Financial Review

Stormy Weather

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-13-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..Waiting on the Fed. CBO has numbers on the new American Health Care Act – and they are terrible. Intel buying Mobileye to drive into the future. Lloyds outsourcing jobs to IBM. South Korea’s Park out. No Bitcoin fund. Escondida strike. Icahn loads up on Herbalife. Changes in credit scores. Nor’easter on the way. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-13-2017

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Financial Review

Go Figure

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1A-02-08-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:09 — 7.0MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS  …..Nasdaq’s 12 record for 2017. Crude glut, prices rise. Intel investing in AZ. Sharp investing in US. Brexit vote. VW investing in Electrify America. Takata guilty. Earnings season roundup. BofA opens robo-branches. Goldman Sachs robo-bankers. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-08-2017

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Financial Review

Water Wars

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-29-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..3Q GDP strong. Home sales improve. Confidence high. Cyber sales sizzle. Oil prices bet against OPEC. You can’t have Brexit cake and eat it. Allstate-Squaretrade. Zika in Texas. McFly sneakers. Lake Mead is shrinking and a cross-border water-sharing pact might dry up and blow away. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-29-2016

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Financial Review

From Beige to Blue

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-19-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..Beige Book moderately optimistic, except Houston. Building starts down, mainly apartments. Saudi Arabia issues debt. China’s 3Q GDP 6.7%, again. Earnings: Intel beats but forecast misses, Morgan Stanley beats, Yahoo beats, Halliburton posts a penny, Amex misses Costco. Google all-time high. New Macs? Don’t pay for delayed luggage. Americans work more. Arizona turning blue. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-19-2016

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Financial Review

The Other Shoe

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-19-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSStocks climb, discounting weak earnings. Still waiting on the Fed, and more Panama Papers names. The heat builds. You deserve a break. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-19-2016

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Financial Review

Headwinds and Tailwinds

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-16-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-14-2016 DOW + 227 = 16,379 SPX + 31 = 1921 NAS + 88 = 4615 10 Y + .03 = 2.10 OIL + .66 = 31.14 GOLD – 15.00 = 1079.50   Global stocks have lost almost $3.2-trillion in market value since the start of 2016, pushing all major US indexes into correction or bear market territory. Asian markets (except for China) and European exchanges were mostly lower. Even with a bounce, we’re trending lower, short-term.   The Bank of England this morning kept its key interest rate at a record low of 0.5% and made no changes to its $540 billion asset purchase program. Both decisions were widely expected.   The Hong Kong dollar sank by the most in more than a decade overnight and speculation mounted in the options market that the city’s 32-year-old currency peg will soon come to an end, as investors lost confidence in Chinese assets. Other currencies also took a hit. The loonie fell to its lowest level since April 2003, fueling speculation the Bank of Canada could cut interest rates as early as next week.   The average number of people who applied for jobless benefits in the past month climbed in early 2016 to the highest level since last July. Initial jobless claims for the first full week of January, meanwhile, rose by 7,000 to a seasonally adjusted 284,000; the four-week …

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Financial Review

Watching and Waiting

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-13-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-13-2015   DOW – 49 = 17,081 SPX – 13 = 2003 NAS – 42 = 4796 10 YR YLD – .04 = 2.05% OIL – .53 = 46.57 GOLD + 5.00 = 1169.90 SILV + .09 = 16.01   Anheuser-Busch InBev and SABMiller have agreed on terms for a takeover, with the world’s largest brewer set to pay $106 billion. The deal brings one out of every three beers sold worldwide under a single company. Under terms of the agreement, AB InBev would pay a $3 billion break-up fee to SABMiller should the transaction fail to clear regulatory hurdles or shareholders don’t approve of it. If the deal goes through, it would be the biggest acquisition of the year, and the largest in British history. SABMiller’s two largest shareholders, Altria Group and Bevco Ltd., can receive cash and stock for their stakes, which account for 41 percent of the company. They won’t be able to sell the shares for five years; a move that might have tax benefits.   Dell’s $67 billion buyout of EMC appears to be a win for nearly everyone involved – except EMC bondholders. Investors in EMC’s $5.5 billion of bonds are down about $338 million since news of the deal first became public last week. Why’s that? Dell’s plan to raise about $50 billion in debt for the acquisition will push existing bondholders down the …

