Financial Review

Drifting Higher

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/sinclair_noe-seg_1-06-07-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Waiting for Super Thursday. Testimony today on Capitol Hill reveals nothing. Trump pushes infrastructure plan. NSA intelligence on Russia hack attempt on voting featuring Reality Winner. Bill Gross and high risk. Bankruptcies rise. Oil tumbles on inventory new. Book a flight to Europe – you can afford it. Toshiba sale. Don’t forget Canada.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-07-2017

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Financial Review

Happy Day

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-20-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..FBI investigating Trump-Russia ties. No wiretapping. Gorsuch hearing. Tryancare vote Thursday, maybe. Brexit Article 50. G20 protectionism, yea sure. Gates-Trump. Greece misses again. Deutsche Bank finds greater fools. Vodaphone has an Idea. Albertsons Sprouts. Unilever dumps butter. Twitter full o’ bots. Uber exit. BAML’s big list of everything YTD. Italy is healthiest; Norway is happiest; US is fat and grumpy. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-20-2017

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Financial Review

Dog Day Advance

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-17-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-17-2015 DOW + 67 = 17,545 SPX + 10 = 2102 NAS + 43 = 5091 10 YR YLD – .05 = 2.15% OIL – .62 = 41.88 GOLD + 3.70 = 1118.40 SILV + .07 = 15.42   A reading of New York-area manufacturing conditions fell in August. The Empire State general business conditions index nose-dived to a reading of negative 14.9, from positive 3.9 in July, marking the worst level since April 2009.   The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo housing market index rose 1 point to 61, marking the highest level since Nov. 2005. Any reading above 50 indicates “good” conditions. NAHB says the report is consistent with their forecast for a gradual strengthening of the single-family housing sector in 2015.   Japan’s economy contracted in Q2 as overseas demand for Japanese goods slumped and households spent less, raising the possibility the government will act to support the country’s weak recovery. GDP shrank 1.6% on an annualized basis in the April-June quarter.   The yuan started the week on stable footing after the People’s Bank of China set the currency’s daily reference rate at 6.39 per dollar – in line with Friday’s close. The move signals Beijing is willing to cede more control to market forces, following last week’s record devaluation that saw the currency plunge 3.6%. Shanghai +0.7%. Shenzhen +1%.   Rounding up support for Greece’s fresh aid package, German …

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Financial Review

Assume They Are Still Listening

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-07-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 82 = 17,924 SPX + 7 = 2088 NAS + 25 = 4945 10 YR YLD – .06 = 2.18% OIL – 1.95 = 58.98 GOLD – 7.00 = 1185.20 SILV – .19 = 16.40   Britons voted today in one of the tightest elections in decades. Final opinion polls showed Prime Minister David Cameron’s Conservatives and Ed Miliband’s opposition Labour Party almost in a dead heat, indicating neither will win enough seats for an outright majority in the 650-seat parliament. Exit polls indicate a victory for the Conservatives but not enough for a majority, so talks will begin tomorrow with smaller parties to strike deals.   And those smaller parties could have a big influence on major decisions. The U.K. Independence Party is on track to become the country’s third largest political party. Its key goal is putting Britain’s EU membership up for an in-or-out referendum, sooner rather than later. UKIP is expected to prop up a Conservative government in exchange for an EU vote. For the financial markets, this is the No. 1 worry.  The Scottish National Party looks set for big gains in Scotland, which it wants to see split off from the rest of the U.K.   So, in addition to worrying about a possible Greek exit from the Euro-union, we now are supposed to be concerned with a British exit, and the whole thing is putting …

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Financial Review

Friday, April 11, 2014 – Corrupt or Incompetent, Take Your Pick

Corrupt or Incompetent, Take Your Pick by Sinclair Noe DOW – 143 = 16,026SPX – 17 = 1815NAS – 54 = 399910 YR YLD – .01 = 2.62%OIL – .07 = 103.33GOLD + .30 = 1319.40SILV – .07 = 20.06 The S&P 500 closed at its lowest level in two months. The gauge slipped 2.7% this week, the biggest loss since 2012. The Dow Industrial are down 2.4% for the week. The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 1.3% today, capping its biggest two-day retreat since 2011; and down 3.1% for the week; closing at its lowest level in 4 months. The major US indices are all back in the red year to date. Biotechs fell for the 7th week in a row; the worst run since 1998; and now down 21% from recent highs. About 7.4 billion shares changed hands on US exchanges, 5.8% higher than the three-month average. We are entering a period that has historically been very poor for stocks. The idea is called “Sell in May” or the worst six months. According to the Ned Davis (NDR) database, had you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500 every May 1st starting in 1950 and sold October 31 of the same year, your initial position would only be worth $10,026. Put another way, by investing only from May through October, a $10,000 stake invested in 1950 would have only made $26. The Labor Department reports the producer price index, gained 0.5% for March. Excluding the volatile categories of food and …

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Uncategorized

Tuesday, March 25, 2014 – Want to Buy a Cookie?

