Financial Review

Da’ Bomb

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-03-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS….Record highs for Dow, S&P, Nasdaq, and Russell 2K. Fed minutes. Manufacturing win-win. Construction spending up. Car sales. Crude hits $61. Bombogenesis…. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-03-2018

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Financial Review

Everybody Wants to Go to Heaven

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-01-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..ISM manufacturing reverts to strong. Construction spending up. Fed FOMC stands pat. Jay Powell likely pick. GOP tax plan delayed due to math. Facebook beats. Tesla posts big loss. Wells Fargo, again. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-01-2017

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Financial Review

Inured

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-02-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS….Records on Wall Street. Carnage on the Vegas Strip. Construction spending up. Manufacturing stronger. Tax plan might raise middle class taxes. Catalonian independence. Monarch grounded. GM goes electric. Equifax bungle grows. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-02-2017

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Financial Review

Records Across the Board

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Dow, S&P and Nasdaq close at record highs. ISM manufacturing ticks up. Construction spending down. ADP private jobs strong. Fed Beige Book points to tight labor market. Trump pulls out of Paris Accord. Illinois cut.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-01-2017

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Financial Review

See What Sticks

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-01-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Nasdaq record. EPS v GDP. Sell in May, maybe. Spending package means government will stay open. Winter storm hits short wheat traders hard. ISM mgf slips. Construction spending dips. Personal income down, debt up. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-01-2017

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Financial Review

Stormy Weather

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-03-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Manufacturing growing slower. Construction spending increased. Yield curve flattens. SCOTUS nomination may go nuclear. Car sales drop last month, except for Tesla – now bigger than Ford. Household debt climbs back near 2008 peak. Student loans don’t buy what they used to. Financial Review  by Sinclair Noe for 04-03-2017

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Financial Review

Fed Day

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1A-02-01-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:05 — 6.9MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Fed leaves policy unchanged and that’s dovish(?) ADP big surge in private jobs. ISM manufacturing at 2 year high. Facebook is now ubiquitous. VW will pay more. Spectrum’s slow internet. Various earnings reports. Amazon plane hub in KY. 15.4 million victims of ID theft and fraud. UK moves closer to Brexit. Nuclear option for SCOTUS. Iran on notice. Zika still a problem. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-01-2017

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Financial Review

Bad Optics

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-03-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  …..Strong start for trading in the New Year. Technical and fundamental considerations. ISM manufacturing closes 2016 on high note. Construction spending at multi-year high. 115th Congress first order – let the fox guard the chicken coop and then flip flop. Ford folds in the face of bad optics. Samsung S8 might replace your computer. Space X countdown to Sunday. Fewer new drugs last year. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-03-2017

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Financial Review

Quitaly or Not to Quitaly

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-12-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Dow record high close. Oil tops $51. Bond bears’ herd mentality. ISM manufacturing up. Construction spending up. Unemployment claims up. Layoffs up. Carrier is chill. Credit Suisse freezes accounts. The Italian referendum explained. No coffee for Schultz. We’re buying cars. 10 gig internet? Yes please. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 12-02-2016

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Financial Review

Pushed Out

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFed jawbones. Low rates keep stocks inflated. Oil continues to slide. Construction spending falls. ISM manufacturing falls. Mortgages near all-time lows. Verizon-Fleetmatic. Tesla-SolarCity. Didi Chuching-Uber China. Glaxo-Alphabet Verily. Pfizer-Bamboo. Ready for Rio. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-01-2016

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Financial Review

Road Trip

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSPuerto Rico defaults. Manufacturing picks up. Construction spending drops. Robo-car’s first fatality. Airbag recall, seriously. Road tripping on the Interstate Highway System; thanks Ike. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-01-2016

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Financial Review

Aggressively Flat

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSManufacturing activity inches higher. Construction spending drops. Auto sales strong but could be better if they stop including exploding airbags. ECB and OPEC on tap tomorrow. Jobs report on Friday. Something doesn’t add up in the cloud. Dell tried to snooker shareholders. Cut the salt. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-01-2016

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Financial Review

Super Tuesday

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-01-2016   DOW + 348 = 16,865 SPX + 46 = 1978 NAS + 131 = 4689 10 Y + .09 = 1.83% OIL + .14 = 33.89 GOLD – 6.60 = 1232.70   It was the best one-day percentage gain for the S&P 500 and the Dow since Jan. 29. The Nasdaq Composite saw its biggest one day gain since August. The S&P 500’s rally today leaves it lower by just 3% year-to-date, and the Nasdaq’s advance brings its loss for the year to 6.4%. Biotechnology, which underperformed by a huge margin yesterday, came to life today with the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index ETF (IBB) surging 4.4%. The small cap Russel 2000 broke through its own 50 day moving average for the first time since December 9. However, it rose 2.0% vs. the S&P 500’s 2.4% gain. Elsewhere, regional banks, cybersecurity, high-yield bond ETFs, and energy names also impressed. The Utilities sector, which is hurt by higher rates, was by far the worst performing S&P sector today.   Today is Super Tuesday. The polls will begin closing at 7 PM eastern time. A total of 595 Republican delegates are up for grabs in 11 states of the 1,237 needed to clinch the GOP nomination in 11 states; Donald Trump is expected to win 10 of the 11 states, with a close race in Texas, where Ted Cruz holds the lead. Sanders and Clinton are facing …

