Financial Review

Buckle Up

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-29-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS….Stocks and bonds drop. A busy week on tap: SOTU, FOMC, earnings season, Jobs Report Friday. Consumer spending up, consumer savings down. Dr. Pepper and coffee. More M&A. Crypto-heist in Japan. McCabe out. Wynn in hot water. Falcon Heavy and other Musk flamethrower. Tax day cometh. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-29-2018

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Financial Review

Opening Salvo

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-30-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Paul Manafort and Rick Gates indicted. George Papadopoulos guilty. Just the beginning. Wall Street looks at phased-in tax cuts. Jay Powell might be next Fed head. Consumer spending jumps. Catalan secession meets harsh reality….. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-30-2017

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Financial Review

Populist Airlines

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-29-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..3Q finishes on bullish highs. GOP tax scheme doesn’t add up. Tom Price flies into sunset. Consumer spending barely budges. PCE slips. Equifax freeze. Whole Food hack. Puerto Rico’s credit vultures. VW pays more. EVs cost less. Musk’ BFR. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-29-2017

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Financial Review

State of Emergency

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-01-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Another Dow record high. Apple sweet. ISM manufacturing slips. Car sales slumber. Consumer spending and inflation flat. Sully opposes air traffic control privatization. The Opioid Crisis – a national emergency. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-01-2017

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Financial Review

Halftime

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-30-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Stock wrap for the day, month, quarter and first half – mainly higher. Wheat wins. Dollar down. Oil down. Buffett wins again. Consumer spending up. Sentiment down. Illinois teeters on junk. Send in the ATF. Happy 4th. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-30-2017

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Financial Review

Slipping from Highs

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-30-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Personal income, consumer spending and inflation inch higher in April. FICO scores back at 2005 levels. Home prices up 5.8% in March. Consumer confidence down. Fed likely to hike rates in two weeks. Amazon tops $1,000 per share; Alphabet close behind. British Airways back on schedule. Payless closing more stores. Goldman Sachs props up Venezuelan bad guy. SCOTUS, once you buy it, it’s yours to do what you want.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-30-2017

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Financial Review

1Q in the Can

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-31-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..First quarter wrap-up. PCE inflation on the rise – tops Fed target. Consumer spending inches up, but we lost spending power due to inflation. Consumer sentiment very strong. Telecoms bow to consumers over privacy, but net neutrality on the horizon. Airbus and Boeing unveil new planes. SpaceX reuses its rocket. Highways crumble in Atlanta. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-31-2017

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Financial Review

Ban Blowback

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1A-01-30-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:13 — 5.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Refugee travel ban blowback. Two for one on regulations. Jobs report on Friday. FOMC meets tomorrow. Wall Street without Fed stimulus looks pricey. Consumer spending up. Pending home sales jump. Rig counts climb. Puerto Rico extension. VW the biggest. No accounting for Toshiba. Fitbit unhealthy. Tempur Sealy nightmares. Walgreens Rite Aid shrinkage. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-30-2017

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Financial Review

November Wrap

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-30-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..A November to remember as stocks hit records and bonds bleed. OPEC agrees to production cuts – oil soars. ADP says 216k new jobs. Consumer spending rose, inflation not so much. Beige Book confirms Fed rate hike. Mnuchin and Ross picked for Treasury and Commerce. Carrier keeps half of workers in Indiana. Lucid has big plans for Casa Grande. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-30-2016.

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Financial Review

Deutsche Bank Running on Rumors

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-30-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS….. 3Q recap. Deutsche Bank hits lows – and then a rumor of a cheap settlement with DOJ. Euro banks still look ugly and DB is one of the worst. Consumer sentiment up. Consumer spending down. EU approves Paris Climate Accord – it’s a done deal. Yellen says Fed might start buying corporate bonds and stocks (vintage wine and baseball cards?) Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-30-2016

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Financial Review

De Facto Fail

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-29-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSConsumer spending up with no signs of inflation. Arizona and Illinois election hack. Brazil impeachment update. TTIP de facto fail. Apple’s sweetheart tax deal. SunEdison cannibalized by creditors. The EpiPen price gouge continues generically. Drones will rule the world.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-29-2016

