Financial Review

Spring Break

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-06-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Xi in Florida. Syrian options. Senate goes nuclear for Gorsuch. Devin Nunes recused. Glass-Steagall reconsidered. Kashkari calls out Dimon. States downgraded. CMBX, a short trade crowded. Taser-AAXN Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-06-2017

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Financial Review

Go Figure

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1A-02-08-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:09 — 7.0MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  …..Nasdaq’s 12 record for 2017. Crude glut, prices rise. Intel investing in AZ. Sharp investing in US. Brexit vote. VW investing in Electrify America. Takata guilty. Earnings season roundup. BofA opens robo-branches. Goldman Sachs robo-bankers. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-08-2017

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Financial Review

Had to Happen

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1A-01-12-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:16 — 5.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Stocks drop as bulls left empty handed. Import/export prices higher. First step to repeal Obamacare. A long line of kowtowers. Airlines did not collude. Unicredit on the edge. J&J to buy Actelion. Homebuyers get cold feet. AZ MLS reports Phoenix home sales up, inventory tight. Apple goes Hollywood. VW execs indicted. Fiat Chrysler emissions cheating. Takata settles. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-12-2017

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Financial Review

The Wall

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-12-28-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Stocks hit the wall. Holiday spending figures. Pending home sales drop. Russian sanctions possible. Lloyd’s considers moving out of London. Barclays fights. Qualcomm fined. Kate Spade wants to sell Kate Spade. Fines for fake news. Can Amazon Echo testify against you? Minimum wage hikes coming soon. Americans spend more on health care than any other country. Expats increasing. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 12-28-2016

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Financial Review

19,000

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-22-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Dow, S&P, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 hit record highs again; passing milestones along the way. Trump policy goals; the trend is in place but the details are fuzzy. Existing home sales surge. Japan quakes again. Amazon goes live. VW goes electric. Turkey dips. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-22-2016

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Financial Review

Apple Bites

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-25-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Earnings season heats up. Apple is weak. VW reaches a settlement. Takata heads to BK. Driverless beer. Home prices rise, inventories are tight. Consumer confidence drops. Obamacare premiums will jump. Renewable energy installations pass fossil fuel. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-25-2016

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Financial Review

Your Money and Your Life

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-26-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  ……..Oil prices on the table in Algiers. BOJ looks at less than zero. The biggest risk – China. New home sales drop. Deutsche Bank stumbles badly. Wells Fargo Round Two. Mylan skips over inversion. Takata looks to BK. Traffic HERE. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-26-2016

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Financial Review

De Facto Fail

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-29-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSConsumer spending up with no signs of inflation. Arizona and Illinois election hack. Brazil impeachment update. TTIP de facto fail. Apple’s sweetheart tax deal. SunEdison cannibalized by creditors. The EpiPen price gouge continues generically. Drones will rule the world.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-29-2016

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Financial Review

The Yellen Rally

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-30-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSMarket hits new high on Yellen rally. Ask a bot about it.

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Financial Review

Until After the Fact

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-25-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-25-2016 DOW -208 = 15,885 SPX – 29 = 1877 NAS –  72 = 4518 10 Y – .03 =  2.02% OIL -2.36 = 19.83 GOLD + 11.90 = 1108.90   Stocks in Asia rallied overnight, with the Topix index in Tokyo increasing 1.3 percent, China’s Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.8 percent and the MSCI Asia Pacific Index adding 1.2 percent. Despite gaining in early trading, shares in Europe turned lower. US stocks were down all day, but the selling got worse into the close.   Oil gave up some of its recent gains after Saudi Arabia said it is keeping up investments in energy products and data from China showed that diesel consumption dropped for a fourth consecutive month. Also, Iraq’s oil ministry told Reuters that the country had record output in December, producing as much as 4.13 million barrels a day. A senior Iraqi oil official said separately the country may raise output even further this year. After posting a 21% gain in just 3 days last week, West Texas Intermediate closed down 7.3%.   Following the lifting of economic sanctions and the release of billions of dollars’ worth of frozen Iranian assets, Tehran is ready for business: The country just struck a provisional deal to buy eight A380 superjumbos, while an agreement for 100 more planes from Airbus and Boeing could be completed this week. Over the weekend, China and Iran also mapped out …

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Financial Review

Turkey Shoots

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-24-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-24-2015 DOW + 19 = 17,812 SPX + 2 = 2089 NAS + 0.33 = 5102 10 YR YLD – .01 = 2.24% OIL + .89 = 42.64 GOLD + 6.70 = 1076.40 SILV + .05 = 14.30   The US economy expanded at a faster pace in the third quarter than previously reported. Gross domestic product rose at a 2.1% annualized rate, up from an initial estimate of 1.5%. Nearly all of the improvement was because of revised data on inventories, which showed businesses restocking shelves at a faster pace than the government first estimated. Still, company stockpiles remained elevated compared with sales, indicating that new orders and production will cool further to clear shelves and warehouses heading into 2016. Inventories grew at a $90 billion annualized rate from July through September, almost twice as much as previously estimated, but down from the second quarter.   The improvement in inventory levels was offset by a slight downward revision in consumer spending last quarter. Cheap gasoline is giving households a little extra money, and consumers are spending, just not quite as fast; consumer spending was revised down to 3% from 3.2% in the initial estimate for the third quarter. Consumption during the current fourth quarter, including the holiday shopping season, is expected to increase at an annualized rate of about 3%.   For all of 2015, the rate of …