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Financial Review

Or Just Google It

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-01-2016 DOW – 17 = 16,449 SPX – 0.86 = 1939 NAS + 6 = 4620 10 Y + .04 = 1.97% OIL – 2.23 = 31.39 GOLD + 10.20 = 1129.00   Following the S&P’s worst January since 2009 ( down -5.1%), and a volatile month for oil prices, about a fifth of S&P 500 companies will report earnings this week, while lots of economic data (manufacturing figures, auto sales and Friday’s jobs report) could also help determine the future direction of stocks. The consensus estimate calls for about 185,000 net new jobs in January, down from 292,000 in December. And just a reminder that last Friday brought the first look at fourth quarter GDP, which grew at an anemic 0.7% annual rate in the fourth quarter. That’s a bad quarter to be sure, and real GDP is up only 1.8% from a year ago. That’s a weak year judged by the US postwar average of 3.1%, but is not far from the 2.1% annual growth we’ve been averaging since 2009. The Atlanta Fed model’s initial estimate for first-quarter growth has been published; the “Nowcast” of first-quarter growth calls for 1.2% annualized growth. Weak, but not recessionary.   Also on Friday, the Bank of Japan moved to negative interest rates; this Wednesday BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is scheduled to speak. Today, European Central Bank president Mario Draghi addressed …

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Financial Review

Off to the Races

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-04-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-04-2016 DOW – 276 = 17,148 SPX – 31 = 2012 NAS – 104 = 4903 10 YR – .02 = 2.25% OIL – .11 = 36.93 GOLD + 13.50 = 1075.50 The Dow started the morning with a 467 point decline. An inauspicious start to trading in 2016 kicked off, or more accurately fell down, this morning in China. Traders in Shanghai reacted to growing tensions in the Middle East and a drop in one of China’s manufacturing gauges. Fresh manufacturing surveys revived concerns about Beijing’s economic slowdown. China’s manufacturing activity contracted for the 10th straight month in December – the official manufacturing PMI stood at 49.7 in December. The yuan, which began new extended trading hours today, also hit its lowest point in more than four years in both onshore and offshore trade.   The China CSI 300 Index dropped 5% and that triggered circuit breakers that resulted in a 30 minute halt in trading of all stocks. When trading resumed, the traders were scared and they rushed to exit their positions. In a matter of about 7 minutes the Index dropped to a loss of 7%, and the next round of circuit breakers triggered a halt to trading for the remainder of the day.   The benchmark Shanghai Composite index closed the shortened session down 6.85% while the broader CSI 300 index, encompassing the largest …

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Financial Review

See Opportunities

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-12-01-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:17 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 12-01-2015 DOW + 168 = 17,888 SPX + 22 = 2102 NAS + 47 = 5156 10 YR YLD – .07 = 2.15% OIL un 41.65 GOLD + 4.30 = 1069.80 SILV + .10 = 14.27   More than 180 nations are gathered in Paris to discuss a far-reaching agreement to reduce global carbon emissions. The emerging deal would require wealthy countries, including the U.S., to cut their own pollution while helping poorer countries shift from dependency on fossil fuels and mitigate the effects of climate change. President Obama held a news conference today in Paris at the U.N. global climate summit; Obama said the world needs an enduring framework for addressing climate change and that he would seek an agreement that would boost economies as well as help the planet’s environment. President Obama said the U.S. will meet commitments to help finance developing nations’ efforts to reduce carbon pollution, challenging congressional Republicans who have fought most of his environmental policies.   Some people look at the call for reducing carbon emissions and only see expenses, while others see opportunities. The number of annual patents for green energy has increased fivefold since 2002 and this year is on track to break another record after eight consecutive increases. Most patents in 2015 have been for solar technologies, 586 granted in the first half of the year; followed by fuel cells, electric vehicles, …

