Financial Review

Wipe Out

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-04-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..More records for Dow, S&P and Nasdaq. ISM soars. ADP snores. Trump’s wipe out flushes muni bonds. Catalan gone? Equifax, Richard Smith, Gus, Sam, Rich Uncle Pennybags. Getting Googley. Solar shines. Louis Vitton parody. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-04-2017

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Financial Review

Apple Bites

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-25-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Earnings season heats up. Apple is weak. VW reaches a settlement. Takata heads to BK. Driverless beer. Home prices rise, inventories are tight. Consumer confidence drops. Obamacare premiums will jump. Renewable energy installations pass fossil fuel. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-25-2016

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Financial Review

Inside the Stagecoach

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-13-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  Down again. Market turbulence begets volatility. Oil falls; IEA says no equilibrium. Bolt will beat Tesla to market. Soar growth. Solar showdown in Nevada. Freeport-McMoRan exits Gulf of Mexico. Fewer in poverty. Small biz worried about election. Hanjin docks in LA. Wells Fargo – bandits inside the stagecoach. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-13-2016

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Financial Review

Lava Jato

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-11-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-11-2016 Stocks rally to the highest close of 2016. The FOMC meets next week. Brazilians take it to the streets.

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Financial Review

Waiting for the Jobs Report

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-03-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:17 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-03-2016 DOW + 44 = 16,943 SPX + 6 = 1993 NAS + 4 = 4707 10 Y – .02 = 1.83% OIL + .05 = 34.71 GOLD + 24.40 = 1264.90   We have a batch of economic reports, so we’ll run through the data and then break down the implications. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing index dropped 0.1 point to 53.4%.Any reading over 50 signals expansion. ISM’s production gauge rose 3.9 points to 57.8%.Growth in the services sector has been expanding at a slower pace for the past four months, and that is now showing up as contraction in service sector employment. Details from the services survey showed the employment index declined to 49.7 from 52.1 in January, indicating companies last month started cutting staff.   The number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits rose by 6,000 to 278,000 in the last week of February, but the overall pace of layoffs still hovered near postrecession lows. The average of new claims over the past four weeks, meanwhile, fell by 1,750 to 270,250 and hit a three-month low. In a separate report, global out placement consultancy Challenger, Gray & Christmas said U.S.-based companies announced 61,599 job cuts last month, down from 75,114 in January. Layoffs remained concentrated in the energy sector. Tomorrow the Labor Department will publish the monthly non-farm payroll report; look for …

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Financial Review

Tug of War

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-19-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-19-2016 DOW + 27 = 16,016 SPX + 1 = 1881 NAS – 11 = 4476 10 Y un 2.04% OIL – 1.13 = 28.29 GOLD – 1.30 = 1088.50   Just a reminder that last Friday saw the Dow drop 390 and the S&P too down 41, taking out the August lows of 1867 with an intra-day low of 1857. This morning Wall Street started the session with a bounce, but it didn’t hold; in the afternoon the major averages turned negative; the S&P went back down to test support at 1865. We are seeing an important level of support at 1857 to 1867 on the S&P. We told you on Friday that would need to see confirmation in the form of a close below 1867. It did not happen today. The Nasdaq Composite did close below the September low of 4487. The Dow Industrials are still above the August lows off 15,666. You don’t even want to look at charts of the Russell 2000 index or the Dow Transports; they are just ugly.   And then if you move away from Wall Street, the economy doesn’t look too bad: 70 consecutive months of job growth, the unemployment rate at 5%, GDP growth probably around 2% to 2.5% (not great but compared to the rest of the world it looks decent), oil prices falling, which should be …

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Financial Review

Slow Motion Domino

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-10-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:17 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-10-2015 DOW + 27 = 17,758 SPX + 3 = 2081 NAS – 12 = 5083 10 YR YLD – .02 = 2.32% OIL + .22 = 44.09 GOLD – 2.50 = 1090.40 SILV – .14 = 14.54   Crude prices are set for a slow recovery, according to the latest report from the International Energy Agency, which warned against the deep investment cutbacks in the industry. In its World Energy Outlook, the IEA’s central scenario for oil prices forecast that the market would rebalance at around $50 to $80 per barrel in 2020, (a not very precise guess) “with further increases in price thereafter.” It also predicted that collectively, the U.S., EU and Japan would see their oil demand drop by around 10 million barrels a day by 2040.   Oil production from the Bakken and Eagle Ford shale plays in the U.S. has been falling since March. Total oil output from seven major U.S. shale regions is expected to fall by 118,000 barrels a day to about 4.95 million barrels a day in December. There is no evidence at current prices that rig drilling activity will recover any time this year, so we can expect ever lower production every month well into 2016. That doesn’t mean a quick increase in prices, in part because Iranian oil is expected to come online as sanctions are lifted, and also …

