Financial Review

Countdown

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-05-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Waiting for the election. Iran sanctions in effect. Talk about talking with China. Net neutrality. Lowe’s closing stores. Amazon might have 2 new HQs. FedEx to hike rates. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-05-2018

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Financial Review

When It Rains It Pours

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-19-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS….Dow, S&P and Nasdaq hit records. Waiting on the Fed. Trump’s first UN speech. Obamacare on the block again. Tax reform would add $1.5 trillion to deficit. Did Wells Fargo beat the rap? Equifax sinks lower. Hurricane Maria to PR. Housing starts slip. And more Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-19-2017

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Financial Review

Bounce Back

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-28-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Stocks bounce back. Banks pass test and start handing out money. Pending home sales dip on tight inventory and affordability. Everybody hates BCRA. Petya spreads. New airline security, sorta. Blue Apron cuts price. Philps buys Spectranetics. Pink slime settlement. Illinois junk. No Brazilian passports. Facebook 2 billion. Sycamore buys Staples. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-28-2017

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Financial Review

Driving Down Third Avenue

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-12-28-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 12-28-2015 DOW – 23 = 17,528 SPX – 4 = 2056 NAS – 7 = 5040 10 YR YLD – .01 = 2.23% OIL – 1.39 = 36.71 GOLD – 7.50 = 1069.80   Storms hit the South, Southwest and Midwest over the Christmas holiday weekend, unleashing floods and tornadoes that killed at least 43 people, flattened buildings and snarled transportation for millions during a busy travel time. The bad weather, or the threat of it, prompted the governors of Missouri and New Mexico to declare a state of emergency for their states. Flash floods killed at least 13 people in Missouri and Illinois. In Texas, at least 11 people were killed in the Dallas area over the weekend by tornadoes.   Oil prices were down again this morning, following a five-day rally that saw prices move to the highest level in three weeks. Iran repeated its goal of boosting exports after sanctions on the country are lifted. OPEC effectively abandoned output limits earlier this month. Today, Saudi Arabia announced it would boost production to defend its market share. The kingdom’s revenue from oil sales will make up about 70% of the budget next year, down from 73% this year and down from 89% last year. The Saudi 2016 budget is estimated to be based on a $37 a barrel for Brent oil prices; the first Saudi budget in …

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Financial Review

Denying Denial

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-26-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-26-2015 DOW – 23 = 17,623 SPX – 3 = 2071 NAS + 2 = 5034 10 YR YLD – .02 = 2.06% OIL – .87 = 43.73 GOLD – 1.10 = 1163.90 SILV + .03 = 15.94   The U.S. economy has looked shaky of late, and an expected weak reading on third-quarter gross domestic product should confirm that. As a result, the Federal Reserve is again expected to keep interest rates near zero. The Fed decision, due Wednesday, and the GDP report, coming Thursday, will be the center of focus on this week’s economic calendar. Weak data almost certainly means the Fed will stick with its Zero Interest Rate Policy at this week’s meeting. The big question is whether the Fed will hint at a December move.   Also on the calendar this week is some sort of deal for the debt ceiling, which needs to be raised by November 3 in order to avoid default; and to meet the November 3 deadline, a deal needs to be reached this week. Talks have intensified between the White House and House Speaker John Boehner on a two-year budget agreement that would also increase the federal debt limit. Congressional leaders are said to be nearing an agreement, which would then need to win backing from most Democrats and at least several dozen Republicans for House passage. The deal …

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Financial Review

Seven Years

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-15-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-15-2015 DOW + 228 = 16,599 SPX + 25 = 1978 NAS + 54 = 4860 10 YR YLD + .09 = 2.28% OIL + .38 = 44.97 GOLD – 3.30 = 1106.10 SILV – .01 = 14.51   Retail sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services increased 0.4 percent in August after an upwardly revised 0.6 percent increase in July. These so-called core retail sales, which correspond closely to the consumer spending component of gross domestic product, provided the latest sign of sturdy economic momentum and suggested the recent stock market sell-off had little immediate impact on U.S. household spending.   A separate report from the Federal Reserve, however, showed manufacturing output fell a sharper-than-expected 0.5 percent as auto production slid, after a rise of 0.9 percent in July. Excluding autos, factory output was unchanged. The manufacturing sector has been struggling, faced with the headwinds of a strong dollar, slack economies overseas and lower oil prices.   While most economists think the Fed may wait to raise interest rates, and futures contracts show only a 30 percent probability that the Fed will boost rates on Thursday, the Treasury market is bracing for a hike. Treasuries tumbled, lifting the two-year note yield to the highest since April 2011. Treasury two-year note yields rose eight basis points, or 0.08 percentage point, to 0.81 percent. Benchmark 10-year note yields rose nine basis …

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Uncategorized

Tuesday, September 18, 2012 – Maybe We’ll Just Keep Plugging Along

Maybe We’ll Just Keep Plugging Along -by Sinclair Noe DOW + 11 = 13,564SPX – 1 = 1459NAS -0.87 = 317710 YR YLD -.03 = 1.81%OIL +.24 = 95.53GOLD + 8.60 = 1772.10SILV + .53 = 34.88PLAT – 38.00 = 1635.00 FedEx lowered its outlook for global growth and industrial production when it reported fiscal first-quarter earnings. That has negative implications for energy demand. The world’s No. 2 package delivery company forecast a continued slowdown in global trade. Yesterday, we told you about the little flash crash in oil. The price of a barrel of oil dropped $3 in about one minute for no apparent reason. There were rumors of an announced or leaked SPR release decision, then there were rumors of an algorithmic trade gone bad. The timing was suspect; the equity and other markets have rallied due to all of the announced and expected easing measures from the Fed and the ECB; the belief is that consumption and economic growth will necessarily follow due to extremely low interest rates and the positive effect of inflation on asset values. And commodity prices, including oil, moved higher after QE 1&2. So, it was strange to see prices just drop for no apparent reason; they seemed to collapse of their own weight. Maybe the outlook for the economy is more dire than we think. Maybe demand for oil is far less than projected. Maybe the Fed has done all they can and they’ve run out of firepower. Maybe the odd price …

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