Financial Review

And Bounce

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-26-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:59 — 7.4MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Stocks rebound on hopes of no trade war. Facebook under fire. Google facing Euro breakup. Remington BK. No crypto tweet. NY Fed’s Dudley bankers need to stop rewarding bad behavior. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-26-2018

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Financial Review

Everybody’s Doing It

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-07-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Record high for the Dow. Job openings up. Consumer credit climbs. Waymo self-driving cars coming to Phoenix. Snap loses. Twitter doubles up. Saudi purge. Paradise Papers names names of the wealthy tax cheaters. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-07-2017

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Financial Review

A Stickler for Math

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-28-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..S&P 500 and Russell 2000 hit highs. 2Q GDP 3.1%. Taxes and math. Gary Cohn has never been to Home Depot. Twitter and the Russians. Supremes are back. Oil supply and demand. Drug news. Ikea for lazy people. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-28-2017

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Financial Review

Happy Day

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-20-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..FBI investigating Trump-Russia ties. No wiretapping. Gorsuch hearing. Tryancare vote Thursday, maybe. Brexit Article 50. G20 protectionism, yea sure. Gates-Trump. Greece misses again. Deutsche Bank finds greater fools. Vodaphone has an Idea. Albertsons Sprouts. Unilever dumps butter. Twitter full o’ bots. Uber exit. BAML’s big list of everything YTD. Italy is healthiest; Norway is happiest; US is fat and grumpy. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-20-2017

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Financial Review

Fed Day

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-15-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..FOMC raises rates; very expected; not hawkish. CPI inches higher. Retail sales slow. Business inventories rise. Twitter hacked. Dutch Trump loses. MIT rewards rules breakers. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-15-2017

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Financial Review

Pause

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-16-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Dow waits for assault on 19,000. PPI unchanged. Industrial production unchanged. Mortgage rates up. Fed ready to hike rates. Bill Gross isn’t buying the Trump Bump. Snapchat files to go public. Amazon goes after knockoffs. Twitter goes after trolls. EU will fine more banksters. SEC finally addresses Flash Crash. Ford still going to Mexico. Playstation Fiesta Bowl. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-16-2016

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Financial Review

Welcome to Earnings Reporting Season

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-11-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Alcoa kicks off earnings reports – batten down the hatches. Hard Brexit will be expensive. Rosneft chief says nyet to oil production cap. Galaxy Note 7 is finished. GE looks for renewables. Bids for Twitter? Bueller? Bueller? FCA has a deal with union. Chicago schools have a deal with union. Theranos sued. Phoenix real estate – good sales, more inventory, fewer foreclosures, fewer cash investors. The downward spiral of the American shopping mall. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-11-2016

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Financial Review

Waiting for the Storm

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-06-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Unemployment benefits drop – why? Layoffs up. Freelance nation. Hurricane Matthew heads for Florida. Will anyone buy Twitter. Wal-Mart invests in e-commerce. Mylan overcharged. Theranos can’t pass the test. Deutsche Bank – still no deal. Samsung replacement phone catches fire. Airplane emissions. Uber offers free rides to the train.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-06-2016

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Financial Review

You Paid

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-23-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSOPEC meets in Algiers next week. No deals. Banks must scale back betting on commodities. Yahoo breach biggest ever (so far). France passes Germany. Marriott achieves global dominance over hotels. UPS trucks can’t go everywhere. Twitter pops on rumor – how appropriate. For profit college sucks. Why you paid for bonuses at Wells Fargo. Hottest-ever August. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-23-2016

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Financial Review

Waiting on the FOMC

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-26-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSMarkets calm ahead of FOMC decision. Apple chopped. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-26-2016

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Financial Review

Where Robots Fear to Tread

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-10-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSECB Day and Draghi fires the bazooka. Also, the fifth anniversary of Fukushima.

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Financial Review

That’s Her Story

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-10-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-10-2016   DOW – 99 = 15,914 SPX – 0.35 = 1851 NAS + 14 = 4283 10 Y – .02 = 1.70% OIL – .64 = 27.30 GOLD + 8.00 = 1197.80   Fed Chair Janet Yellen delivered her semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony in Washington today in her first major appearance since the Fed’s rate hike last December. In prepared testimony, Yellen said

