Financial Review

Thus Spake Yellen

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-14-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Retail sales rebound. Consumer sentiment dips – blame the election, it is driving us crazy. PPI up. Treasury tackles earnings stripping. Janet Yellen on the grand experiment of economics and the path forward. Earnings: JPM (zero systemic problems but billions in fines), C, WFC (Ohio puts Wells Fargo on probation). A faster server. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-14-2016.

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Financial Review

Deutsche Bank Running on Rumors

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-30-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS….. 3Q recap. Deutsche Bank hits lows – and then a rumor of a cheap settlement with DOJ. Euro banks still look ugly and DB is one of the worst. Consumer sentiment up. Consumer spending down. EU approves Paris Climate Accord – it’s a done deal. Yellen says Fed might start buying corporate bonds and stocks (vintage wine and baseball cards?) Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-30-2016

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Financial Review

Knee Jerk Trading

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-28-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS……OPEC might cut output, kinda, sorta. Congress overrides veto to sue Saudis. Senate approves CR funding. Janet Yellen testifies. Wells Fargo claws back a pittance. California cuts ties to Wells. The Arizona Republic is with Hillary. Durable goods flat. ABInBev’s global domination of beer. RBS fined. No rescue plan for Deutsche Bank. Tyson chicken nuggets now fortified with plastic. The inevitable end of the crackberry. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-28-2016

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Financial Review

Decent August Jobs Report

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-02-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSJobs report Friday. The economy added 151,000 job. The unemployment rate holds at 4.9%. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-02-2016

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Financial Review

The Case Has Strengthened

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-26-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSThus spake Yellen. Fischer confirms she is serious. September is on. GDP revised down; look for ponies. Trade gap narrows. Why nobody invests in the US? Herbalife twist. Amazon v Rackspace. Just take a pill. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-26-2016

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Financial Review

Wake Me When It’s Over

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-24-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSWaiting on the Fed. Existing home sales drop. Oil, too. A phabulous phablet. Apple’s tax dodge finds a peculiar bedfellow. The really cool part about Tesla’s announcement. Blimps, really big blimps. Government intervention in cheese. The startling truth about “iced” beverages. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-24-2016

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Financial Review

Take the Overs

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-19-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSOil bull. Fed jawbones for rate hike. Singer’s bubble. Brexit sets a date. Whistleblower not in it for the money. Valeant is the next Enron. Robocall Strike Force. Take the Overs. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-19-2016

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Financial Review

Mind the Gap

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-22-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSBrexit vote manana. Yellen returns to Capitol Hill. Home sales up. The rent is too high. Puerto Rico sued before pending default. Tesla buys SolarCity. Innovation versus buybacks. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-22-2016

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Financial Review

Fed Day

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-15-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFOMC leaves rates unchanged. No surprise. Brexit scares. PPI inches up. Industrial production inches down. California is #6. BofA fires. Office Depot hires. Coffee best served tepid. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-15-2016.

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Financial Review

Quiet and Overbought

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-07-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSMarkets are quiet, calm and overbought. Productivity lags, again. Credit growth hits a record. What will Draghi buy? Goldman investigated for Bank Secrecy Act. Valeant looks sick. Samsung has the next cool phone. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-07-2016

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Financial Review

The Radical and Necessary Notion

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-27-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS1Q GDP revised up to 0.8%; economy slogs along. Yellen hawkish, with an oops. Why G7? Why Sears? Philips turns out the lights. ACLU-MSFT tag team for 4th Amendment. Obama in Hiroshima. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-27-2016

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Financial Review

A Weak Week

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-08-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  The Fed tries to jawbone the markets higher but an ugly earnings reporting season starts next week. Oil prices jump as oil spills and the dollar drops. 

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Financial Review

Thus Spake Yellen

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-29-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSYellen speech is dovish. Risk on.

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Financial Review

Nobody Knows Normalization

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-12-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-12-2016   DOW + 313 = 15,973 SPX + 35 = 1864 NAS + 70 = 4337 10 Y + .10 = 1.75% OIL + 2.77 = 28.98 GOLD – 9.40 = 1238.00 The Nikkei Stock Average finished down 11% for the week, its biggest weekly percentage drop since October 2008. For the day, the index ended off 4.8% at 14,952, the lowest since October 2014. The Nikkei is down 21% year-to-date. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe held a meeting with his top financial diplomat today, as well as the BOJ’s governor, following a report that the “architect of Abenomics” called for a Group of 20-wide response to the recent market rout. Friday’s high-level gathering came as the country’s stock markets plunged again and the yen hit highs not seen since October 2014. Speculation is also rampant that Tokyo could conduct yen-selling intervention.     The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of mainland Chinese companies trading in Hong Kong fell 2% Friday and was off 6.8% for the week. Trading was halted on the Kosdaq, the smaller cap, tech focused exchange in South Korea as the index dropped by more than 8%.     Here in the US, we’re not quite in bear territory for the major indices: the Nasdaq dropped 18% from last summer’s high; the S&P 500 dropped 15% from last year’s high.     And then …

