Financial Review

Rarely the First

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-09-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Risk off day but Nasdaq record. Fed jawbones hawkish. Hard Brexit. Hard confirmation hearing. Revenge for one-China. McDonald’s and Taco Bell in China. Fiat Chrysler in the Midwest. Waymo in cars. M&A: Takeda/Ariad, United Health/Surgical Affiliates, Mars/VCA. Microsoft’s Nokia. IBM patent winner, again. The anniversary of the iPhone. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-09-2017

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Financial Review

Off to the Races

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-04-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-04-2016 DOW – 276 = 17,148 SPX – 31 = 2012 NAS – 104 = 4903 10 YR – .02 = 2.25% OIL – .11 = 36.93 GOLD + 13.50 = 1075.50 The Dow started the morning with a 467 point decline. An inauspicious start to trading in 2016 kicked off, or more accurately fell down, this morning in China. Traders in Shanghai reacted to growing tensions in the Middle East and a drop in one of China’s manufacturing gauges. Fresh manufacturing surveys revived concerns about Beijing’s economic slowdown. China’s manufacturing activity contracted for the 10th straight month in December – the official manufacturing PMI stood at 49.7 in December. The yuan, which began new extended trading hours today, also hit its lowest point in more than four years in both onshore and offshore trade.   The China CSI 300 Index dropped 5% and that triggered circuit breakers that resulted in a 30 minute halt in trading of all stocks. When trading resumed, the traders were scared and they rushed to exit their positions. In a matter of about 7 minutes the Index dropped to a loss of 7%, and the next round of circuit breakers triggered a halt to trading for the remainder of the day.   The benchmark Shanghai Composite index closed the shortened session down 6.85% while the broader CSI 300 index, encompassing the largest …

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Financial Review

Slow to Patch

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-15-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 75 = 18,112 SPX + 10 = 2106 NAS + 33 = 5011 10 YR YLD un = 1.90% OIL + 2.67 = 55.96 GOLD + 9.60 = 1202.50 SILV + .18 = 16.41   The Federal Reserve reports industrial production dropped 0.6% in March. The biggest drop since August 2012. For the first quarter, industrial production was down at 1% annual rate, the first quarterly decline since the end of the recession.   The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo index of home builder confidence increased to 56 in April from 52 in March. Readings over 50 indicate that more builders see sales conditions as good rather than poor. All three components of the index improved in the month: sales expectations, buyer traffic, and the component gauging current sales conditions all moved higher.   China grew at its slowest pace last quarter since the global financial crisis in 2009; GDP expanded 7% in the three months to March from the year ago period, down from 7.3% the prior quarter. Retail sales and industrial output data broadly missed expectations, however, with the latter expanding at the slowest pace since 2008.   Japan overtook China as the top foreign holder of US government debt for the first time since the global financial crisis. Each country holds a little more than $1.22 trillion in US Treasuries, but Japan has about …

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Financial Review

Good Luck With That

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-29-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:17 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 225 = 17,416 SPX + 19 = 2021 NAS + 45 = 4683 10 YR YLD + .02 = 1.75% OIL + .09 = 44.54 GOLD – 25.20 = 1259.10 SILV – 1.04 = 17.02 Yesterday, the Federal Reserve said it would remain “patient” on raising rates, but indicated it saw the U.S. economy getting stronger. The Fed also said it has seen inflation decline, and it may decline further, but that low oil prices are probably temporary. The FOMC statement said that economic activity has expanded “at a solid pace” and that labor market conditions have improved. That was certainly the case last week. The fewest Americans in almost 15 years filed applications for unemployment benefits during a holiday-shortened week that typically makes the data more volatile. Jobless claims dropped by 43,000 to 265,000 in the week ended Jan. 24, the lowest since April 2000. No state reported an increase of more than 1,000 in claims for the week ended Jan. 17. The National Association of Realtors reports its index of pending home sales fell 3.7% in December, though the year-on-year gain was 11.7%, the highest since June 2013. Pending sales measures contracts signed but not yet closed. The Census Bureau reports the number of owner-occupied households fell by 354,000 from a year earlier as the homeownership rate dropped to its lowest level since 1994. The …

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Uncategorized

Monday, November 18, 2013 – Activism from Billionaires and Tweeters

Activism from Billionaires and Tweetersby Sinclair Noe DOW + 14 = 15.976SPX – 6 = 1791NAS – 36 = 394910 YR YLD – .04 = 2.66%OIL – .83 = 93.01GOLD – 14.40 = 1277.00SILV – .38 = 20.50 This one didn’t feel like a record high celebration, in part because the major indices closed well off the intraday high. The Dow had been trading above 16,000 for much of the afternoon, but a late sell-off saw the Dow finish below that nice round number; still, it was good enough for another record high close. The S&P 500 hit an intraday high of 1802, but closed in negative territory. Still we mark today’s gains in the Dow in the “win” column and that means we have now had 39 record high closes on the Dow in 2013. The trend is in place, firmly. The rise in the Dow Jones industrials continues to be confirmed by an associated rise in the Dow Jones Transportation Average. A look at the S&P 500 also shows a clear breakout at the top multiyear resistance level. The breakout may be false, due to the lack of active participation, as evidenced by light volume. So far, it has held up pretty well, contrary to its overbought condition. Everything is pointing higher as long as the Fed continues to pump money into the economy; and it looks like they will continue until March, although they could start to taper in January or December. Or maybe Bernanke will go …

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