Financial Review

Have a Great Weekend

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-26-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Stocks continue to fall; multiple issues affecting markets. 3Q GDP decelerates to 3.5%. Tax cut sugar high passes. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-26-2018

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Financial Review

Cold, Cold

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-30-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:14 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Stocks slip again. Shutdown? Tariffs? Earnings? Fed? Real estate demand outstrips supply. Earnings season: CAT will raise prices because of tariffs but has plenty for buyback. Yemen turns into an oil problem for Saudis. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-30-2018

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Financial Review

Choke

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-27-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Stocks rally then choke. Justice Kennedy will retire. SCOTUS rules against fair share for unions. Apple and Samsung settle. Disney cleared for Fox. Conagra-Pinnacle seek to control your freezer. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-27-2018

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Financial Review

February Sucked

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-28-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 10:52 — 6.2MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS….Stocks down to finish a bad month. 4Q GDP revised lower. Pending home sales drop in January. Earnings season still strong. Dick’s Sporting Goods ends AR-15 sales. Spotify’s IPO. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-28-2018

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Financial Review

End of an Era

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-31-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Dow hits another record. July was good for Wall Street, great for oil, bad for the dollar. Pending home sales rise. Lending standards tighten up. Scaramucci out after 10 days. Next – tax reform. Venezuela sanctions. Joe Arpaio in pink boxers. Tesla Model 3 hits the streets. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-31-2017

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Financial Review

Bounce Back

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-28-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Stocks bounce back. Banks pass test and start handing out money. Pending home sales dip on tight inventory and affordability. Everybody hates BCRA. Petya spreads. New airline security, sorta. Blue Apron cuts price. Philps buys Spectranetics. Pink slime settlement. Illinois junk. No Brazilian passports. Facebook 2 billion. Sycamore buys Staples. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-28-2017

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Financial Review

Boxcars

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-27-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Twelve consecutive record high closes for the Dow. Mr. Trump goes to Congress and he has a budget; more on defense, less discretionary; no change to Social Security and Medicare; repeal Obamacare. Warrant Buffett’s annual shareholder letter paints a rosy picture of the economy and stocks, but blasts hedge funds and investment fees. GE’s Jeff Immelt’s letter to shareholders marks the end of the global elite.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-27-2017

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Financial Review

Ban Blowback

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1A-01-30-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:13 — 5.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Refugee travel ban blowback. Two for one on regulations. Jobs report on Friday. FOMC meets tomorrow. Wall Street without Fed stimulus looks pricey. Consumer spending up. Pending home sales jump. Rig counts climb. Puerto Rico extension. VW the biggest. No accounting for Toshiba. Fitbit unhealthy. Tempur Sealy nightmares. Walgreens Rite Aid shrinkage. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-30-2017

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Financial Review

The Wall

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-12-28-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Stocks hit the wall. Holiday spending figures. Pending home sales drop. Russian sanctions possible. Lloyd’s considers moving out of London. Barclays fights. Qualcomm fined. Kate Spade wants to sell Kate Spade. Fines for fake news. Can Amazon Echo testify against you? Minimum wage hikes coming soon. Americans spend more on health care than any other country. Expats increasing. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 12-28-2016

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Financial Review

Terminated for Ethical Behavior

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-29-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS….. GDP revised higher; biz investment up, consumers spend; profits down again. Pending home sales down; inventory tight. Sick leave for gov contractors. Wells Fargo also screws over the military. Wells CEO goes to Washington, takes personal responsibility and blames low level employees. Deutsche Bank situation very fragile. Och-Ziff makes money the old fashioned way – bribery. An artificial pancreas. Paris Auto Show is electric. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-29-2016

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Financial Review

Dilma’s Demise

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-31-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSWall Street slips in August. ADP private jobs up 177k. Pending home sales up 1.3%. No inflation in Eurozone. Trump in Mexico. Brazil impeaches Dilma. Fly to Cuba. La Junta takes over Puerto Rico. SWIFT hack. Monsanto whistleblower. ITT down for the count. Ghost ships. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-31-2016

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Financial Review

The Fed Said…

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-27-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFed no change but hints at hikes. Durable goods orders drop. Pending home sales up. Oil in a bear. Apple sold one billion. Facebook crushes it. Analog Devices buying Linear Tech. State Street misconduct. You can’t win if you don’t play – good luck. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 07-27-2016

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Financial Review

Like It Never Happened

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-06-29-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSStocks rally for a second day. Euro Commission meets. Scots beg forgiveness. Stress tests. GE no longer a threat. Consumer spending up. Pending home sales down. Puerto Rico will default. Coke GMO in Vermont. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 06-29-2016

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Financial Review

Java for All

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-26-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSPending home sales increase, durable goods orders increase, jobless claims decrease. Google beats Oracle and retains dominion over the Android kingdom. Microsoft and Facebook lay cable. The French protest. American Airlines doth protest too much. Takata? Why? Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-26-2016

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Financial Review

Hooked on Price Hikes

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-27-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFOMC no change, June still on the table. It looks like the fix is in on oil. Remember Greece? Drug companies addicted to prices. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-27-2016