Want to Buy a Cookie? by Sinclair Noe DOW + 91 = 16,367SPX + 8 = 1865NAS + 7 = 423410 YR YLD un 2.73%OIL – .39 = 99.21GOLD + 2.10 = 1312.70SILV + .07 = 20.10 According to the S&P/Case-Shiller home price report, the home price index covering 10 major US cities increased 13.5% in the year ended in January. The 20-city price index advanced 13.2% for the year. Month to month, the 20-city index dropped 0.1%; the drop is not just weather related; from December to January, prices fell in 12 of the 20 cities Case-Shiller tracks. Taking a look at a few cities: LA was down 0.3% for the month but up 18.9% for the past year, San Diego was up 0.6% for the month and 19.4% for the year, Phoenix was down 0.3% for the month but up 13.8% for the year, San Francisco was up 0.5% for January and 23.1% for the year, the hot spot was Las Vegas up 1.1% for the month and 24.9% for the year, to lead the nation. The Commerce Department reports new home sales dropped 3.3% from January to February to a seasonally adjusted rate of 440,000. Sales fell in all regions except the Midwest, where they jumped 36.7%. Sales dropped 15.9% month to month in the West. The national median price for a new home was $261,800 last month, up from $260,800 in January. Compared with February 2013, the median price fell 1.2%. At the current sales pace …

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Friday, January 17, 2104 – This Page is Being Monitored for Your Safety

This Page is Being Monitored for Your Safety by Sinclair Noe DOW + 41 = 16,458SPX – 7 = 1838NAS – 21 = 419710 YR YLD  – .02 = 2.82%OIL + .20 = 94.30GOLD + 11.40 = 1255.10SILV + .22 = 20.42 It was a fairly volatile session on Wall Street today, in part because today was an options expiration Friday. For the week, the Dow rose 0.13 percent, the S&P 500 slipped 0.20 percent and the Nasdaq gained 0.55 percent. Earnings season is still in the early phase, but S&P 500 companies so far are beating analysts’ expectations at a rate that’s below what’s typical. With earnings from 10 percent of the S&P 500 companies so far, 50 percent have exceeded expectations, below the historical average of 63 percent for a full season.  Intel and General Electric were the latest to dampen the view on fourth quarter earnings. Morgan Stanley wrapped up a week of earnings reports from the big banks by posting a sharp drop in profit, which they blamed on legal bills, but on an adjusted basis they beat estimates. Woo-hoo. The NSA gathers nearly 200 million text messages a day from around the world and has put software in almost 100,000 computers allowing it to spy on those devices. If you think that seems a bit excessive, you are not alone. And so today, President Obama delivered a major speech to reassure the world that the US is concerned about privacy issues. Thank you Edward Snowden. …

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Uncategorized

Friday, June 07, 2013 – The Ministry of Truth is Now Accepting Job Applications

The Ministry of Truth is Now Accepting Job Applications by Sinclair Noe DOW + 207 = 15,248SPX + 20 = 1643NAS + 45 = 3469 10 YR YLD + .08 = 2.16%OIL + 1.17 = 95.93GOLD – 29.10 = 1385.60SILV – .90 = 21.79 It’s the first Friday of the month and so today we start with the jobs report. The economy added 175,000 net new jobs in May. The unemployment rate moved up to 7.6% from 7.5%. I’ll explain how that works in just a moment. The March and April jobs numbers were revised slightly, and the final numbers are 12,000 less than previously reported. The headline number was slightly above expectations of 165,000 jobs added. So, another month of moderate job growth, why did the unemployment rate go up? More people jumped into the labor pool, looking for work. The participation rate increased to 63.4% in May from 63.3% in April. This is a measure of the working age population in the labor force, and historically this number is closer to 66%; some of the decline is due to people who have dropped out of the labor pool, but some of the decline is due to demographics. About 420,000 people got back into the market for a job and 319,000 found a job, but the additional 101,000 who are now in the market for a job and did not find work – that pushed the unemployment rate higher. There are still 7.9 million involuntary part time workers, basically …

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