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Financial Review

Watching and Waiting

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-13-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-13-2015   DOW – 49 = 17,081 SPX – 13 = 2003 NAS – 42 = 4796 10 YR YLD – .04 = 2.05% OIL – .53 = 46.57 GOLD + 5.00 = 1169.90 SILV + .09 = 16.01   Anheuser-Busch InBev and SABMiller have agreed on terms for a takeover, with the world’s largest brewer set to pay $106 billion. The deal brings one out of every three beers sold worldwide under a single company. Under terms of the agreement, AB InBev would pay a $3 billion break-up fee to SABMiller should the transaction fail to clear regulatory hurdles or shareholders don’t approve of it. If the deal goes through, it would be the biggest acquisition of the year, and the largest in British history. SABMiller’s two largest shareholders, Altria Group and Bevco Ltd., can receive cash and stock for their stakes, which account for 41 percent of the company. They won’t be able to sell the shares for five years; a move that might have tax benefits.   Dell’s $67 billion buyout of EMC appears to be a win for nearly everyone involved – except EMC bondholders. Investors in EMC’s $5.5 billion of bonds are down about $338 million since news of the deal first became public last week. Why’s that? Dell’s plan to raise about $50 billion in debt for the acquisition will push existing bondholders down …

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Financial Review

Strange Days

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-12-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-12-2015 DOW – 0.33 = 17,402 SPX + 1 = 2086 NAS + 7 = 5044 10 YR YLD – .01 = 2.13% OIL + .23 = 43.31 GOLD + 16.80 = 1126.80 SILV + .18 = 15.64   Strange days indeed. While the closing numbers paint a picture of a calm day on Wall Street, it was anything but. The Dow Industrial Average started the session deep in the red; with a session low of a 277 point loss. And then it started clawing higher, briefly going positive for the day. US stocks gapped lower on the open following the lead of global stocks, Asian currencies, commodities and government bond yields were all heading south after China allowed the yuan to fall sharply for a second day, triggering concerns over the country’s economic health. The currency is down 4% over the last two days. The IMF has offered a cautious endorsement of the new pricing regime – which lets the market play a greater role in setting the value of the currency – in a step that may help Beijing win reserve currency status later this year. Late in the day, the Chinese government reportedly stepped in to prop up the yuan. And once again the shorts were shredded.   The number of available jobs fell in June, even as companies hired more. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover …

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Financial Review

Sound and Fury

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-10-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 211 = 17,760 SPX + 25 = 2076 NAS + 75 = 4997 10 YR YLD + .11 = 2.41% OIL + .04 = 52.82 GOLD + 3.50 = 1163.80 SILV + .23 = 15.72   For the week, the Dow rose 0.17 percent while the S&P fell 0.01 percent and the Nasdaq ended down 0.23 percent in its third straight weekly decline. The markets were full of sound and fury, signifying nothing, perhaps.   Greece faces a Sunday deadline to reach a deal with its creditors. Yesterday, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras submitted a proposal that appears to meet most creditor demands in exchange for a new €53 billion-euro bailout. The package of spending cuts, pension savings and tax increases almost mirrors that from creditors on June 26, which was rejected by Greek voters in a July 5 referendum. Eurozone decision makers are set to assess the plan during crisis meetings on Saturday and Sunday. Meanwhile, Tsipras took the proposal to the Greek parliament to see if they will stand behind the deal. Outside, anti-austerity protestors rallied against the deal; which makes sense; last week a strong majority voted against the very type of deal Tsipras is now trying to sell. The Greek blueprint for pension cuts and VAT increases is essentially copied word-for-word from the June 24 European proposal; it does not appear to include debt relief. …

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