Financial Review

Don’t Fight the Fed

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-18-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  FOMC minutes show a June rate hike is on the table; Goldman sees no reason to own equities; plus overtime wages, steel tariffs, and if you have further questions ask that Google thingie. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-18-2016

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Financial Review

The Rebalancing

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-16-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSGoldman Sachs says oil rebalancing has begun; how it plays out over time. Plus, M&A on Monday, Warren bites on Apple, Hawaii punches Takata, and Supreme no-decision. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-16-2016

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Financial Review

GDP Meh

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-28-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSGDP sags, BOJ surprise, Amazon pops, Ford gets pricey, and Goldman is still playing the ponies. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-28-2016

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Financial Review

The Other Shoe

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-19-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSStocks climb, discounting weak earnings. Still waiting on the Fed, and more Panama Papers names. The heat builds. You deserve a break. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-19-2016

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Financial Review

A Dodgy Day

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-11-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSEarnings season starts with diminished expectations. UK PM David Cameron tries to justify dodgy deals. Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo just pay more fines. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-11-2016

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Financial Review

An Imperfect Circle

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-14-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  Waiting on the Fed FOMC. The FCIC recommended criminal investigation of banksters but the DOJ lost the memo.  And today is Pi Day.

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Financial Review

Where Robots Fear to Tread

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-10-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSECB Day and Draghi fires the bazooka. Also, the fifth anniversary of Fukushima.

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Financial Review

Falling Knives

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-08-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-08-2016   DOW – 109 = 16,964 SPX – 22 = 1979 NAS -59 = 4648 10 Y – .07 = 1.83% OIL – 1.67 = 36.23 GOLD – 6.50 = 1261.50     Small business confidence declined further in February as lingering concerns about sales growth and profits hurt capital spending and hiring plans. The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said its small business optimism index dropped one point to a reading of 92.9 last month, with none of the index’s components showing an increase. The index decreased 1.3 percentage points in January. Spending and hiring plans weakened a bit as expectations for growth in real sales volumes fell. Earnings trends worsened a bit as owners continued to report widespread gains in worker compensation while holding the line on price increases.   China’s February trade performance was far worse than economists had expected, days after top leaders at the National People’s Congress sought to reassure investors. Exports fell 25% from a year earlier, the biggest drop since May 2009, while imports slumped 13%, leaving a trade surplus of $32 billion. It’s easy to blame Chinese New Year distortions, but the numbers point to bigger economic problems.   Japan’s 10-year yield extended its push into negative territory, dropping to an all-time low of minus 0.12 percent, meaning almost three-quarters of Japanese government bonds currently offer yields at or below, zero percent. …

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Financial Review

Sub Zero

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-29-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-29-2016 DOW + 396 = 16,466 SPX + 46 = 1940 NAS + 107 = 4613 10 Y  – .05 = 1.93% OIL + .46 = 33.68 GOLD + 2.80 = 1118.80 SILV + .02 = 14.34   It’s Friday and also the last trading day of the month. For the week, the Dow gained 2.3%, the S&P added 1.7% and the Nasdaq increased 0.5%. That left the Dow down 5.5% for the month, or a loss of 959 points. The Nasdaq lost 7.9%, or 394 points in January, its largest monthly loss since May 2010. The S&P was down 103 points, or 5%, although at one point last week the S&P was down 11% since the start of the year. An index of US Treasury bonds returned 1.8% for January, which has been the best month of the year for bonds, at least over the past few years. The yield on the 10 year note dropped 24 basis points for the month. Gold and silver shared the safe haven spotlight with Treasuries. Gold gain $58.60, or 6% for the month. Silver added 53-cents or 3.8%, year-to-date. The dollar has gained just over 1% year-to-date, but is still below November highs. Even with today’s gain, oil closed out the month of January with a loss of $3.37 or 9%.     The U.S. economy expanded at a slower …

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Financial Review

Been to the Mountaintop

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-15-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-15-2016 DOW – 390 = 15,988 SPX – 41 = 1880 NAS – 126 = 4488 10 Y – .07 = 2.03% OIL – 1.52 = 29.68 GOLD + 10.30 = 1089.80   Let’s start with the good news: US stock and bond markets are closed Monday for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday.   For the day the Dow dropped 2.4%, the S&P 500 dropped 2.1%, and the Nasdaq lost 2.75%. And even though it was a volatile week, almost all of the damage for the week came in today’s session. The Dow Industrials did take out the September lows but not the August lows of 15,370. The Nasdaq composite knocked out the closing low from August but not the intra-day August low. The S&P 500 hit an intra-day low of 1857, dropping below the August 24th low of 1867. So we should wait for confirmation of a close below 1867 – at which point we have wiped out any reasonable support. The Russell 2000 small-cap index dropped as much as 3.5 percent to its lowest level since July 2013. The major S&P sectors all ended sharply lower. The energy sector dropped 2.87 percent as oil prices fell but the tech sector was the big loser, down 3.1%, with Intel down 9% following a weak earnings report after the close yesterday.   It’s a sea of red all …

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