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Financial Review

Quickly Dying Here

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-03-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-03-2015 DOW + 89 = 17,918 SPX + 5 = 2109 NAS + 17 = 5145 10 YR YLD + .03 = 2.22% OIL + 1.73 = 47.87 GOLD – 16.90 = 1117.50 SILV – .22 = 15.29 New orders for factory goods fell for a second consecutive month in September as the manufacturing industry continues to struggle under the weight of a strong dollar and deep spending cuts by energy companies. The Commerce Department said new orders for manufactured goods declined 1 percent in September after a downwardly revised 2.1 percent drop in August. Motor vehicle production, however, remains a bright spot as orders surged in September.   Fiat Chrysler reported its 67th straight month of year-over-year gains, selling 195,545 vehicles in the month of October, up 14.7% from a year earlier. Toyota said it sold more than 200,000 vehicles, which would be a double-digit rise from last October’s 180,580 vehicles. Toyota did not give a specific sales figure.   General Motors, the nation’s largest automaker, said it sold 262,000 vehicles during the month, a 15.9 percent increase from a year ago. Ford Motor said it sold 205,000 vehicles in October, a 13.4 percent increase over a year ago. Ford’s F-Series pickup continued to be the country’s best-selling vehicle with sales of 65,000 during the month. The US auto industry’s October sales are now expected to top 18 …

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Financial Review

Carry On

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-02-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:14 — 12.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-02-2015   DOW + 293 = 16351 SPX + 35 = 1948 NAS + 113 = 4749 10 YR YLD + .02 = 2.19% OIL + .59 = 46.00 GOLD – 6.10 = 1134.70 SILV + .08 = 14.80   For the first 8 ½ months of the year, stocks traded in a very tight range, for the most part. We had an occasional triple digit move on the Dow, but that was the exception – now it looks like the norm. Investors have weathered over two weeks of unusually wide-swinging trade that has left the S&P 500 with its worst monthly drop in three years and a loss of 8.5 percent from an all-time high in May. There really isn’t anything that would tell you today marks some kind of recovery, rather it is just volatility and turbulence. Get used to it. Keep calm and carry on.   World markets were a bit more sanguine today; the Shanghai Composite stabilized, but still closed just slightly lower. Nine Chinese brokerages pledged additional funds to purchase shares, answering fresh government calls to support equities. Investors may see the trend continue. Shanghai’s stock market will be closed Thursday and Friday as China commemorates the 70th anniversary of the end of World War II.   U.S. index provider MSCI has declared the market gyrations in China, and a barrage of interventions by the …

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Financial Review

Move Along

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-09-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 33 = 17,548 SPX + 4 = 2051 NAS + 12 = 4922 10 YR YLD + .06 = 2.30% OIL – .07 = 52.71 GOLD + 1.30 = 1160.30 SILV + .27 = 15.49   The major stock indices finished well off the highs for the day but still in positive territory. The New York Stock Exchange was open for business today, following a 3.5 hour shutdown yesterday. While yesterday’s outage stopped trading at the New York Stock Exchange, shares listed on that exchange continued to trade on other venues such as the Nasdaq Stock Market and Bats Global Markets. NYSE officials blame the halt in trading on a software update that didn’t work out. And they say it was just coincidental that United Airlines had computer problems that grounded flights for 2 hours. And it just coincidental that the Wall Street Journal Website went down just before trading was halted. And it was just coincidental that the ZeroHedge website went down just before trading halted. And it was just coincidental 12 hours before the shutdown, the hacktivist group Anonymous sent a Tweet saying, “Wonder if tomorrow is going to be bad for Wall Street…. we can only hope.” And it was just coincidental that China’s stock market was going through its own meltdown, though much more fundamental in nature; and the Chinese were more than …

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Financial Review

Another Record

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-19-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 13 = 18,312.39 (record) SPX – 1 = 2127 NAS – 8 = 5070 10 YR YLD + .03 = 2.26% OIL – 2.17 = 57.26 GOLD – 17.80 = 1209.00 SILV – .61 = 17.17   Record high for the Dow Industrials.   Construction starts on new U.S. homes was up 20% in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.14 million. That’s the biggest monthly percentage gain in over 24 years and the highest level since November 2007.  Total housing starts remain far below an average pace of about 1.5 million over the 20 years leading up to the housing bubble’s 2006 peak.   A board member of the European Central Bank says the ECB will “frontload” its asset purchases in May and June – that is, step up buying in those months – to maintain its monthly average of $67 billion, given an expected drop in liquidity in the summer vacation period. The policymaker also said the recent selloff in German bunds and other sovereign bonds is not a cause for concern but the rapidity of the move is worrying.   Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis told a Greek TV channel last night that Greece is “very close” to a deal, other officials are less enthusiastic. European Commission President Jean-Claude Junker said this morning that there will be no agreement for Greece at this week’s summit. …

