Financial Review

Feb. 21, 2019 Links

What we are reading today. The Mueller Report Is Coming. Here’s What to Expect. – New York Times. A lot of people are going to be upset; we just don’t yet know which side. Robert Mueller’s “collusion” case so far, explained – Vox. Too far or not far enough. BAML: Investors are freaking out about the rising prospect of a global recession. – Business Insider. The biggest fear for credit investors. The trigger? Maybe that Commerce Dept is expected to report that foreign car imports pose a national security threat and might be subject to tariffs. Autos, planes boost durable-goods orders in December, but growth was invisible outside of transportation – Marketwatch. If cars and planes are stripped out of the equation, orders rose just 0.1%. So, yes, tariffs on cars would probably lead to a global recession. Leading index for U.S. economy falls in January, but there’s a catch – Marketwatch. Incomplete data due to government shutdown. JP Morgan economists now see the economy growing at just 1.5% pace this quarter – CNBC. Following the fourth quarter’s sluggish 1.4 percent pace. Bad economic news is bad for the stock market again with the Fed already on hold – CNBC.  The “put” is not in play while the Fed hits pause. The Supreme Court Just Stopped Local Sheriffs From Carjacking to Pay the Bills – Yahoo. The 14th Amendment’s excessive fines and the 8th Amendment’s due process kill the local sheriff’s slush fund. The bizarre election fraud hearings that could …

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Financial Review

In Need of Pie

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-21-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:10 — 7.5MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Stocks stumble into holiday. Economic data dump: existing home sales, housing starts tick up, consumer sentiment falls, durable goods orders sink, LEI ticks up. Oil bounces. Wrapping up USMCA. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-21-2018

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Financial Review

Into the Weekend

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-25-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:05 — 7.5MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Stocks slip again, but up for the week. Oil down. Trade war bluster. EU GDPR – Alexa, is that a good idea? No cruising in the Chrysler. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-25-2018

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Financial Review

Davos Populism

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-26-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Record highs for Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq. 4Q GDP at 2.6%; economy grew 2.3% for 2017. Dec. durable goods up 2.9%. Trump floats America First in Davos. Dollar continues to crater. States sue over SALT. The final days of Sears? Bombardier ok. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-26-2018

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Financial Review

Ain’t That a Shame

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-25-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Stocks fall on weak earnings. Durable goods orders up. New home sales pop. ECB meets tomorrow. Budget vote tomorrow on Capitol Hill, maybe. CBO scores on CSRs show it would pay to save ACA. Late night vote nullifies end of forced arbitration. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-25-2017

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Financial Review

Aggressive Spacing and Large Fonts

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-27-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Russell 2000 record. Tax plan unveiled, minus details. Treasuries slammed. Durable goods orders jump. Commerce slaps duties on Bombardier. Fewer contracts on homes. Sonic hack. Amazon has new stuff. Google turns 19. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-27-2017

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Financial Review

Scored

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-26-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS….Quiet on Wall Street. CBO scores Senate healthcare bill; 22 million will lose insurance. SCOTUS: upholds most of Trump travel ban for now and will rule in October; will consider whistleblower states; will consider gay wedding cakes; ruled on gay couples being named on birth certificates; ruled on taxpayer grants for church playgrounds; declined a challenge to limits on carrying guns in public. Durable goods orders dip. ISIS hacks state computers. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-26-2017

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Financial Review

Scotch and Cigarettes

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-24-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..After 7 years, move on. Obamacare repeal is dead. Capital goods dip. Durable goods up. Oil down. All drill, no frack. Keystone XL approved; full employment for lawyers. Euro banks need to work on living wills. KfW $5.4 billion oops. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-24-2017

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Financial Review

Boxcars

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-27-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Twelve consecutive record high closes for the Dow. Mr. Trump goes to Congress and he has a budget; more on defense, less discretionary; no change to Social Security and Medicare; repeal Obamacare. Warrant Buffett’s annual shareholder letter paints a rosy picture of the economy and stocks, but blasts hedge funds and investment fees. GE’s Jeff Immelt’s letter to shareholders marks the end of the global elite.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-27-2017

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Financial Review

The Mark Inside

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1A-01-27-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:08 — 5.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Nasdaq record high. VIX multi-year low. 4Q GDP 1.9%. 2016 GDP 1.6%. Room to grow. Lucha Libre: Trump v. Slim. PM May comes a begging.  UBS redemptions. Sears fading away. Iranian tankers sail. Happy New Year. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-27-2017

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Financial Review

Happy Turkey

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-23-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Three more indices hit records. Fed minutes confirm rate hike. New orders show strong economy. Overtime pay rule nixed. Car sales set to top record. IEA predicts gas demand peak. Amazon pilots strike. Lufthansana pilots strike. Google might pay taxes in Indonesia. Facebook has a censorship tool for China. Aloe vera gel isn’t. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-23-2016.