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Financial Review

Carry On

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-02-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:14 — 12.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-02-2015   DOW + 293 = 16351 SPX + 35 = 1948 NAS + 113 = 4749 10 YR YLD + .02 = 2.19% OIL + .59 = 46.00 GOLD – 6.10 = 1134.70 SILV + .08 = 14.80   For the first 8 ½ months of the year, stocks traded in a very tight range, for the most part. We had an occasional triple digit move on the Dow, but that was the exception – now it looks like the norm. Investors have weathered over two weeks of unusually wide-swinging trade that has left the S&P 500 with its worst monthly drop in three years and a loss of 8.5 percent from an all-time high in May. There really isn’t anything that would tell you today marks some kind of recovery, rather it is just volatility and turbulence. Get used to it. Keep calm and carry on.   World markets were a bit more sanguine today; the Shanghai Composite stabilized, but still closed just slightly lower. Nine Chinese brokerages pledged additional funds to purchase shares, answering fresh government calls to support equities. Investors may see the trend continue. Shanghai’s stock market will be closed Thursday and Friday as China commemorates the 70th anniversary of the end of World War II.   U.S. index provider MSCI has declared the market gyrations in China, and a barrage of interventions by the authorities …

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Financial Review

Discretionary Reading

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-19-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-19-2015 DOW – 162 = 17,348 SPX – 17 = 2079 NAS – 40 = 5019 10 YR YLD – .07 = 2.13% OIL – 2.02 = 40.60 GOLD + 16.60 = 1135.10 SILV + .44 = 15.41   A new CPI report this morning shows inflation remains muted. The consumer price index, a measure of prices at the retail level, rose 0.1% in July to mark the smallest increase in three months. Yet the cost of housing, the largest expense for most Americans, continued to rise, up 0.4% last month, reflecting the biggest gain in more than eight years. And housing expenses have climbed 3.1% in the past 12 months, the largest annual increase since 2008. The prices of most other consumer goods were little changed in July. Food prices climbed 0.2% while energy prices rose a smaller 0.1%. Excluding food and energy, so-called core consumer prices also advanced 0.1% in July. Aside from shelter, prices for clothes and medical care also rose.   Even though energy prices were up slightly in July, that might not last; eventually the price at the pump for gasoline should reflect the price of oil, which has now dropped to a 6 year low of $40.60 per barrel. Based upon historical pricing for oil and gas, we should be paying about $2.00 to $2.10 a gallon at the pump. Gas prices should …

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Financial Review

Solid Guesses

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-29-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 121 = 17,751 SPX + 15 = 2108 NAS + 22 = 5111 10 YR YLD + .03 = 2.28% OIL + .91 = 48.89 GOLD + 1.20 = 1097.70 SILV + .13 = 14.91   The Federal Reserve FOMC meeting wrapped up earlier today. They issued a statement but there was no press conference. The Fed did not change monetary policy; no surprise, nobody expected a change from this meeting. The next FOMC meeting is in September and we might see changes then, or maybe December. There really weren’t many clues in the statement. There were a few subtle changes in wording of the statement; specifically on jobs, the Fed said: “The labor market continued to improve, with solid job gains and declining unemployment. On balance, a range of labor market indicators suggests that underutilization of labor resources has diminished since early this year.” “Solid job gains” is a fairly strong phrase for the Fed. No indication of slack in the labor market.   The actual decision to raise rates will come when the Fed sees “some” further improvement in the labor market. The word “some” was new. What does “some” mean? You can give it whatever meaning you want but I think it means the labor market is headed in the right direction and as long as it stays on the tracks and continues to make …

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