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Financial Review

No Small Thing

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-13-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW – 7 = 18,060 SPX – 0.64 = 2098 NAS + 5 = 4981 10 YR YLD + .02 = 2.28% OIL – .62 = 60.13 GOLD + 22.10 = 1216.10 SILV + .61 = 17.19   U.S. retail sales were flat in April. Americans went out to eat more and made plenty of Internet purchases, but we cut back on gasoline, autos, home furnishings and electronic goods, among other things. While March’s retail sales were revised up to show a 1.1 percent increase instead of the previously reported 0.9 percent rise, that was not enough to offset the general weak tone of the report. Retail sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services were also unchanged. Core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product.   You can’t blame the bad winter weather for this report. The American consumer is acting in a most bizarre manner…, they are not spending, they are saving. The most recent data, from March, shows that Americans saved 5.3% of their pre-tax income, down from 5.7% in February. But the average savings rate so far in 2015 is higher than it was last year and in 2013. Savings spiked following the recession, but it was widely expected the savings rate would eventually fall back to the pre-bubble rates of 3% or 4%. Yea, that’s not …

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Financial Review

Risk On

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-20-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 154 = 18,140 SPX + 12 = 2110 NAS + 31 = 4955 10 YR YLD + .02 = 2.13% OIL – .82 = 50.34   Eurozone finance ministers are meeting in Brussels today for the latest round of emergency talks aimed at breaking the deadlock with Greece. Yesterday, Germany rejected a request by Athens to extend a loan program, calling the Greek proposal a Trojan horse. Now it looks like there will be an extension of the bailout loan agreement, probably for four months; the current deal was scheduled to expire on February 28th.   Euro zone officials said the accord required Greece to submit by Monday a letter to the Eurogroup listing all the policy measures it planned to take during the remainder of the bailout period, to ensure they complied with conditions. So, they haven’t worked out all the details or even come close to resolving the problems; they didn’t have to; they just needed to avoid making a big, irreversible mess of everything. So, they have hit the pause button. It might be the smartest thing they could have done.   Greece has a new government, barely one month on the job. It is not reasonable to expect the new government to have fully formulated all the details of a bailout and recovery plan. They might not come up with a decent plan after 3 or …

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Financial Review

Skim Just a Little

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-20-2014.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review DOW + 33 = 17,719 SPX + 4 = 2052 NAS + 26 = 4701 10 YR YLD – .02 = 2.33% OIL + 1.50 = 76.00 GOLD + 11.40 = 1195.50 SILV+ .12 = 16.35 Record high close for the Dow Industrials and the S&P 500 index. The Consumer Price Index, or CPI, measures inflation at the retail level; prices that you and I pay for stuff. Prices were unchanged in October at an annualized rate of 1.7%. Lower gasoline prices offset increases in housing (up 0.3%), medical care (up 0.2%) and airline fares (which increased 2.4% despite lower fuel costs). The price of gasoline fell 3% last month. The cost of food edged up 0.1% in October, but that was the smallest gain in four months. Fruits, vegetables, dairy and beef increased in cost, but pork, chicken, fish and eggs all declined. Food prices are up 3.1% from a year earlier. Excluding the up-and-down food and energy categories, core consumer prices rose 0.2%. Over the past 12 months the core rate of inflation has risen an unadjusted 1.8%. Initial jobless claims fell by 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 291,000 in the week ended Nov. 15. The number of people who applied for new unemployment benefits totaled fewer than 300,000 for the 10th straight week. The National Association of Realtors reports sales of existing homes rose 1.5% in October to a …

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Financial Review

A Solid Week in a Rocky Month

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-24-2014.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review DOW + 127 = 16,805 SPX + 13 = 1964 NAS + 30 = 4483 10 YR YLD – .01 = 2.27% OIL – .80 = 81.29 GOLD – .90 = 1232.00 SILV + .01 = 17.31 Last Friday we covered some technical analysis of the equity markets, looking at support and resistance, as well as a short-term bullish pattern, a morning star that had formed. Sure enough, this week provided the follow through on that bullish pattern. Major indices snapped a 4-week string of losses. For the week, the Dow gained 425 points, or 2.5%. The S&P gained 78 points, or 4.1%. And the weekly gain for the Nasdaq was 225 points or 5.2%. So, where do the markets go from here? The pullback that started September 19th never really materialized into a full blown correction, and there is a feeling that there should be more to the downside, but as of today the markets seem to be firmly in retracement mode. Better to let the market tell you when that retracement ends than to try to impose your opinions on the market. And then remember that we are almost through the treacherous month of October. The Stock Traders’ Almanac reminds us that “in 64 years before 2014, DJIA and S&P 500 have both declined 26 times in October. However, these October declines were followed by 23 DJIA November-December gains averaging …

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