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Financial Review

A Busy Economic Calendar

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-30-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-30-2015 DOW – 78 = 17,719 SPX – 9 = 2080 NAS – 18 = 5108 10 YR YLD – .01 = 2.22% OIL + .02 = 41.73 GOLD + 7.90 = 1065.50 SILV – .01 = 14.16   For the month, the Dow was up 0.3%, S&P 500 gained 0.1% and the Nasdaq gained 1.1%. The yuan rallied after the IMF said it will be added to its basket of reserve currencies. The euro capped its worst month versus the dollar since March. The yield gap between German and American bonds widened to the most in nine years, while emerging-market stocks posted their biggest monthly slump since August. This week’s economic calendar is packed. Today the National Association of Realtors reported pending home sales rose 0.2% in October and its index of contract signings is up 3.9% compared to a year ago. NAR’s chief economist, Lawrence Yun, said supply isn’t keeping up with strong demand. You know the old supply-demand formula, and tight supply points to higher prices.   Data due tomorrow includes US auto sales, ISM Manufacturing, PMI manufacturing, and construction spending. Look for auto sales to come in at an annualized rate of 18.0 million units, with a particular emphasis on VW sales following the emissions cheating scandal. The Markit PMI is expected to drop slightly from 54.1 in October to about 52.5 in November. The ISM manufacturing …

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Financial Review

Until Something Breaks

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-29-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-29-2015   DOW – 23 = 17,755 SPX – 0.94 = 2089 NAS – 21 = 5074 10 YR YLD + .08 = 2.17% OIL + .12 = 46.06 GOLD – 10.20 = 1146.50 SILV – .35 = 15.68   Gross domestic product, the value of almost everything a nation produces, rose at a 1.5% annual pace in the third quarter; that’s down from a 3.9% rate in the second quarter. The slowdown stemmed mostly from the biggest drawdown in inventories in three years. Companies cut spending on structures such as oil platforms and commercial buildings. Even as businesses showed more caution, consumers continued to spend money at steady clip. Consumer spending, the single largest determinant of U.S economic growth, rose at a 3.2% annual pace following an even larger gain in the second quarter. Some parts of the economy are performing well; technology, health care, and finance are enjoying conditions that echo the booming 1990s or the housing bubble a decade ago. The energy sector is hurting and cutting jobs and closing down projects.   Shipping is a measure of the real economy. Shipments usually increase from August to September. They did this year too. The number of shipments in September inched up 1.7% from August, according to the Cass Freight Index. But the index was down 1.5% from an already lousy September last year, when shipments had …

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Financial Review

Canoe Trips on Mars

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-28-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-28-2015   DOW – 312 = 16,001 SPX – 49 = 1881 NAS – 142 = 4543 10 YR YLD – .07 = 2.09% OIL – .03 = 44.40 GOLD – 14.20 = 1133.10 SILV – .53 = 14.70   Well, this was just ugly. All three major indices traded in correction territory today or more than 10 percent below their 52-week highs. For the Nasdaq Composite, the 50 day moving average crossed the 200 day moving average, forming a pattern that goes by the catchy name “death cross”. The Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF closed down 6.3%, following a 5% drop on Friday.   Shares in mining and trading company Glencore fell almost 30 percent and closed at a record low, wiping out more than $5 billion in market valuation. The fall followed publication of a note by analysts at investment bank Investec which raised doubts about Glencore’s valuation if spot metal prices do not improve. The note pointed to high debt levels and a need for deeper restructuring. The analysts wrote: “If major commodity prices remain at current levels, our analysis implies that, in the absence of substantial restructuring, nearly all the equity value of both Glencore and Anglo American could evaporate.” Glencore, a Swiss based company, has said it will suspend dividends, sell assets and raise cash with a $2.5 billion share placement, among other measures, to cut its …

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Financial Review

Better Than We Thought

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-27-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-27-2015 DOW + 369 = 16,654 SPX + 47 = 1987 NAS + 115 = 4812 10 YR YLD un = 2.17% OIL + 4.03 = 42.63 GOLD + .10 = 1126.50 SILV + .41 = 14.62   Yesterday Wall Street cracked a six-day losing streak with its best rally in nearly four years. Today, traders piled on; the two-day total, 978 points on the Dow industrials and the best two-day percentage gain since the crisis of 2008; which wipes out Monday’s losses, but still leaves the Dow down from one week ago. On the longer-term charts, Monday and Tuesday dropped below the lows of last October at 15,855, compared to Monday’s low of 15,370, which basically matched the lows from February 2014 at 15,340. On a long-term chart this now provides a range of support. With today’s gains, the S&P has recovered about half of the 11-percent meltdown it suffered over a six-day losing streak.   China’s key stock market index surged 5.3 percent earlier today, for its biggest gain in eight weeks, and the first gain in five sessions. China has been selling down its holdings of US Treasuries; the idea is to put a floor under the devaluation of the yuan; also probably to raise some capital for stimulus. So far, it isn’t an asset dump and there is absolutely no evidence it is the source of …

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Financial Review

Solid Guesses

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-29-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 121 = 17,751 SPX + 15 = 2108 NAS + 22 = 5111 10 YR YLD + .03 = 2.28% OIL + .91 = 48.89 GOLD + 1.20 = 1097.70 SILV + .13 = 14.91   The Federal Reserve FOMC meeting wrapped up earlier today. They issued a statement but there was no press conference. The Fed did not change monetary policy; no surprise, nobody expected a change from this meeting. The next FOMC meeting is in September and we might see changes then, or maybe December. There really weren’t many clues in the statement. There were a few subtle changes in wording of the statement; specifically on jobs, the Fed said: “The labor market continued to improve, with solid job gains and declining unemployment. On balance, a range of labor market indicators suggests that underutilization of labor resources has diminished since early this year.” “Solid job gains” is a fairly strong phrase for the Fed. No indication of slack in the labor market.   The actual decision to raise rates will come when the Fed sees “some” further improvement in the labor market. The word “some” was new. What does “some” mean? You can give it whatever meaning you want but I think it means the labor market is headed in the right direction and as long as it stays on the tracks and continues to …

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