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Financial Review

Before the Deluge

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-01-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-01-2015 DOW – 12 = 16,272 SPX + 3 = 1923 NAS + 6 = 4627 10 YR YLD – .02 = 2.04% OIL – .11 = 44.98 GOLD – 1.80 = 1114.50 SILV un = 14.63   Manufacturing grew in September at the slowest pace in more than two years. The Institute for Supply Management said its manufacturing index dropped to 50.2% last month from 51.1% in August, reflecting a stronger dollar and weaker global economy that is hurting U.S. exports of many major American-made goods. That’s the weakest reading since May 2013, although any reading above 50 indicates growth.   The number of people who applied for unemployment benefits rose by 10,000 to 277,000 in the week ended Sept. 26, but initial claims remain extremely low in a sign of steady improvement of the labor market. The average of new claims over the past month, meanwhile, fell by 1,000 to seasonally adjusted 270,500. The level of new claims sank below 300,000 in early March and has remained there for 30 straight weeks, a feat last accomplished in 1973, when the nation’s working population was 40% smaller. Tomorrow morning is the monthly jobs report from the Labor Department.   Construction spending increased 0.7% in August, and gained 13.7% over 12 months. Residential construction rose 1.3%, while nonresidential construction grew 0.3%. Construction of lodging climbed 2.8% and has …

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Financial Review

Beverly, Hills That Is

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-01-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:14 — 12.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-01-2015 DOW – 469 = 16,058 SPX – 58 = 1913 NAS – 140 = 4636 10 YR YLD – .03 = 2.17% OIL – 4.99 = 44.21 GOLD + 5.40 = 1140.80 SILV – .01 = 14.72   Another rough day for stocks across the world after twin surveys showed China’s manufacturing sector in the grip of its worst slump in several years. Asian stocks slumped on the first trading day of September, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 index chalking up a near 4 percent loss into correction territory. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index dropped as much as 3.2 percent. The major US averages lost more than 6 percent each in August. The New York Stock Exchange invoked Rule 48 for the fourth time in two weeks.   If you want, you could blame it on the Fed, as good a culprit as any; they want to raise rates despite data. Or you could look to a global slowdown, as emerging markets struggle with lower and lower commodity prices. The High Frequency Traders certainly can be considered culpable, not for starting the fire but for splashing kerosene on the flames. But really, this is just what markets do. It’s not one thing that causes a market to tumble, it is the added weight of many things. And a market looking to sell is going to sell. The major averages ended in correction territory, down nearly …

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Financial Review

The Greek Unknown

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-01-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 138 = 17,757 SPX + 14 = 2077 NAS + 26 = 5013 10 YR YLD + .09 = 2.42% OIL – .02 = 56.94 GOLD – 4.30 = 1169.30 SILV – .12 = 15.65   Let’s start today with some economic data. ADP reports private-sector hiring picked up in June, as employers added 237,000 jobs. The monthly jobs report from the Labor Department will be released tomorrow; it includes private sector plus government jobs. The consensus guestimate is for about 225,000 new jobs last month.   Construction spending rose 0.8% in May to a seasonally adjusted $1.04 trillion. Spending rose 0.3% for residential projects, and 1.5% for nonresidential projects. The Commerce Department revised April’s result to 2.1%.   Manufacturers grew in June at the fastest rate since the start of 2015. The Institute for Supply Management said its manufacturing index rose to 53.5% last month from 52.8% in May, matching its highest level of this year. Readings over 50% indicate more companies are expanding instead of shrinking. The employment gauge jumped 3.8 points to 55.5%. The ISM’s new-orders index edged up to 56.0% from 55.8%.   The second and final Markit reading of U.S. manufacturing conditions in June was revised up to 53.6 from a preliminary 53.4, but the index was still at its lowest level since October 2013.   Overnight, Greece defaulted on its $1.8 billion …

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Financial Review

May Day

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-01-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 183 = 18,024 SPX + 22 = 2108 NAS + 63 = 5005 10 YR YLD + .07 = 2.11% OIL – .29 = 59.34   For the week, the Dow dropped 0.3%, the S&P 500 fell 0.4% and the Nasdaq was down 1.7%. May kicks off what has been the worst six months for stocks historically which has brought rise to the old saying “sell in May and go away.” Sometimes it works but no guarantees.   The Detroit 3 automakers reported solid April sales as new models and cheap loans lured even more buyers into what’s already a brisk-moving new-vehicle market. Fiat Chrysler reported sales jumped 6% in April, GM gained 5.9% and Ford rose 5%. Still, their stocks were mixed. Ford and GM were higher, Fiat Chrysler was down.   Merchants displeased with the high fees American Express charges them are permitted to steer customers toward less expensive cards without fearing retaliation from the credit card company. A Judge in Brooklyn federal court has ruled that American Express is not allowed to stop stores from offering discounts, rebates or other incentives for using lower-fee cards – an activity known as steering.    Construction spending fell in March to a six-month low as outlays on private residential construction spending declined sharply. Construction spending slipped 0.6 percent to an annual rate of $966 billion, the lowest level …

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