Financial Review

C’est l’économie stupide

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-2-04-12-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 20:24 — 11.7MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Wall Street down today, up for the week. Oil down for the week, but gasoline prices head higher. Tax reform next week, if the government stays open. Existing home sales up. State by state unemployment rates lower in March. Fed’s Fischer sanguine on the economy. Exxon can’t drill in Russia. VW on probation. Extended audio analysis of the upcoming French election. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-21-2017

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Financial Review

Hippity Hoppity

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-17-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Markets bounce after a couple of weak weeks. GDP forecasts slip. Earnings season kicks into gear. Where will earnings come from? Eurozone and emerging markets. Mnuchin: tax reform “not realistic”. United tops earnings forecast. Netflix beat earnings but missed on subs. HCA, not enough emergencies. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-17-2017

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Financial Review

The Wisdom of Solomon

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-31-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Eurozone grows. BOJ stands pat. FOMC meets. Home sales up. Consumer confidence down. Deutsche Bank launders money. Apple beats, beats, beats. Exxon’s big impairment – not worth it to pull it out of the ground. Trump meets drugmakers. Tom Price did get a discount. OneWest did engage in robo-signings. Trump fires Yates. Trump names next justice. Hoping for Solomon. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-31-2017

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Financial Review

Dow 20K Redux

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1A-01-26-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:01 — 5.5MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Another record high close for the Dow. Earnings reporting in full bloom. J&J buys Actelion. Oprah ends world hunger. Jobless claims up. New home sales down. Tomorrow 4Q GDP. More on the wall. Mexico cancels meeting. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-26-2017

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Financial Review

Meh

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-27-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..A bad month for bonds. Qualcomm buys NXP. Alphabet/Google beats. Amazon misses. Deutsche Bank posts profit and angst. Wallonia relents. UK GDP grows. Durable goods orders fall. ZTO IPO thud. Exxon must turn over documents on climate change. The forecast for winter – warm and dry. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-27-2016

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Financial Review

Apple Bites

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-26-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSResale home prices continue to rebound. New home sales up. Consumer confidence flat. Fed FOMC deliberates. Earnings galore but the big one is Apple, and it wasn’t as bad as it could have been. Fiat fudged sales numbers. VW has a plan. Amazon has drones in the UK. You could fly around the world without using a drop of oil. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-26-2016

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Financial Review

The Rent is Too High

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-19-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSAnother record high close for the Dow. Housing rebounds but the rent is too high. We spend more on drugs than groceries. IMF cuts forecast for global growth. Offshore oil (not what you think). Earnings reports from: Wells Fargo, Goldman, IBM, Microsoft, and more. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-19-2016

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Financial Review

Don’t Drink the Water

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-20-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSHome sales, earnings reports, bad car companies, and the latest from SCOTUS. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-20-2016

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Financial Review

Flip Flop Fedspeak

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-18-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-18-2016 DOW – 40 = 16,413 SPX – 8 = 1917 NAS – 46 = 4487 10 Y – .06 = 1.76% OIL – .12 = 30.54 GOLD + 22.30 = 1231.70 After spending 2015 calling for rate hikes St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Wednesday evening in a speech on monetary policy that it would be unwise for the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates given declining inflation expectations and recent equity market volatility. Bullard, who is a voting member of the Fed’s rate-setting committee this year, said he now feels key assumptions supporting higher rates have been undermined. Bullard’s big concern is inflation expectations, and inflation has been trending lower, and Bullard believes stock market expectations have a big impact on inflation. In contrast to Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen or Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, Bullard doesn’t think labor market conditions have much impact on inflation as the traditional “Phillips curve” suggests.   Today, San Francisco Fed President John Williams gave a speech in LA, where he said the economy “is, all in all, looking pretty good.” Williams said his views of the economy haven’t changed much from December: “When I look at my December forecast and compare it with my outlook for unemployment and core inflation today, there’s virtually no change” Williams said he was aware of potential risks facing the economy but …

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Financial Review

Groundhog Day EP

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-2-02-02-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 20:26 — 9.4MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-02-2016 DOW – 295 = 16,153 SPX – 36 = 1903 NAS – 103 = 4516 10 Y – .10 = 1.86% OIL – 1.74 = 29.88 GOLD + 1.00 = 1130.00   A big move for stocks and bonds today. While a 295 point drop, or 1.8%, in the Dow will attract some headlines, we also saw a less flashy move in bonds, with the yield on 10-year Treasuries drop 10 basis points, to 1.86% – that’s a 5.2% drop. After hitting resistance levels from October, yields continued dropping to lows last seen in April.   Stocks moved lower again, following the trail of oil prices, which dropped 5.5% today to close below $30 a barrel. Not a big surprise because the trend has been lower, and a trend in place is more likely to continue than it is to reverse. We are definitely in a downtrend. The S&P 500 is now right at 10% below its May record, which means correction territory, not a  bear market, although many stocks in the S&P are in bear market territory –  specifically the energy stocks.  The rally last week looks like not much more than end-of-month reshuffling, which happened at the same time the Bank of Japan surprised the markets with negative interest rates, but the BOJ can’t announce negative interest rates every day.   Right now, any rally …

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