Financial Review

Sneaking Through the Backdoor

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-17-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-17-2016   DOW + 257 = 16,453 SPX + 31 = 1926 NAS + 98 = 4534 10 Y + .04 = 1.82% OIL + 2.35 = 31.39 GOLD + 8.10 = 1209.40   Three in a row; three up days, and good moves at that. If you believe the old adage that every stock market advance is short covering, you have some evidence to back your position. The most shorted stocks among Russell 3000 members gained 6.5% over just two trading days, Friday and Tuesday, while the least shorted issues trailed the Russell’s 4.6% advance over the same period. And while it looks like last Thursday’s lows provided some support in the short-term, it is too soon to see if that support will hold. Anyone who is calling a bottom in the market is just making stuff up. I don’t know, you don’t know. What we know is the markets have been all over the map in the past 2 months, flitting from one crisis to the next. The good news is that nothing has blown up yet. The bad news is that everything is volatile.   Russia, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Venezuela announced an agreement Tuesday to freeze oil production in an effort to ease the oil glut. On Wednesday, Iran said it wouldn’t join the effort, as its production just came back online following years of …

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Monday, January 13, 2014, Hacks and Leaks

Hacks and Leaks by Sinclair Noe DOW – 179 = 16,257SPX – 23 = 1819NAS – 61 = 411310 YR YLD – .03 = 2.83%OIL – 1.14 = 91.58GOLD + 3.80 = 1253.40SILV + .23 = 20.51 This week’s economic calendar includes retail sales report and business inventories tomorrow; reports on wholesale inflation and the Fed Beige Book on Wednesday; Thursday we’ll see the inflation numbers on the retail level; Friday brings an update on housing starts, industrial production, and an options expiration Friday. We are smack dab in earnings reporting season. This week, the big banks report. Tomorrow we’ll hear from JPMorgan and Wells Fargo; Bank of America on Wednesday; Goldman Sachs and Citigroup on Thursday; Morgan Stanley on Friday. The banks’ reports will provide insight into how much activity there has been in both consumer and commercial lending and portfolios. Another area of interest is changes in the banks’ trading portfolios, which are expected to decline. Financial companies announced more job cuts last year than any other corporate sector; those cuts can’t continue indefinitely. Litigation costs will be the wild card in earnings reports as some of the big banks have been trying to clean out the skeletons from the closets. Fourth-quarter earnings expectations are highest for health-care stocks, financials and consumer-discretionary names, as well as Industrial companies. Much like in the third-quarter, the financial sector is expected to have the best earnings growth in the fourth quarter, with an estimated growth rate of 22.6%. S&P 500 earnings …

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