Financial Review

ECB Day

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-21-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSECB holds on to ultra-loose policy, earnings season, strange moves in commodities, VW will pay for un-clean diesel, nobody invests anymore. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-21-2016

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Financial Review

Don’t Drink the Water

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-20-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSHome sales, earnings reports, bad car companies, and the latest from SCOTUS. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-20-2016

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Financial Review

No Deal in Doha, Dilma Doomed

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-18-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  No oil production cut deal; Saudis protest too much about 9/11; Dilma impeachment starts in Brazil; earnings in US; SCOTUS in session. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-18-2016

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Financial Review

Equally Divided

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-22-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSWall Street’s muted response to terrorism, FBI to Apple – never mind, Google in the cloud, and the Supremes are equally divided.

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Financial Review

The I File

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-19-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-19-2016 DOW – 21 = 16,391 SPX – .05 = 1917 NAS + 16 = 4504 10 Y – .01 = 1.74% OIL – 1.00 = 29.74 GOLD – 4.70 = 1227.00   So, stocks were basically flat today but it was a good week. Big gains on Tuesday and Wednesday lifted the major indexes to their best weekly performances this year, with the Nasdaq gained 3.9% for the week, its strongest week since July. The S&P 500 gained 2.8% for the week.   Crude gained sharply earlier this week as major oil producers proposed a joint production freeze, but investors remain cautious whether the cap will actually materialize and worry about building U.S. crude inventories. Late yesterday the Energy Information Administration said crude stockpiles rose 2.1 million barrels last week, to a peak of 504.1 million barrels in the third week of hitting record highs in the past month. The EIA also cited record high gasoline inventories. Oil and stocks have been trading in lockstep, sort of. Oil down, stocks down. Oil up, stocks up. Not exactly, not a perfect correlation, but stocks can’t seem to get out of the shadow of oil.   In earnings news: Applied Materials posted a strong profit and revenue forecast for the current quarter. Nordstrom shares dropped 6.7 percent after the department store operator’s quarterly profit and revenue missed expectations and they …

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Financial Review

That’s Her Story

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-10-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-10-2016   DOW – 99 = 15,914 SPX – 0.35 = 1851 NAS + 14 = 4283 10 Y – .02 = 1.70% OIL – .64 = 27.30 GOLD + 8.00 = 1197.80   Fed Chair Janet Yellen delivered her semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony in Washington today in her first major appearance since the Fed’s rate hike last December. In prepared testimony, Yellen said

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Financial Review

Or Just Google It

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-01-2016 DOW – 17 = 16,449 SPX – 0.86 = 1939 NAS + 6 = 4620 10 Y + .04 = 1.97% OIL – 2.23 = 31.39 GOLD + 10.20 = 1129.00   Following the S&P’s worst January since 2009 ( down -5.1%), and a volatile month for oil prices, about a fifth of S&P 500 companies will report earnings this week, while lots of economic data (manufacturing figures, auto sales and Friday’s jobs report) could also help determine the future direction of stocks. The consensus estimate calls for about 185,000 net new jobs in January, down from 292,000 in December. And just a reminder that last Friday brought the first look at fourth quarter GDP, which grew at an anemic 0.7% annual rate in the fourth quarter. That’s a bad quarter to be sure, and real GDP is up only 1.8% from a year ago. That’s a weak year judged by the US postwar average of 3.1%, but is not far from the 2.1% annual growth we’ve been averaging since 2009. The Atlanta Fed model’s initial estimate for first-quarter growth has been published; the “Nowcast” of first-quarter growth calls for 1.2% annualized growth. Weak, but not recessionary.   Also on Friday, the Bank of Japan moved to negative interest rates; this Wednesday BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is scheduled to speak. Today, European Central Bank president Mario Draghi addressed …

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Financial Review

Lonesome Tom and Tom Alone

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-27-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-27-2016 DOW – 222 = 15,944 SPX – 20 = 1882 NAS – 99 = 4468 10 Y + .01 = 2.00% OIL + .71 = 32.16 GOLD + 5.00 = 1125.70 Stocks started the session down, a little over 150 points, then rallied and turned positive, then the Fed released its policy statement to wrap up its two-day FOMC meeting, and stocks fell again; 350 points from peak to trough, even though there was no surprise in the statement.   The Federal Reserve statement had a few changes from the last statement. First, there was no change in interest rates – as expected. The Fed says it expects the economy will continue to warrant only gradual rate increases – as expected. They will closely monitor global economic and financial developments – a soft backpedal from December, when they said risks were balanced. Not a big surprise. Inflation is expected to remain low because oil prices are down, but that won’t last forever – yeah, yeah. The strong dollar is a bit of a drag. Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December suggests that labor market conditions improved further even as economic growth slowed late last year – an acknowledgement that economic growth slowed, well that’s different. Their confidence in the economy has eroded since December. Not exactly. The Fed also noted the strength …

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Financial Review

A Far, Far Better Thing

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-12-03-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 12-03-2015 DOW – 252 = 17,477 SPX – 29 = 2049 NAS – 85 = 5037 10 YR YLD + .15 = 2.33% OIL + 1.33 = 41.27 GOLD + 8.40 = 1062.60 The S&P 500 suffered its biggest drop since late September.   The European Central Bank cut its deposit rate commercial banks must pay to store money overnight to minus 0.3% from minus 0.2%. The ECB left its key lending rate unchanged at 0.05% and the rate on its marginal lending facility at 0.3%. They also announced they will extend their bond buying program until March 2017. But the central bank did not increase the monthly spending on bonds beyond the current monthly level of 60 billion euros, or $63 billion. With inflation at just 0.1%, unemployment still over 10% and bank lending disappointing, many analysts were expecting more aggressive moves. Now, here’s where it got interesting; the dollar index dropped over 2%, at one point the euro was up about 3% but finished trade with modest gains. Early this morning the Financial Times tweeted and reported the ECB was leaving rates unchanged. Oops. But even after the correction, the euro held on to some of the gains.   Even as the ECB announced fresh stimulus, the Federal Reserve is considering tightening monetary policy. Actually, it is more than just a consideration – the Fed has …

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Financial Review

Times Are Changing

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-30-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-30-2015 DOW – 92 = 17,663 SPX – 10 = 2079 NAS – 20 = 5053 10 YR YLD – .04 = 2.14% OIL + .37 = 46.43 GOLD – 4.50 = 1142.00 SILV – .12 = 15.56   The Senate officially passed the budget deal this morning, averting debt default next week or a government shutdown in December. The agreement will increase spending by $80 billion above sequestration caps for military and domestic programs and lift the debt ceiling through March 2017. The House approved the deal on Wednesday and President Obama will now sign it into law.   The cost of employing the average U.S. worker sped up in the third quarter after a record-low increase in the spring. The employment cost index advanced a seasonally adjusted 0.6% from July to September after a 0.2% gain in the second quarter. Wages – some 70% of employment costs – rose 0.6% in the third quarter. Benefits increased 0.5%. Over the past 12 months, employment costs have risen an unadjusted 2%. This is an old story. Despite some ups and downs over the decades, US household incomes have been roughly stagnant for about 30 years. Even though wages have been stagnant, consumers keep consuming.   Core prices, which strip out food and energy costs, rose 0.1% from August and are up 1.3% from a year earlier. Consumer spending rose …

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