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Financial Review

Until After the Fact

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-25-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-25-2016 DOW -208 = 15,885 SPX – 29 = 1877 NAS –  72 = 4518 10 Y – .03 =  2.02% OIL -2.36 = 19.83 GOLD + 11.90 = 1108.90   Stocks in Asia rallied overnight, with the Topix index in Tokyo increasing 1.3 percent, China’s Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.8 percent and the MSCI Asia Pacific Index adding 1.2 percent. Despite gaining in early trading, shares in Europe turned lower. US stocks were down all day, but the selling got worse into the close.   Oil gave up some of its recent gains after Saudi Arabia said it is keeping up investments in energy products and data from China showed that diesel consumption dropped for a fourth consecutive month. Also, Iraq’s oil ministry told Reuters that the country had record output in December, producing as much as 4.13 million barrels a day. A senior Iraqi oil official said separately the country may raise output even further this year. After posting a 21% gain in just 3 days last week, West Texas Intermediate closed down 7.3%.   Following the lifting of economic sanctions and the release of billions of dollars’ worth of frozen Iranian assets, Tehran is ready for business: The country just struck a provisional deal to buy eight A380 superjumbos, while an agreement for 100 more planes from Airbus and Boeing could be completed this week. Over the weekend, China and Iran also mapped out …

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Financial Review

Bon Appetit

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-06-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-06-2016 DOW – 252 = 16,906 SPX – 26 = 1990 NAS – 55 = 4835 10 Y – .07 =  2.18% OIL – 1.98 = 33.99 GOLD + 16.30 = 1094.80   Sometimes the world can be a messy place. Global markets get discombobulated. That has been the case in the first few trading days of the year. Saudi Arabia and Iran are about as friendly as cats and dogs, China’s economic growth is grinding slower, and then, in left field, North Korea drops a bomb, or at least tests a bomb, maybe.   North Korea announced that scientists had successfully detonated a hydrogen bomb. The U.S. Geological Survey reported that a magnitude 5.1 earthquake was triggered near North Korea’s nuclear test site in the northeast of the country, but could not confirm that it was related to an H-bomb test.   China’s central bank set the yuan’s reference rate at an unexpectedly weak level, a reminder of the shock depreciation in August that sparked a wave of financial-market turmoil. Chinese media said that last summer’s selling ban on major shareholders would remain in place until the government publishes new rules on such sales.  The Shanghai Composite Index jumped 2.3 percent. Emerging-market stocks dropped to a six-year low and developing-nation currencies declined versus the dollar, while shares in Europe resumed losses after closing higher on Tuesday. Investors are …

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Financial Review

Close Calls

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-07-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-07-2015 DOW + 122 = 16,912 SPX + 15 = 1995 NAS + 42 = 4791 10 YR YLD + .03 = 2.06% OIL – .47 = 48.06 GOLD – 1.80 = 1146.80 SILV + .17 = 16.15   The S&P 500 closed at its highest level in three weeks. The S&P 500 has been up for 6 out of the past 7 sessions.  The S&P is down 3.09 percent for the year and the Dow is off by 5.11 percent ytd.   Yesterday, oil prices jumped nearly 5% as the American Petroleum Institute reported a 1.2 million barrel decrease in crude stocks last week. The International Energy Agency has said it expects world oil demand to increase by around 1.7 million barrels per day this year, one of the fastest rates for years as consumers respond to much lower fuel prices. The tightening market balance comes as U.S. production starts to decline. This morning, the Energy Information Administration reports global oil demand should increase by its fastest rate in six years in 2016, suggesting a surplus of crude is easing more quickly than expected. The EIA forecasts U.S. oil output will fall to 8.8 million barrels per day from an average of 9.25 million in 2015. But the EIA report also showed U.S. crude inventories rose by 3.1 million barrels in the last week, compared with analysts’ expectations …

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Financial Review

The Courage to Act, or Not

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-05-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-05-2015   DOW + 304 = 16,776 SPX + 35 = 1987 NAS + 73 = 4781 10 YR YLD + .07 = 2.06% OIL + .72 = 46.26 GOLD – 2.50 = 1136.90 SILV + .40 = 15.77   The Dow Industrial Average has gone from a low of 16,013 Friday morning after the jobs report to an intraday high today of 16,798, or a swing of 785 points. The S&P 500 rose for a fifth session in a row, its longest winning streak this year   The US, Japan and 10 other Pacific Rim economies have reached agreement to strike the largest trade pact seen anywhere in two decades. The Trans-Pacific Partnership covers some 40% of the global economy and will create a new Pacific economic bloc with reduced trade barriers relating to the flow of everything from beef and dairy products to textiles and data as well as new standards and rules for investment, the environment and labor.   Former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has published a new book, entitled “The Courage to Act” and so he’s making the rounds. In a CNBC interview, Bernanke said that slow productivity growth is weighing on the economy, and there’s too much reliance on the central bank. He said other policymakers in the government need to step up. He refused to second guess current Fed Chair Janet Yellen …

