Financial Review

Facebook Cracks

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-25-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Stocks rally on hope for trade agreement with EU. Facebook slammed on earnings. Tariffs hit multiple companies 2Q earnings. New home sales drop. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-25-2018

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Insert Clever Eclipse Headline

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-21-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS….Markets on pause. Fed labor survey slack. Afghanistan strategy. Trump to Phoenix. No climate assessment. No debt default, maybe. Sempra busy Oncor. Total buys Maersk oil. Chinese Jeeps. The ultimate photobomb. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-21-2017

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Settling a Score

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-24-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Fed minutes point to June rate hike and slowly shrinking balance sheet. CBO scores AHCA and it is ugly. Trump and Pope Francis. Previously owned home sales sputter. China’s credit rating cut. Brazil ablaze. Fiat Chrysler pulls a VW. Facebook buying news.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-24-2017

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Harbingers

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-22-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..London attacked. Markets quiet but volatility ahead. Budget cuts to environmental programs not so easy. Existing home sales dip. Mortgage apps dip. Millionaire households grow fast. Nike, Fed Ex earnings. Fiat Chrysler investigation. ING investigation. ECB on protectionism. T+3 is history. Google ads popping up in the darnedest places. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-22-2017

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Had to Happen

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1A-01-12-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:16 — 5.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Stocks drop as bulls left empty handed. Import/export prices higher. First step to repeal Obamacare. A long line of kowtowers. Airlines did not collude. Unicredit on the edge. J&J to buy Actelion. Homebuyers get cold feet. AZ MLS reports Phoenix home sales up, inventory tight. Apple goes Hollywood. VW execs indicted. Fiat Chrysler emissions cheating. Takata settles. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-12-2017

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Rarely the First

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-09-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Risk off day but Nasdaq record. Fed jawbones hawkish. Hard Brexit. Hard confirmation hearing. Revenge for one-China. McDonald’s and Taco Bell in China. Fiat Chrysler in the Midwest. Waymo in cars. M&A: Takeda/Ariad, United Health/Surgical Affiliates, Mars/VCA. Microsoft’s Nokia. IBM patent winner, again. The anniversary of the iPhone. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-09-2017

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Welcome to Earnings Reporting Season

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-11-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Alcoa kicks off earnings reports – batten down the hatches. Hard Brexit will be expensive. Rosneft chief says nyet to oil production cap. Galaxy Note 7 is finished. GE looks for renewables. Bids for Twitter? Bueller? Bueller? FCA has a deal with union. Chicago schools have a deal with union. Theranos sued. Phoenix real estate – good sales, more inventory, fewer foreclosures, fewer cash investors. The downward spiral of the American shopping mall. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-11-2016

READ MORE →
Financial Review

CoCo Pop

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-09-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-09-2016 DOW – 12 = 16,014 SPX – 1 = 1852 NAS – 14 = 4268 10 Y – .01 = 1.73% OIL – 1.41 = 28.28 GOLD – .20 = 1189.80   Japanese stocks crashed 5.4%, making for the biggest daily drop since June 2013. The sell-off has the Nikkei hovering near a 16-month low.

READ MORE →
Financial Review

The Day of Futures Past

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-21-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-21-2015   DOW – 48 = 17,168 SPX – 11 = 2018 NAS – 40 = 4840 10 YR YLD – .04 = 2.03% OIL – 1.08 = 45.21 GOLD – 9.10 = 1167.70 SILV – .22 = 15.78   Oil futures settled at their lowest level in nearly three weeks. OPEC is holding a special meeting in Vienna with cartel members and non-members Russia and Mexico to discuss ways to prop up oil prices. Don’t hold your breath. Meanwhile, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a much bigger than expected increase of eight million barrels in crude supplies for the past week.   The European Commission has ruled that Starbucks and Fiat Chrysler’s tax deals with the Netherlands and Luxembourg are illegal state aid, ordering the respective governments to recover as much as $34 million from each. The ruling follows an EU investigation launched in June 2014. It looked into whether the two companies were given so-called sweetheart tax deals that effectively lowered their corporate taxes.  Who’s up next? European regulators are finishing up investigations into McDonald’s and Amazon’s tax affairs in Luxembourg and Apple’s arrangements in Ireland.   Outgoing House Speaker John Boehner said Republicans will meet on Oct. 28 to nominate a candidate to replace him. Last night, Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin said he would run for the job if certain conditions were met. With a critical …