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Financial Review

7 Straight

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-02-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSDow down 7 straight. Oil under $40. Consumers spend more, save less. Home prices higher. Japan tries more stimulus. Auto sales slip. Biogen deal? Euro banks crushed again. Miami travel alert. Drones rule. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-02-2016

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Financial Review

Like It Never Happened

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-29-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSStocks rally for a second day. Euro Commission meets. Scots beg forgiveness. Stress tests. GE no longer a threat. Consumer spending up. Pending home sales down. Puerto Rico will default. Coke GMO in Vermont. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-29-2016

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Financial Review

Spend More, Buy the Same

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-31-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  Consumers spending more but not getting more; confidence wavers. 1Q earnings reporting season closes with another decline. Fed considers a hike. Brits consider a Brexit. A strike finally works. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-31-2016

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Financial Review

I Would Like to Thank the Academy

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-26-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-26-2016 DOW – 57 = 16,639 SPX – 3 = 1948 NAS + 8 = 4590 10 Y + .07 = 1.76 OIL – .29 = 32.79 GOLD – 10.90 = 1222.80   For the week, the Dow Industrials added 1.5%, the S&P 500 gained 2%, the Nasdaq was up 1.9%. The S&P 500 has rallied about 6.5 percent since reaching a 22-month low on Feb. 11, it remains lower by more than 4.5 percent for the year. The dollar strengthened for a third day versus the yen, while yields on 10-year Treasury notes topped 1.75 percent. Oil capped the biggest weekly gain since August, with a 10% move. China’s central bank said it sees room for monetary easing. Chinese markets were up over 1% after a big 6% drop Thursday.  The MSCI All-Country World Index rose 0.1 percent, while the Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 1.5 percent. Gold posted a consecutive weekly drop for the first time this year.   Finance ministers and central bank governors from the world’s leading economies have gathered in Shanghai to discuss a response to the global economic landscape. Among the many issues facing them is the plunge in commodity prices, market volatility, exchange rates and the slowdown of China’s economy. G20 participants will try to agree on a coordinated stimulus program that could stop a global slowdown from turning into something worse. …

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Financial Review

Or Just Google It

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-01-2016 DOW – 17 = 16,449 SPX – 0.86 = 1939 NAS + 6 = 4620 10 Y + .04 = 1.97% OIL – 2.23 = 31.39 GOLD + 10.20 = 1129.00   Following the S&P’s worst January since 2009 ( down -5.1%), and a volatile month for oil prices, about a fifth of S&P 500 companies will report earnings this week, while lots of economic data (manufacturing figures, auto sales and Friday’s jobs report) could also help determine the future direction of stocks. The consensus estimate calls for about 185,000 net new jobs in January, down from 292,000 in December. And just a reminder that last Friday brought the first look at fourth quarter GDP, which grew at an anemic 0.7% annual rate in the fourth quarter. That’s a bad quarter to be sure, and real GDP is up only 1.8% from a year ago. That’s a weak year judged by the US postwar average of 3.1%, but is not far from the 2.1% annual growth we’ve been averaging since 2009. The Atlanta Fed model’s initial estimate for first-quarter growth has been published; the “Nowcast” of first-quarter growth calls for 1.2% annualized growth. Weak, but not recessionary.   Also on Friday, the Bank of Japan moved to negative interest rates; this Wednesday BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is scheduled to speak. Today, European Central Bank president Mario Draghi addressed …

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Financial Review

The Gravy Boat

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-25-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-25-2015 DOW + 1 = 17,813 SPX – 0.27 = 2088 NAS + 13 = 5116 10 YR YLD – .01 = 2.23% OIL + .25 = 43.12 GOLD – 4.50 = 1071.90 SILV – .05 = 14.26   We have a boatload, or at least a gravy boat full of economic data before we get into the holiday. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits declined 12,000 to a seasonally adjusted 260,000 for the week ended Nov. 21. Claims have now held below the 300,000 threshold for 38 consecutive weeks, the longest stretch in years, and remain close to levels last seen 42 years ago.   Orders for business equipment climbed more than forecast in October. Bookings for non-military capital goods excluding aircraft rose 1.3 percent, the most in three months, after an upwardly revised 0.4 percent increase in September; non-defense capital goods are considered a proxy for business investment. So, today’s report shows businesses are spending more on business. It may be too early to call it a trend reversal but cap ex spending had been weak, in large part due to cuts in the energy sector, and also the tendency for companies to indulge in share buybacks rather than plowing money back into the business.   Orders for all durable goods, items meant to last at least three years, climbed 3 percent. Commercial aircraft orders surged 81 …

