5115 10 YR YLD – .05 = 2.15% OIL – 1.95 = 45.17 GOLD – 9.10 = 1087.10 SILV – .30 = 14.59   This is going to be an extremely busy week. We still have a third of S&P 500 companies to report earnings. There’s also going to be a plethora of economic activity culminating in the Friday jobs report for July. Oil prices hit a six month low. It’s not just oil. Commodities prices across the board are falling thanks to slowing global demand and a rising dollar. All of this makes it very unlikely we’ll see a big pickup in inflation any time soon.   The Athens Stock Exchange reopened today and it was ugly. The ASE Stock Index dropped 23% after being closed for five weeks, with banking shares down by as much as 30%. The index managed to recover from session lows but still closed down 16%. While local traders are able to buy stocks, bonds, derivatives and warrants under certain conditions, international investors don’t face any restrictions, as long as they were active in the markets before they were shuttered.   The selloff shows the scale of the crisis still facing Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras as he negotiates a third bailout with creditors after six months that have put unprecedented strain on the …

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Financial Review

Wednesday, May 28, 2014 – Reflecting the Economy

Reflecting the Economy by Sinclair Noe   DOW – 42 = 16,633 SPX – 2 = 1909 NAS – 11 = 4225 10 YR YLD – .08 = 2.43% OIL – 1.03 = 103.08 GOLD = 4.70 = 1259.60 SILV – .01 = 19.13   The major stock market indices were lower, but it wasn’t a big move, and we’ve been 4 up days, so today’s pullback was nothing but a pause. What was interesting today was the move in the bond market. The yield on the 10 year treasury dropped all the way to 2.43%; that’s the lowest rate in almost a year. The 10 year treasury has dropped 22 basis points this month, meaning treasuries are on track for the best month since January. Now, remember that the Federal Reserve is supposed to be tapering, cutting back on large scale purchases of treasury bonds.   What’s fueling the move? It’s hard to pinpoint one thing. Europe is facing some sort of monetary stimulus package from the ECB next week; meanwhile, a report showed German unemployment rose and that pushed yields on the 10 year bund to 1.28%; that trade then spilled over to the US markets, toss in end of month window dressing and there was likely a short squeeze. There are some big short positions on treasuries right now; more shorts than longs.   At the end of the day, the bond market is supposed to reflect the economy; not an exact image but rather a mirror …

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Financial Review

Tuesday, May 27, 2014 – Currently Trending Here

Currently Trending Here by Sinclair Noe DOW + 69 = 16,675 SPX + 11 = 1911 NAS + 51 = 4237 10 YR YLD – .02 = 2.52% OIL – .24 – 104.11 GOLD – 29.20 = 1264.30 SILV – .40 = 19.14   The S&P 500 Index closed at another record high. The Dow Industrial Average is just a little below the May 13 record of 16,715. The Russell 2000 index of small and mid-caps confirmed the uptrend. The Russell had been lagging and there was a concern that small caps might drag the blue chips lower. While the Russell is still down about 2% year to date, on Friday it moved above its 200 day moving average.   Any time the market is trending, it makes sense to look for divergences, or any indicator that might signal a change in trend, but the most important thing to watch is still the trend itself; in other words the market scorecard is measured in price. And right now the trend is up.   Let’s start with some economic news. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices continued to show gains in prices for existing home sales; the 10-city composite was up 0.8% and the 20-city composite was up 0.9% month over month; and respective year over year gains of 12.6% and 12.4%. Nineteen of the 20 cities showed positive returns in March; New York was the only city to decline. As of March 2014, average home prices across the United States are …

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