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Financial Review

Solid Guesses

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-07-29-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 121 = 17,751 SPX + 15 = 2108 NAS + 22 = 5111 10 YR YLD + .03 = 2.28% OIL + .91 = 48.89 GOLD + 1.20 = 1097.70 SILV + .13 = 14.91   The Federal Reserve FOMC meeting wrapped up earlier today. They issued a statement but there was no press conference. The Fed did not change monetary policy; no surprise, nobody expected a change from this meeting. The next FOMC meeting is in September and we might see changes then, or maybe December. There really weren’t many clues in the statement. There were a few subtle changes in wording of the statement; specifically on jobs, the Fed said: “The labor market continued to improve, with solid job gains and declining unemployment. On balance, a range of labor market indicators suggests that underutilization of labor resources has diminished since early this year.” “Solid job gains” is a fairly strong phrase for the Fed. No indication of slack in the labor market.   The actual decision to raise rates will come when the Fed sees “some” further improvement in the labor market. The word “some” was new. What does “some” mean? You can give it whatever meaning you want but I think it means the labor market is headed in the right direction and as long as it stays on the tracks and continues to …

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Financial Review

Trending

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-28-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW + 72 = 18,110 SPX + 5 = 2114 NAS – 4 = 5055 10 YR YLD + .05 = 1.97% OIL – .06 = 56.93 GOLD + 10.10 =  1212.80 SILV + .21 = 16.71   House prices picked up in February, rising 0.5%, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city composite index. After seasonal adjustments, home prices rose 0.9% in February, matching January’s gain. Compared with February 2014, prices for the 20-city index were up 5%, the fastest growth in half a year. Home prices in Phoenix gained 0.3% for the month and 2.9% for the 12 month period.   The Commerce Department reports home ownership slipped to a 25 year low of 63.8% in the first quarter. The home ownership rate peaked at 69.4% in 2004. Household formation increased by 1.5 million in the first quarter. More people, starting more households, but they aren’t buying homes. With many Americans still showing an aversion to homeownership, the gains in household formation largely are being driven by renters.   Consumer confidence declined in April to a four-month low as Americans’ views of the labor market and the outlook on the economy deteriorated. The Conference Board’s index dropped to 95.2 from a revised 101.4 reading in March. The report showed fewer respondents said jobs were plentiful in April and income expectations cooled, signaling consumers will remain guarded about spending. The …

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Financial Review

Monday.

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-27-2014.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review DOW + 12 = 16,817 SPX – 2 = 1961 NAS + 2 = 4485 10 YR YLD – .02 = 2.26% OIL – .52 = 79.92 GOLD – 5.90 = 1226.10 SILV – .10 = 17.21 In economic news: the National Association of Realtors reports pending home sales rose 0.3% in September, hitting the second highest level for this year. The index of pending home sales reached a seasonally adjusted 105 in September, compared with 104.7 in August. Slower price growth and more homes for sale are likely supporting pending home sales. Pending sales typically close within 2 months, and so this gauge augurs well for actual sales. Financial data firm Markit said its preliminary or ‘flash’ services sector purchasing managers index slipped to 57.3 last month, the lowest reading since April, from 58.9 in September. A reading above 50 signals expansion in the services sector. The index has been gradually declining for 4 months. The October readings would indicate fourth quarter GDP slowing to about 2.5%. Goldman Sachs analysts revised their price outlook for oil; they are decidedly more bearish, predicting $75 a barrel for the first quarter and second half of next year. The thinking is that US shale oil will be enough to keep prices down, and non-OPEC countries will continue to provide plenty of supply, so even if OPEC wants higher prices, they will find it difficult. …

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Financial Review

Financial Review for Tuesday, April 29, 2014 – Lowering the Bar

Lowering the Barby Sinclair Noe DOW + 86 = 16,535SPX + 8 = 1878NAS + 29 = 410310 YR YLD + .02 = 2.69%OIL – .12 = 100.72GOLD – .40 = 1296.90SILV – .13 = 19.54 The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index for February showed prices up 12.9% from February a year ago, that’s down from the 12-month advance of 13.2% reported in January. The index tracks existing home sales in 20 major metropolitan areas, and this economic report tends to lag, plus it is a 3-month moving average of prices; so maybe we could be seeing one of the last reports to reflect bad winter weather. Home prices fell in 13 of the 20 cities in February compared with the previous month, and it wasn’t just cold weather cities; prices in Las Vegas dipped 0.1% in February from the previous month, the city’s first monthly decline in nearly two years; home prices fell 1.6% in Cleveland and 0.7% in Tampa, Florida. Las Vegas still posted the biggest 12-month gain, with an increase of 23.1%. The Conference Board said its index of consumer attitudes dipped to 82.3 from an upwardly revised 83.9 in March; still, very near a 6-year high. A new report today from the National Employment Law Project finds that as the economy has inched toward recovery, low-wage jobs have returned far more quickly than middle- or high-income work. The report’s finding shows how the housing sector in particular is a key middle-income employer that has failed to rebound. …

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