Financial Review

Goodbye Patience

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-08-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 27 = 17,902 SPX + 5 = 2081 NAS + 40 = 4950 10 YR YLD un = 1.89% OIL – 3.05 = 50.93 GOLD – 5.50 = 1203.20 SILV – .32 = 16.61   We start today with a big acquisition in the oil industry. Royal Dutch Shell agreed to buy BG Group for about $70 billion in cash and shares, the oil and gas industry’s biggest deal in at least a decade; since 2004 when Royal Dutch Shell was created. This is the biggest acquisition this year and the 10th biggest M&A deal overall, and the fourth biggest deal overall in the oil industry. The merged company will boast a market value twice the size of BP, and even larger than Chevron. ExxonMobil is still the 800 pound gorilla with market cap north of $350 billion.   To win over shareholders, Shell pledged cost savings of $2.5 billion, asset disposals of at least $30 billion within four years and a giant buyback of $25 billion from 2017 to 2020. Shell investors reacted coolly to the deal. Shell’s B shares, the class of stock being used to finance the deal, fell about 7% percent in London. For BG it represents a 50% premium.   BG Group is the exploration part of the former state owned British Gas that was privatized by Margaret Thatcher in the 1980s. …

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Financial Review

Fed Patiently Makes Hawkish Sounds

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-28-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW – 195 = 17,191 SPX – 27 = 2002 NAS – 43 = 4637 10 YR YLD – .10 = 1.72% OIL – 1.19 = 44.26 GOLD – 8.80 = 1284.30 SILV – .07 = 18.06 Microsoft’s stock logged its biggest one-day dollar decline in nearly 15 years on Tuesday, after the company posted disappointing earnings Monday afternoon. Shares of Microsoft closed down 9.2%, or $4.35, to $42.66 on Tuesday, wiping out $34.7 billion in stock-market value. The Dow Industrials dropped 291 points Tuesday. Then after the close of trade yesterday, Apple posted the largest quarterly net income of any public company in history; $18 billion. That provided an early boost to the markets today; at least until the FOMC statement. The Dow Industrials are down from record highs, but not too bad. Since hitting an intraday high of 18,103 on December 28th, the Dow has been choppy through January; on three occasions dropping down to the 17,200 range but not dropping under (17,262 on January 6th, 17,243 on January 16th, and 17,288 yesterday). These three lows formed a floor, or a level of support for the Dow. Today, the Dow closed at 17,191; we broke support. And the next level of support is 17,067 from mid-December and the big round number of 17,000. If we break the 17,000 support, the next level is 15,855 from mid-October. The …

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