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Financial Review

Meh

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-27-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..A bad month for bonds. Qualcomm buys NXP. Alphabet/Google beats. Amazon misses. Deutsche Bank posts profit and angst. Wallonia relents. UK GDP grows. Durable goods orders fall. ZTO IPO thud. Exxon must turn over documents on climate change. The forecast for winter – warm and dry. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-27-2016

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Financial Review

Knee Jerk Trading

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-28-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS……OPEC might cut output, kinda, sorta. Congress overrides veto to sue Saudis. Senate approves CR funding. Janet Yellen testifies. Wells Fargo claws back a pittance. California cuts ties to Wells. The Arizona Republic is with Hillary. Durable goods flat. ABInBev’s global domination of beer. RBS fined. No rescue plan for Deutsche Bank. Tyson chicken nuggets now fortified with plastic. The inevitable end of the crackberry. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-28-2016

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Financial Review

Mylan Digs a Deeper Hole

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-25-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSUnemployment claims 77 week streak.  Durable goods orders are solid. Waiting on the Fed in Jackson Hole, even if you are Fed Up. Mylan gets greedy and CEO digs the hole deeper. Brazil impeachment update. The end of FARC. Turkey moves into Syria. ON Semi gets approval for Fairchild Semi. Sears staggered. Uber losses. Robo-taxi happens. Airbnb shows very real meaning of hospitality. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-25-2016

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Financial Review

The Fed Said…

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-27-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFed no change but hints at hikes. Durable goods orders drop. Pending home sales up. Oil in a bear. Apple sold one billion. Facebook crushes it. Analog Devices buying Linear Tech. State Street misconduct. You can’t win if you don’t play – good luck. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-27-2016

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Financial Review

How Low Can It Go?

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-05-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSUS Treasuries hit new lows. Pound at 30 year low. Factory orders and durable goods orders dip. Home prices – more of the same. UK RE funds freeze. Italian banks go sour. USA the oiliest. Juno goes Jovian. Google DeepMind wants to see your eyes. Three more Libor convictions. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-05-2016

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Financial Review

Java for All

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-26-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSPending home sales increase, durable goods orders increase, jobless claims decrease. Google beats Oracle and retains dominion over the Android kingdom. Microsoft and Facebook lay cable. The French protest. American Airlines doth protest too much. Takata? Why? Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-26-2016

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Financial Review

Waiting on the FOMC

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-26-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSMarkets calm ahead of FOMC decision. Apple chopped. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-26-2016

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Financial Review

Fed Jawbones Hawkish

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-24-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSThe Fed talks hawkish, numbers don’t add up, Argentina skates, Puerto Rico under new colonial rule.

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Financial Review

If You Build It

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-25-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-25-2016 DOW + 212 = 16,697 SPX + 21 = 1951 NAS + 39 = 4582 10 Y – .05 = 1.70% OIL + .93 = 33.08 GOLD + 4.30 = 1233.70 The Shanghai Composite in China dropped 6.4% today, extending its fall this year to 22%, as surging money-market rates signaled tighter liquidity and the offshore yuan weakened for a fifth day, while the country’s vice finance minister warned of pressure on exports. The plunge comes as world leaders gather for a G20 meeting in Shanghai, where current market turmoil and a global economic slowdown are expected to be key topics of discussion. European shares bounced after two days of falls, and sterling steadied after having been pounded all week by ‘Brexit’ fears.  The S&P 500 Index closed at a seven-week high, right at a major level of resistance, and just barely breaking above the 50 day moving average.   Meanwhile, the IMF is calling for urgent and bold action to combat the slowing world economy ahead of the gathering of G20 finance ministers and central bank chiefs. The IMF report says: “The G20 must plan now for coordinated demand support using available fiscal space to boost public investment.” The calls for an organized stimulus program followed warnings that China’s slowdown, financial market turbulence and the collapse in commodity prices were major headwinds that could derail a global …

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