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Don’t Bet the Farm

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-16-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-16-2015 DOW + 140 = 16,739 SPX + 17 = 1995 NAS + 28 = 4889 10 YR YLD + .02 = 2.30% OIL + 2.56 = 47.15 GOLD + 14.10 = 1120.20 SILV + .53 = 15.03   The cost of consumer goods fell in August for the first time since the beginning of the year, owing mostly to another sharp drop in gasoline prices as the summer driving season came to an end. The consumer price index, or the cost of living, fell by a seasonally adjusted 0.1% last month. That’s the first decline since January. Retail prices are up just 0.2% in the past year. Excluding food and energy, so-called core consumer prices rose 0.1% in August. Core prices have risen just 1.8% in the past 12 months, unchanged from in July.   Energy prices declined 2% in August. Most of the relief came in the form of lower prices at the pump. The cost of a regular gallon of gas fell about 8% last month. The price of fuel had risen three straight months before the decline in August. Still, energy prices are down 15% over the past year. Food prices rose again, however. They increased 0.2% in August, spurred by higher costs of eggs, fruits and vegetables. The cost of airline tickets dropped for the second straight month. The price of new cars and …

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Confidently Waiting

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-14-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-14-2015   DOW – 62 = 16,370 SPX – 8 = 1953 NAS + 26 = 4822 10 YR YLD un = 2.18% OIL – .49 = 44.14 GOLD – .30 = 1109.40 SILV – .21 = 14.51   The story that will be leading markets throughout this week will be Thursday’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision. While market expectations of an increase in rates have fallen to 28 percent, down from over 50 percent a few weeks ago, economists insist the decision is still too close to call. The Fed has been saying they will hike interest rates; this may be one of the most telegraphed rate hikes in the Fed’s history, but circumstances keep changing. Since the last Fed meeting, oil prices have dropped by 15%, the dollar has strengthened, China has slowed, emerging markets have softened, and there is little to no sign of inflation despite a Fed target of 2%. By the way, we’ll get one more report on inflation Wednesday, with the release of the CPI, or consumer price index. So, there are many reasons why the Fed might not raise rates, but then if they do stand pat, they risk coming across as timid, or worried that the recovery is in trouble. If they hike rates they can give the impression they are confident, and confidence begets confidence. And so some clever folks think …

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Fired Up

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-26-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-26-2015 DOW + 619 = 16,285 SPX + 72 = 1940 NAS + 191 = 4697 10 YR YLD + .04 = 2.17% OIL – .44 = 38.87 GOLD – 15.00 = 1126.40 SILV – .58 = 14.21   Stocks finally snapped a weeklong string of severe declines. The gain was the third-highest point gain in history for the Dow Jones industrials but, on a percentage basis, the 4% gain was not even in the top 20 historically. The Dow opened with a 443-point surge, pulled back and then rallied again to finish near its highs of the day, unlike yesterday when stocks surrendered their entire early gains and turned negative in the final hour of trade.   In China, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.3%, despite a new $22 billion injection from Beijing to shore up growth. Chinese equities have now extended their steepest five-day drop since 1996, losing half their value, or $5 trillion, since mid-June. Shares elsewhere in Asia ended mixed; European stocks were deep in the red.   We started with some strong economic data. Durable-goods orders rose a seasonally adjusted 2% last month after a 4.1% gain in June. Bookings for new cars and trucks and military hardware led the way. Orders rose 4% for autos and 22.3% for large defense goods such as fighter jets, missiles and tanks. Orders for aircraft dropped 6%. …