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Financial Review

Risk Off

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-11-2016_2_.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-11-2016 DOW – 254 = 15,660 SPX – 22 = 1829 NAS – 16 = 4266 10 Y – .06 = 1.64% OIL – .17 = 27.28 GOLD It’s a bad day for global stock markets.  Markets in Hong Kong opened for the first time this week and had their worst start to a lunar new year since 1994, falling 3.9 percent, adding to a 12% plunge since the beginning of the year. The MSCI Asia Pacific excluding Japan Index lost 2.2 percent. The Europe Stoxx 600 dropped 3.6%.   In her testimony to Congress yesterday, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen was not certain whether she had the legal authority to cut rates into negative territory. Yellen on Wednesday said the crucial question confronting the Fed was whether the domestic economy is strong enough to keep growing modestly even as the global economy struggles. This is the question.   Today, Yellen headed over to the Senate Finance Committee and repeated her testimony from yesterday before opening it up for questions. Yellen said the cause of the market selloff is “not mainly our policy,” noting that the market was tranquil in the immediate aftermath of the increase in interest rates in mid-December. She doesn’t think the Fed will cut rates anytime soon. The key for the central bank is whether the negative shocks hitting the economy persist, Yellen said. The central bank will know more in …

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Financial Review

That’s Her Story

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-10-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-10-2016   DOW – 99 = 15,914 SPX – 0.35 = 1851 NAS + 14 = 4283 10 Y – .02 = 1.70% OIL – .64 = 27.30 GOLD + 8.00 = 1197.80   Fed Chair Janet Yellen delivered her semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony in Washington today in her first major appearance since the Fed’s rate hike last December. In prepared testimony, Yellen said

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Financial Review

CoCo Pop

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-09-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-09-2016 DOW – 12 = 16,014 SPX – 1 = 1852 NAS – 14 = 4268 10 Y – .01 = 1.73% OIL – 1.41 = 28.28 GOLD – .20 = 1189.80   Japanese stocks crashed 5.4%, making for the biggest daily drop since June 2013. The sell-off has the Nikkei hovering near a 16-month low.

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Financial Review

Not Fixed Yet

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-05-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-05-2016   DOW – 211 = 16204 SPX – 35 = 1880 NAS – 146 = 4363 10 Y – .02 = 1.85% OIL – .73 = 30.99 GOLD + 18.40 = 1174.50   The S&P 500 extended its loss for the week to 3%.  The index is now down more than 8 percent in 2016. The Nasdaq closed at its lowest since October 2014.   Today is a jobs report Friday. If you are a regular listener, you know that I go into quite a bit of detail. The reason is simple. The jobs report is the single most important economic data we can look at each month. So, here are the numbers:   The economy added 151,000 nonfarm jobs in January; that’s below the consensus estimate of 185,000. The unemployment rate dropped from 5% to 4.9%, the lowest reading since 2008; and an indicator the economy is still creating more than enough jobs to keep up with increases in the size of the labor force. The December jobs report was revised down from 292,000 jobs to 262,000. November’s gain was raised to 280,000 from 252,000. In the past three months job growth averaged 231,000 jobs per month. In the past 12 months the economy added 2.67 million jobs. Since the beginning of 2010, the American economy has gained nearly 14 million jobs. Total employment is now 4.9 …

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Financial Review

Another Strong Jobs Report

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-12-04-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 12-04-2015 DOW + 369 = 17,847 SPX + 42 = 2091 NAS + 104 = 5142 10 YR YLD – .05 = 2.28% OIL – 1.01 = 40.07 GOLD + 25.30 = 1087.90   The economy added 211,000 jobs last month, beating estimates of about 200,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 5% as more workers entered the labor pool. The Labor Force Participation Rate increased in November to 62.5%, from 62.4% in October. The last two months’ jobs numbers were revised higher. The government said 298,000 new jobs were created in October instead of 271,000. September’s gain was raised to 145,000 from 137,000. Over the past 12 months, the economy has added 2.64 million jobs.   Let’s break down jobs by sector: Employment in construction rose by 46,000 in November, with much of the increase occurring in residential specialty trade contractors (+26,000). Over the past year, construction employment has grown by 259,000. Professional and technical services added 28,000 jobs. Over the year, professional and technical services has added 298,000 jobs. Health care employment increased by 24,000 over the month, following a large gain in October (+51,000). In November, hospitals added 13,000 jobs. Health care employment has grown by 470,000 over the year. Employment in food services and drinking places continued to trend up in November (+32,000) and has risen by 374,000 over the year. Retail trades added …

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Financial Review

A Far, Far Better Thing

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-12-03-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 12-03-2015 DOW – 252 = 17,477 SPX – 29 = 2049 NAS – 85 = 5037 10 YR YLD + .15 = 2.33% OIL + 1.33 = 41.27 GOLD + 8.40 = 1062.60 The S&P 500 suffered its biggest drop since late September.   The European Central Bank cut its deposit rate commercial banks must pay to store money overnight to minus 0.3% from minus 0.2%. The ECB left its key lending rate unchanged at 0.05% and the rate on its marginal lending facility at 0.3%. They also announced they will extend their bond buying program until March 2017. But the central bank did not increase the monthly spending on bonds beyond the current monthly level of 60 billion euros, or $63 billion. With inflation at just 0.1%, unemployment still over 10% and bank lending disappointing, many analysts were expecting more aggressive moves. Now, here’s where it got interesting; the dollar index dropped over 2%, at one point the euro was up about 3% but finished trade with modest gains. Early this morning the Financial Times tweeted and reported the ECB was leaving rates unchanged. Oops. But even after the correction, the euro held on to some of the gains.   Even as the ECB announced fresh stimulus, the Federal Reserve is considering tightening monetary policy. Actually, it is more than just a consideration – the Fed has …

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