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Financial Review

Times Are Changing

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-30-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-30-2015 DOW – 92 = 17,663 SPX – 10 = 2079 NAS – 20 = 5053 10 YR YLD – .04 = 2.14% OIL + .37 = 46.43 GOLD – 4.50 = 1142.00 SILV – .12 = 15.56   The Senate officially passed the budget deal this morning, averting debt default next week or a government shutdown in December. The agreement will increase spending by $80 billion above sequestration caps for military and domestic programs and lift the debt ceiling through March 2017. The House approved the deal on Wednesday and President Obama will now sign it into law.   The cost of employing the average U.S. worker sped up in the third quarter after a record-low increase in the spring. The employment cost index advanced a seasonally adjusted 0.6% from July to September after a 0.2% gain in the second quarter. Wages – some 70% of employment costs – rose 0.6% in the third quarter. Benefits increased 0.5%. Over the past 12 months, employment costs have risen an unadjusted 2%. This is an old story. Despite some ups and downs over the decades, US household incomes have been roughly stagnant for about 30 years. Even though wages have been stagnant, consumers keep consuming.   Core prices, which strip out food and energy costs, rose 0.1% from August and are up 1.3% from a year earlier. Consumer spending rose …

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Financial Review

Canoe Trips on Mars

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-28-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-28-2015   DOW – 312 = 16,001 SPX – 49 = 1881 NAS – 142 = 4543 10 YR YLD – .07 = 2.09% OIL – .03 = 44.40 GOLD – 14.20 = 1133.10 SILV – .53 = 14.70   Well, this was just ugly. All three major indices traded in correction territory today or more than 10 percent below their 52-week highs. For the Nasdaq Composite, the 50 day moving average crossed the 200 day moving average, forming a pattern that goes by the catchy name “death cross”. The Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF closed down 6.3%, following a 5% drop on Friday.   Shares in mining and trading company Glencore fell almost 30 percent and closed at a record low, wiping out more than $5 billion in market valuation. The fall followed publication of a note by analysts at investment bank Investec which raised doubts about Glencore’s valuation if spot metal prices do not improve. The note pointed to high debt levels and a need for deeper restructuring. The analysts wrote: “If major commodity prices remain at current levels, our analysis implies that, in the absence of substantial restructuring, nearly all the equity value of both Glencore and Anglo American could evaporate.” Glencore, a Swiss based company, has said it will suspend dividends, sell assets and raise cash with a $2.5 billion share placement, among other measures, to cut its …

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Financial Review

Do Computers Dream of Algorithmic Capitulation?

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-28-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-28-2015 DOW – 11 = 16,643 SPX + 1 = 1988 NAS + 15 = 4828 10 YR YLD + .02 = 2.19% OIL + 2.71 = 45.27 GOLD + 8.30 = 1134.80 SILV + .08 = 14.70   The week roared in like a lion and left like a lamb. For the week, the Dow gained 1.1 percent, the S&P rose 0.9 percent and the Nasdaq added 2.6 percent. Go figure. Panicked selling on Monday and Tuesday gave way to a rush to buy on Wednesday and Thursday.  And for many investors, it was just too much. Equity funds saw $29.5 billion head for the exits, the largest weekly outflow on record. On Tuesday, investors pulled out $19 billion, the biggest single day for outflows in the past 8 years.  Some traders would call that “capitulation”, a sign of a bottom in the markets.   The chaos of this week’s markets appeared to hit smaller investors especially hard, leaving yet another dent in their stock market confidence. The Monday flash crash resulted in smaller investors being locked out of their online accounts. Strange glitches appeared. Exchanges spit out the wrong prices for widely held funds. For example, the SPDR S&P Dividend ETF dropped 33% in 15 minutes, then shot right back up 30 minutes later, while the stocks tracked by the ETF never fell that far. The QQQ, …

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