Financial Review

Hippity Hoppity

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-17-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..Markets bounce after a couple of weak weeks. GDP forecasts slip. Earnings season kicks into gear. Where will earnings come from? Eurozone and emerging markets. Mnuchin: tax reform “not realistic”. United tops earnings forecast. Netflix beat earnings but missed on subs. HCA, not enough emergencies. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-17-2017

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Don’t Bet the Farm

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-16-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-16-2015 DOW + 140 = 16,739 SPX + 17 = 1995 NAS + 28 = 4889 10 YR YLD + .02 = 2.30% OIL + 2.56 = 47.15 GOLD + 14.10 = 1120.20 SILV + .53 = 15.03   The cost of consumer goods fell in August for the first time since the beginning of the year, owing mostly to another sharp drop in gasoline prices as the summer driving season came to an end. The consumer price index, or the cost of living, fell by a seasonally adjusted 0.1% last month. That’s the first decline since January. Retail prices are up just 0.2% in the past year. Excluding food and energy, so-called core consumer prices rose 0.1% in August. Core prices have risen just 1.8% in the past 12 months, unchanged from in July.   Energy prices declined 2% in August. Most of the relief came in the form of lower prices at the pump. The cost of a regular gallon of gas fell about 8% last month. The price of fuel had risen three straight months before the decline in August. Still, energy prices are down 15% over the past year. Food prices rose again, however. They increased 0.2% in August, spurred by higher costs of eggs, fruits and vegetables. The cost of airline tickets dropped for the second straight month. The price of new cars and medical …

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Slow to Patch

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-15-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 75 = 18,112 SPX + 10 = 2106 NAS + 33 = 5011 10 YR YLD un = 1.90% OIL + 2.67 = 55.96 GOLD + 9.60 = 1202.50 SILV + .18 = 16.41   The Federal Reserve reports industrial production dropped 0.6% in March. The biggest drop since August 2012. For the first quarter, industrial production was down at 1% annual rate, the first quarterly decline since the end of the recession.   The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo index of home builder confidence increased to 56 in April from 52 in March. Readings over 50 indicate that more builders see sales conditions as good rather than poor. All three components of the index improved in the month: sales expectations, buyer traffic, and the component gauging current sales conditions all moved higher.   China grew at its slowest pace last quarter since the global financial crisis in 2009; GDP expanded 7% in the three months to March from the year ago period, down from 7.3% the prior quarter. Retail sales and industrial output data broadly missed expectations, however, with the latter expanding at the slowest pace since 2008.   Japan overtook China as the top foreign holder of US government debt for the first time since the global financial crisis. Each country holds a little more than $1.22 trillion in US Treasuries, but Japan has about $7 …

READ MORE →
Financial Review

Theory and Instinct; Nobody Knows

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-19-2014.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:14 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSOver the weekend, the geopolitical hotspots did not explode. Kurdish forces made progress against ISIS militants in Iraq; Ukrainian forces made progress against pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine.

READ MORE →
Uncategorized

Tuesday, February 18, 2014 – Econ Roundup

Econ Roundup by Sinclair Noe DOW – 23 = 16,130SPX + 2 = 1840NAS + 28 = 427210 YR YLD – .03 = 2.71%OIL + 2.14 = 102.27GOLD – 6.90 = 1323.30 SILV + .12 = 22.06 Homebuilders’ confidence in the housing market declined sharply this month as the severe weather battering much of the nation keeps many would-be buyers at home. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo builder sentiment index dropped to 46. That’s down from January’s reading of 56 and is the lowest level since May. A reading of 50 is the tipping point between good and bad sales conditions. Certainly one sector singing the blues over the cold weather has been the airlines. More than 500 flights were cancelled today; almost 1,400 flights cancelled yesterday for the Presidents’ Day holiday and more than 4,000 delayed. The big day for cancellations was last Thursday, when more than 7,500 flights were scrapped. That’s bound to have some effect on revenue and earnings. Last week’s economic news was generally disappointing with weak payroll growth, mortgage applications slipping, retail sales dropping to the lowest growth rate of the recovery, and a sharp drop in manufacturing activity; that can’t all be blamed on bad weather. Several retailers didn’t even mention severe weather as they missed estimates for the holiday shopping season. US auto dealers have about $100 billion worth of unsold cars and trucks sitting on their lots. That level is striking given that car makers have pledged not to overstock …

READ MORE →