Financial Review

Thus Spake Yellen

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-14-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Retail sales rebound. Consumer sentiment dips – blame the election, it is driving us crazy. PPI up. Treasury tackles earnings stripping. Janet Yellen on the grand experiment of economics and the path forward. Earnings: JPM (zero systemic problems but billions in fines), C, WFC (Ohio puts Wells Fargo on probation). A faster server. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-14-2016.

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Financial Review

We All Know How That Works

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-16-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  Waiting on the Fed. Rent is too high. Drugs are too expensive. CPI up. Sentiment flat. Net worth increases. AZ unemployment rate down. New iPhones. Exploding Galaxies. Deutsche Bank haggles for justice. ExxonMobil’s oil is worth the same today as 2 years ago. Wells Fargo loses billions in market cap, and something more important.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-16-2016

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Financial Review

Progress Not Perfection

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-15-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSAnother record, by a hair. Inflation in a disinflationary world. Retail sales up. Industrial production up. Sentiment down. Earnings recession. Herbalife not quite a Ponzi scheme. BP pays. Sheep level view. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-15-2016

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Financial Review

Work Never Ends

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-13-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  Retail sales inch up, PPI flat, equity outflows, earnings ugly,  crowdfunding next week, and why Americans might never retire. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-13-2016

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Financial Review

More Exciting Than Soccer

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-15-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSClosing numbers, economic data, plus a preview of the Doha meeting on oil, and a look at Brazil’s impeachment. The latest Panama Papers fallout. Time to buy your own cable box.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-15-2016

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Financial Review

I Want to Go Back to Bahia

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-18-2016_2_.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSStocks rally for fifth week. Brazil is knee-deep in corruption.

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Financial Review

Nobody Knows Normalization

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-12-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-12-2016   DOW + 313 = 15,973 SPX + 35 = 1864 NAS + 70 = 4337 10 Y + .10 = 1.75% OIL + 2.77 = 28.98 GOLD – 9.40 = 1238.00 The Nikkei Stock Average finished down 11% for the week, its biggest weekly percentage drop since October 2008. For the day, the index ended off 4.8% at 14,952, the lowest since October 2014. The Nikkei is down 21% year-to-date. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe held a meeting with his top financial diplomat today, as well as the BOJ’s governor, following a report that the “architect of Abenomics” called for a Group of 20-wide response to the recent market rout. Friday’s high-level gathering came as the country’s stock markets plunged again and the yen hit highs not seen since October 2014. Speculation is also rampant that Tokyo could conduct yen-selling intervention.     The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of mainland Chinese companies trading in Hong Kong fell 2% Friday and was off 6.8% for the week. Trading was halted on the Kosdaq, the smaller cap, tech focused exchange in South Korea as the index dropped by more than 8%.     Here in the US, we’re not quite in bear territory for the major indices: the Nasdaq dropped 18% from last summer’s high; the S&P 500 dropped 15% from last year’s high.     And then …

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Financial Review

The Gravy Boat

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-25-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-25-2015 DOW + 1 = 17,813 SPX – 0.27 = 2088 NAS + 13 = 5116 10 YR YLD – .01 = 2.23% OIL + .25 = 43.12 GOLD – 4.50 = 1071.90 SILV – .05 = 14.26   We have a boatload, or at least a gravy boat full of economic data before we get into the holiday. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits declined 12,000 to a seasonally adjusted 260,000 for the week ended Nov. 21. Claims have now held below the 300,000 threshold for 38 consecutive weeks, the longest stretch in years, and remain close to levels last seen 42 years ago.   Orders for business equipment climbed more than forecast in October. Bookings for non-military capital goods excluding aircraft rose 1.3 percent, the most in three months, after an upwardly revised 0.4 percent increase in September; non-defense capital goods are considered a proxy for business investment. So, today’s report shows businesses are spending more on business. It may be too early to call it a trend reversal but cap ex spending had been weak, in large part due to cuts in the energy sector, and also the tendency for companies to indulge in share buybacks rather than plowing money back into the business.   Orders for all durable goods, items meant to last at least three years, climbed 3 percent. Commercial aircraft orders surged 81 …

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Financial Review

Bargain Bloodhounds

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-13-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-13-2015 DOW – 202 = 17,245 SPX – 22 = 2023 NAS – 77 = 4927 10 YR YLD – .04 = 2.28% OIL – .99 = 40.76 GOLD – 1.10 = 1084.90 SILV – .03 = 14.38   The S&P 500 moved into negative territory year to date, for the first time since Oct. 22. The Dow Industrial Average is also down year to date, moving below the 200-day MA, with a weekly loss of more than 650. Commodity prices are weighing heavily on the markets, following yesterday’s report showing crude oil stockpiles were 4 times higher than market expectations. Still, the IEA predicts that supplies outside OPEC will decline next year by the most since 1992 as low prices take their toll on the U.S. shale industry.  Meanwhile, the dollar index is trading just above 99. That would put it within striking distance of 100.40, its highest level in 12 years.   Retail sales rose a seasonally adjusted 0.1% last month. Sales were revised lower in September to show no gain. Sales were also flat in August. In October, sales were held down by lower spending at auto dealers, gas stations and grocery stores. Although the number of autos sold last month was quite strong, sales fell a seasonally adjusted 0.5%, perhaps suggesting heavier discounting. Stripping out gas and autos, U.S. retail sales rose a somewhat …

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Financial Review

Times Are Changing

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-30-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-30-2015 DOW – 92 = 17,663 SPX – 10 = 2079 NAS – 20 = 5053 10 YR YLD – .04 = 2.14% OIL + .37 = 46.43 GOLD – 4.50 = 1142.00 SILV – .12 = 15.56   The Senate officially passed the budget deal this morning, averting debt default next week or a government shutdown in December. The agreement will increase spending by $80 billion above sequestration caps for military and domestic programs and lift the debt ceiling through March 2017. The House approved the deal on Wednesday and President Obama will now sign it into law.   The cost of employing the average U.S. worker sped up in the third quarter after a record-low increase in the spring. The employment cost index advanced a seasonally adjusted 0.6% from July to September after a 0.2% gain in the second quarter. Wages – some 70% of employment costs – rose 0.6% in the third quarter. Benefits increased 0.5%. Over the past 12 months, employment costs have risen an unadjusted 2%. This is an old story. Despite some ups and downs over the decades, US household incomes have been roughly stagnant for about 30 years. Even though wages have been stagnant, consumers keep consuming.   Core prices, which strip out food and energy costs, rose 0.1% from August and are up 1.3% from a year earlier. Consumer spending rose …

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