Financial Review

And Its Discontents

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-09-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Wall Street rallies. Waiting on earnings. Consumer borrowing spikes. Buybacks spike. US-China trade war, history suggests pain. Soft v hard Brexit triggers resignations. The state of oil. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-09-2018

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Financial Review

Everybody’s Doing It

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-07-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Record high for the Dow. Job openings up. Consumer credit climbs. Waymo self-driving cars coming to Phoenix. Snap loses. Twitter doubles up. Saudi purge. Paradise Papers names names of the wealthy tax cheaters. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-07-2017

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Financial Review

Number 9

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-07-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS….Another Dow record, #9. Goldman says unemployment rate could hit 3.8%. Consumer credit hits a new high. Merger Monday. Earnings news roundup. How your phone measures. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-07-2017

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Financial Review

Quiet and Overbought

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-07-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSMarkets are quiet, calm and overbought. Productivity lags, again. Credit growth hits a record. What will Draghi buy? Goldman investigated for Bank Secrecy Act. Valeant looks sick. Samsung has the next cool phone. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-07-2016

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Financial Review

Place Your Bets

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-07-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSA full house of Fed heads, mountains of consumer debt, place your bets on the Panama Papers, and leave the driving to your robot.

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Financial Review

Good to be King

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-12-08-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 12-08-2015 DOW – 162 = 17,568 SPX – 13 = 2063 NAS – 3 = 5098 10 YR YLD + .02 = 2.24% OIL – .08 = 37.57 GOLD + 3.40 = 1075.60   Back to back triple digit losses for the Dow and much of the carnage can be traced to the energy sector and the drop in oil prices. The problem is not just that many energy related companies might suffer losses, but that many of those companies carry big debt loads. Oil prices actually closed above the lows for the day. There was probably profit-taking by some of the shorts and bargain-hunting by those that think we’re going to rise for at least a little bit. Short-term gains in no way negate the bearish implications from this weekend’s OPEC meeting.   OPEC had a collective target of 30 million barrels a day since 2012 but they have been cheating on quotas and producing about 5% more. The important point is that OPEC is no longer the only game on the planet. Most of the global market doesn’t have any ceiling on production. Americans don’t have any ceiling. Russians don’t have any ceiling. Iran has been partially locked out of the global markets and they look to come back with a boatload of supply next month. And the Saudis are fighting a war in Yemen and their national budget …

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Financial Review

Goodbye Patience

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-08-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 27 = 17,902 SPX + 5 = 2081 NAS + 40 = 4950 10 YR YLD un = 1.89% OIL – 3.05 = 50.93 GOLD – 5.50 = 1203.20 SILV – .32 = 16.61   We start today with a big acquisition in the oil industry. Royal Dutch Shell agreed to buy BG Group for about $70 billion in cash and shares, the oil and gas industry’s biggest deal in at least a decade; since 2004 when Royal Dutch Shell was created. This is the biggest acquisition this year and the 10th biggest M&A deal overall, and the fourth biggest deal overall in the oil industry. The merged company will boast a market value twice the size of BP, and even larger than Chevron. ExxonMobil is still the 800 pound gorilla with market cap north of $350 billion.   To win over shareholders, Shell pledged cost savings of $2.5 billion, asset disposals of at least $30 billion within four years and a giant buyback of $25 billion from 2017 to 2020. Shell investors reacted coolly to the deal. Shell’s B shares, the class of stock being used to finance the deal, fell about 7% percent in London. For BG it represents a 50% premium.   BG Group is the exploration part of the former state owned British Gas that was privatized by Margaret Thatcher in the 1980s. …

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Financial Review

Brilliance in Euphemistic Ambiguity

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-18-2014.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review DOW + 109 = 17,265 SPX + 9 = 2011 NAS + 31 = 4593 10 YR YLD + .03 = 2.63% OIL – 1.40 = 93.02 GOLD + 1.60 = 1225.80 SILV un = 18.62 Stock moved higher for a third day. Record high closes for the Dow and the S&P 500. The Dow notched its 17th record close of the year; the S&P posted its 34th record high close for the year. The stock market is in Fed mode. The Fed wrapped up their policy meeting yesterday, and they didn’t scare anybody; they even gave added assurance that they will be overly communicative. Interest rates are probably going to go up in the future but not at any specific time that can be identified. The Fed stuck with the phrase “considerable time” which is a great way to speak words that contain absolutely no meaning. Brilliant, brilliant performance in euphemistic ambiguity. And even if the Fed tightens, the rest of the world’s central banks are getting looser, and it just figures that some of that will spill over to Wall Street. The ECB lowered rates so much that they’ve gone negative. Just the other day, the People’s Bank of China pumped about $80 billion into five banks. The number of investment advisors that are bearish is at the lowest level since 1987. When bears start to dwindle to extremely low …

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Uncategorized

Tuesday, May 07, 2013 – Good Times Roll

Good Times Roll by Sinclair Noe DOW + 87 = 15,056SPX + 8 = 1625NAS + 3 = 339610 YR YLD + .01 = 1.78%OIL – .64 = 95.52GOLD – 17.70 = 1453.60SILV – .08 = 24.06 The fun started in Asia as a weak yen sent Tokyo stocks to their highest level in almost five years while Australian shares closed lower after briefly erasing declines following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s to cut key interest rates. The yen has now lost one percent since Thursday; the result is a rally in the Nikkei, supported by upward revisions in earnings expectations for Japanese companies. Japan’s Nikkei 225 is up more than 50% in the past six months and overnight breached 14,000 for the first time since 2008. This is known as Abenomics, named after Shinzo Abe, the Japanese prime minister who has instituted a very aggressive form of monetary easing, much more aggressive than what the Federal Reserve is doing in the US; the plan will double Japan’s monetary base by the end of 2014. Later in the week, we’ll see if Abenomics is gaining traction as Japanese automakers report earnings; of course, it may still be too early to see Abenomics result in stronger earnings, but over time, a weaker yen should result in more car sales for the likes of Toyota and Honda. The world has done OK while Japan has stagnated. If Japan were to go back to something like a 3% growth rate, that would make …

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