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Risk Off

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-27-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW – 127 = 17,440 SPX – 12 = 2067 NAS – 48 = 5039 10 YR YLD – .04 = 2.23% OIL – .75 = 47.39 GOLD – 5.00 = 1095.50 SILV – .20 = 14.64   Chinese stocks fell sharply today. The Shanghai Composite fell 8.5% to record its largest one-day drop since June 2007, and the Shenzhen A-shares index lost 7% of its value. Weak manufacturing data revealed that profit at the country’s industrial firms dropped 0.3% in June from a year earlier, but the markets appear to be responding to government attempts to stabilize the country’s volatile stock markets; it seems like the Chinese government’s heavy-handed intervention measures are spooking investors. The fear is that the government will withdraw stimulus measures, and once the support disappears, the market won’t be able to stand on its own. In a way, the investors might be front-running the government; getting out before stimulus dries up.   Commodity prices resumed their downward spiral with the CRB commodities index hitting its lowest levels in six years and oil prices hitting a four-month low. Nine of the 10 major S&P 500 sectors were lower with the energy index leading the decliners. Stocks came off session lows in the close. The S&P 500 dipped below its 200-day moving average of 2,064 and closed a few points above it. The energy sector was the worst …

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Glitch/Print

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-24-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW – 163 = 17,568 SPX – 22 = 2079 NAS – 57 = 5088 10 YR YLD un 2.27% OIL – .31 = 48.14 GOLD + 9.10 = 1100.50 SILV + .08 = 14.84   Well, this turned out to be an ugly week. The Dow lost 600 points from the high a week ago. The Dow lost 2.8% on the week, dropping below its 200 day moving average. The S&P lost 2.1%; Nasdaq down 2.2%. The Russell 3000 was down 3.1% for the week. Amazon gave back about half of yesterday’s gain. Crude oil hit a 4-month low.   And if you are not quite sure what to make of the markets, that is understandable; they aren’t going up and they aren’t going down, we are in a sideways market; this might be the mother of all sideways markets. The Dow is in slightly negative territory year to date. The Dow has moved on either side of breakeven 21 times so far this year. According to research from Bespoke Investment, no other year has been so fickle, the closest being the 20 times the blue chip index swung in both 1934 and 1994. The S&P 500 went through the first half of the year without moving more than 3.5 percent in either direction.   Hedge funds are holding the first ever bet on a decline in gold …

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Sooner Rather Than Later

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-18-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 180 = 18,115 SPX + 20 = 2121 NAS + 68 = 5132 10 YR YLD + .04 = 2.35% OIL + .53 = 60.45 GOLD + 16.90 = 1203.00 SILV + .04 = 16.26   Three straight days of gains on Wall Street.  The Nasdaq finished up 68 points, or 1.3%, to 5132.95 and hit a new intraday record high of 5143.32. That tops its previous all-time intraday high of 5132.52, set back in March 10, 2000. The Nasdaq’s previous closing high of 5,106.59 was notched much more recently, on May 27. The rally was broad-based as all 10 S&P sectors rose with health care leading the way and all 30 stocks of the Dow posted gains.   We start with economic data. The consumer price index rose a seasonally adjusted 0.4% last month, almost entirely because of a surge in gasoline prices ahead of the summer driving season. Gas prices shot up 10.4% to mark the largest gain in six years. The overall cost of food, meanwhile, was unchanged for the second month in a row. Stripping out the volatile food and energy categories, so-called core consumer prices rose a much milder 0.1% in May. The cost of housing, airline tickets and medical care all rose while clothing prices declined.   The Conference Board’s leading economic index rose 0.7% in May for the second month …

READ MORE →
Financial Review

A Short Week

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-26-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW – 190 = 18,041 SPX – 21 = 2104 NAS – 56 = 5032 10 YR YLD – .08 = 2.14% OIL – 1.37 = 58.35 GOLD – 18.10 = 1188.80 SILV – .35 = 16.82   The S&P/Case-Shiller Home price index shows prices for existing homes rose in March. Both the 10- and 20-City Composites increased significantly, reporting 0.8% and 0.9% month-over-month increases, respectively. Both the 10-City and 20-City Composites saw year-over-year increases in March. The 10-City Composite gained 4.7% year-over-year, while the 20-City Composite gained 5.0% year-over-year.  Phoenix saw prices increase 0.6% in March,

READ MORE →