Financial Review

Business as Usual

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-11-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS  …..Fewer quits. Small biz optimism fades. Oil glut continues. Grain glut continues. New York offers free tuition and details. Retail death spiral. Fly the friendly skies of United. More on the Wells Fargo report. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-11-2017

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Financial Review

Farewell, Goodbye

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1A-01-10-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:16 — 5.6MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS  …..Homebuyer sentiment down. Small biz optimism. Consumer credit up. More job openings. Repeal and replace with something maybe. Farewell address. AZ State of the State – we needs schoolin. Apple to Mesa. Yahoo now Altaba or something maybe. Blockchain goes mainstream. BofA fined again. VW settles for guilty. Goodbye The Limited. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-10-2017

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Financial Review

Wait and See

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-08-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..Election Day. Clinton has the path to victory, Florida likely to seal the deal. Plus, what to watch in Senate races. Plus other stuff on ballots. Social media made a difference. JOLTS show tightening labor market. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-08-2016

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Financial Review

Relatively Soon

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-12-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSS…..Fed minutes point to a hike “relatively soon”. Wells Fargo CEO John Stumpf is out immediately. Yemen rebels fire on a US ship. Qatar buys Boeing jetliners and fighters (maybe war does pay). OPEC oil output hits a high. Chromebooks are the back-to-school winner. Wal-mart hikes salaries to avoid overtime pay. Facebook gets out the vote. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-12-2016

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Financial Review

Un-Zapped!

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-10-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSJOLTS shows strong labor market. Deficit grows as corporate receipts shrink. Oil drops; Saudis pump American shale producers out of business. BOE can’t buy me bonds. The politics of burgers; Wendy’s un-zapped. Solar doesn’t shine. Happy birthday Google, or Alphabet, or whatever. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-10-2016

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Financial Review

154 More Days

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-08-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSMajor indices inch higher. ECB corporate bond buying kicks off. JOLTS report. World Bank cuts forecast. Dollar down, commodities up. The 800 pound gorilla. 154 more days. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-08-2016

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Financial Review

Good to be King

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-12-08-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 12-08-2015 DOW – 162 = 17,568 SPX – 13 = 2063 NAS – 3 = 5098 10 YR YLD + .02 = 2.24% OIL – .08 = 37.57 GOLD + 3.40 = 1075.60   Back to back triple digit losses for the Dow and much of the carnage can be traced to the energy sector and the drop in oil prices. The problem is not just that many energy related companies might suffer losses, but that many of those companies carry big debt loads. Oil prices actually closed above the lows for the day. There was probably profit-taking by some of the shorts and bargain-hunting by those that think we’re going to rise for at least a little bit. Short-term gains in no way negate the bearish implications from this weekend’s OPEC meeting.   OPEC had a collective target of 30 million barrels a day since 2012 but they have been cheating on quotas and producing about 5% more. The important point is that OPEC is no longer the only game on the planet. Most of the global market doesn’t have any ceiling on production. Americans don’t have any ceiling. Russians don’t have any ceiling. Iran has been partially locked out of the global markets and they look to come back with a boatload of supply next month. And the Saudis are fighting a war in Yemen and their national budget is …

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Financial Review

Strange Days

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-12-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-12-2015 DOW – 0.33 = 17,402 SPX + 1 = 2086 NAS + 7 = 5044 10 YR YLD – .01 = 2.13% OIL + .23 = 43.31 GOLD + 16.80 = 1126.80 SILV + .18 = 15.64   Strange days indeed. While the closing numbers paint a picture of a calm day on Wall Street, it was anything but. The Dow Industrial Average started the session deep in the red; with a session low of a 277 point loss. And then it started clawing higher, briefly going positive for the day. US stocks gapped lower on the open following the lead of global stocks, Asian currencies, commodities and government bond yields were all heading south after China allowed the yuan to fall sharply for a second day, triggering concerns over the country’s economic health. The currency is down 4% over the last two days. The IMF has offered a cautious endorsement of the new pricing regime – which lets the market play a greater role in setting the value of the currency – in a step that may help Beijing win reserve currency status later this year. Late in the day, the Chinese government reportedly stepped in to prop up the yuan. And once again the shorts were shredded.   The number of available jobs fell in June, even as companies hired more. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, …

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Financial Review

Dow Up, Oil Down, Quit Your Job

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-13-2014.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: iTunes | Android | RSSFinancial Review DOW + 40 = 17,652 SPX + 1 = 2039 NAS + 5 = 4680 10 YR YLD – .02 = 2.34% OIL – 2.79 = 74.39 GOLD + .20 = 1162.90 SILV – .01 = 15.77 Record high close for the Dow Industrials. The Nasdaq Composite hasn’t seen record highs since the spring of 2000, when it closed at 5048, which is just 368 points, or about a 7% move from here. If you were unlucky enough to have bought the PowerShares QQQ exchange-traded fund, an ETF that tracks that top 100 non-financial stocks in the Nasdaq, on March 10, 2000, you’d still be in the red on that investment. Tech companies are once again in a leadership role. While Microsoft, Apple and several other tech leaders of today are trading at higher prices than 15 years ago, Intel and Cisco are still well below their 2000 peak prices. Of course the largest company in market cap is Apple at $660 billion. Apple shares have surged more than 40% so far this year, creating more than $160 billion in market value for shareholders, which coincidentally is about the same market cap as IBM, which was once considered the big player in tech. Today, Microsoft passed Exxon to become the second largest company in terms of market capitalization. Exxon has a market cap of $400 billion; Microsoft is worth $408 billion. Exxon’s declining …

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Uncategorized

Wednesday, August 21, 2013 – Ticking Away the Minutes

Ticking Away the Minutes by Sinclair Noe DOW – 105 = 14, 897SPX – 9 = 1642NAS – 13 = 359910 YR YLD + .04 = 2.85%OIL + .04 = 105.00GOLD – 4.20 = 1367,80SILV – .14 – 22.89 Stocks slid, clawed back to breakeven, then sold aggressively into the close. News of the day in the form of FOMC minutes showing policymakers are talking about pulling away the Quantitative Easing punchbowl. The Dow closed below 15,000 for the first time since July 3; the Dow is now down for six sessions; the S&P ended negative, dragged by utilities and financials; techs held up relatively well. Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury hit a fresh session high of 2.88%. The dollar held up against most currencies, and most emerging market currencies continued to take a beating. So, what did the Fed say in the FOMC minutes? Nothing unexpected. Policy makers were “broadly comfortable” with Bernanke’s plan to start reducing bond buying later this year if the economy improves, with a few saying tapering might be needed soon. But they weren’t saying they had to taper right this moment. The central bankers did not signal as to whether such a taper of the $85 billion-per-month bond purchase plan would come in September, October or December, the three remaining meeting dates for 2013, but they indicated they would like to have it tapered down by the middle of next year. “A few members emphasized the importance of being patient and evaluating additional …

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