Financial Review

91 Days

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-22-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Another Dow record. Fed minutes show rate hike “fairly soon”. Existing home sales jump. Shortage of construction workers. Fannie and Freddie must pay government, not shareholders. Facebook plays ball. First Solar beats. Verizon tests 5G. UPS tests drones. Amazon Bigthanks. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-22-2017

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Financial Review

Again and Again

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-21-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Walmart beats; Amazon counterpunches. Macy’s slips and sells RE. Home Depot beats and buys back. Verizon will buy Yahoo with a cut. Burger King buys Popeyes. Kraft won’t buy Unilever. Sprint-TMobile. International money transfers – there’s an app. Eurozone biz activity best in 6 years. HSBC tanks. BHP profit. China stops buying coal from North Korea. Waiting on the Fed. Oil prices move higher, as OPEC cuts production but US demand drops. Trump starts deportations. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-21-2017

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Financial Review

Pushed Out

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-01-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFed jawbones. Low rates keep stocks inflated. Oil continues to slide. Construction spending falls. ISM manufacturing falls. Mortgages near all-time lows. Verizon-Fleetmatic. Tesla-SolarCity. Didi Chuching-Uber China. Glaxo-Alphabet Verily. Pfizer-Bamboo. Ready for Rio. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-01-2016

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Financial Review

Spend More, Buy the Same

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-31-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  Consumers spending more but not getting more; confidence wavers. 1Q earnings reporting season closes with another decline. Fed considers a hike. Brits consider a Brexit. A strike finally works. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-31-2016

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Financial Review

Banks Flunk

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-13-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSRetail sales and wholesale prices dropped; JPMorgan earnings aren’t as bad as they could have been, but 5 big banks failed the “living will” test. Verizon workers on strike. Congress just can’t get the job done. Peabody files for bankruptcy. A break on student loans. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-13-2016

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Financial Review

No F8 but What You Make

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-12-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSThe start of earnings season, oil bounces, Fedspeak, and our F8 is to talk to bots.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-12-2016

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Financial Review

A Hot One

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-21-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-21-2016 DOW + 115 = 15,882 SPX + 9 = 1868 NAS + 0.37 = 4472 10 Y + .04 = 2.02% OIL + 1.50 = 29.85 GOLD + .20 = 1102.40 The European Central Bank announced today that they will hold interest rates at record lows of 0.3%. Mario Draghi said the European Central Bank may need to provide more stimulus programs as soon as March to address concerns about the euro-area recovery. Draghi said, “Downside risks have increased again amid heightened uncertainties about emerging-market growth prospects. It would therefore be necessary to review and possibly reconsider our monetary-policy stance at our next meeting.” Now remember that the markets just love free money, and that was essentially what Draghi promised.   China’s central bank cranked up cash injections in its money-market operations for the third week in a row, trying to counter capital outflows. The PBOC added $60 billion to the financial system using reverse-repurchase agreements, the most in three years. The Shanghai composite dropped 3.2%.   Brazil’s central bank kept policy on hold. The Central Bank of Brazil held its benchmark rate at 14.25%, surprising the consensus, which was calling for a 50-basis-point hike to 14.75%. The bank has been under pressure from politicians and local businesses to raise rates in an effort to combat inflation that is running at a 12-year high, above 10%.   Oil prices …

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Financial Review

An Inexplicable Force

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-20-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for  10-20-2015 DOW – 13 = 17,217 SPX – 2 = 2030 NAS – 24 = 4880 10 YR YLD + .04 = 2.07% OIL – .34 =45.56 GOLD + 5.20 = 1176.80 SILV + .07 = 16.00 Housing starts rose in September as builders ramped up construction of apartments. Construction of new homes increased 6.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 1.21 million units in September. After two months of declines, the gain in September brings starts back to just below June’s level, which was an eight-year high. In September, starts for single-family homes, which accounts for the largest share of the market, rose 0.3% to a 740,000 unit pace.   Earnings reports will likely be a big driver for stocks this week. IBM shares dropped 5.5% after announcing revenues that missed even the most pessimistic expectations and issuing weaker-than-expected guidance for the year.   Verizon posted better than expected earnings and revenue, in large part due to the release of the new Apple iPhone 6S and 6S Plus in September. The company net added 1.3 million wireless retail postpaid subscribers in the quarter compared with 1.1 million in the second quarter. Net income rose to just over $4 billion, or 99 cents per share on revenue of just over $33 billion.   United Technologies reported a drop in third-quarter profit that still beat analyst expectations, and its chief executive said …

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Financial Review

Magnitude of Falsity is Enormous

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-12-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW – 36 = 18,068 SPX – 6 = 2099 NAS – 17 = 4976 10 YR YLD – .03 = 2.25% OIL + 1.50 = 60.75 GOLD + 9.50 = 1194.00 SILV + .21 = 16.58   The Treasury market continued to sell-off this  morning, pushing the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury up to 2.35% intraday, the highest point since Nov. 21. The selling eased by the afternoon, sending the yield down to 2.25 percent. The intense selling in the Treasury market was fueled by a similar meltdown in the Eurozone’s government bond market which has been going on for more than two weeks. Germany’s 10-year bund yield is 14 times higher than a month ago.  The yield on the 10-year benchmark German bond known as the bund increased 12 basis points to 0.71% intraday and European peripherals, such as Spain, Italy and Portugal, also saw their yields jump between 10 and 13 basis points.   At a panel discussion in Zurich this morning, NY Fed President William Dudley outlined that he does not know when interest rates will rise but repeated recent comments that the policy tightening will depend on the US economy. In other words, the Fed won’t send out engraved invitations and you will need to stay alert but the markets shouldn’t be surprised when the Fed raises rates. Dudley said the conditions that will determine …

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Financial Review

Jump Into Earnings

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-04-21-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe DOW – 85 = 17,949 SPX – 3 = 2097 NAS + 19 = 5014 10 YR YLD + .02 = 1.92% OIL – 1.12 = 56.26 GOLD SILV This is one of the busiest weeks for earnings reports, so let’s jump in with both feet.   IBM delivered its 12th straight quarter of declining revenue, but they beat earnings expectations because they proved that even if they aren’t the masters of technology, they are masters of financial engineering; one way to boost earnings per share – reduce the shares outstanding with stock buybacks. At some point the strategy has a flaw, but that is for another day.   We’ve known that a stronger dollar would hurt US companies doing business overseas, but we rarely think about reversing that equation. The weaker euro boosted revenue at German business software maker SAP in the first three months of the year and drove operating profit up 15 percent. First-quarter revenue rose 22 percent to 4.5 billion euros, at the top of market forecasts. At constant exchange rates sales rose 10 percent.  First-quarter operating profit, excluding special items, rose to 1.06 billion euros ($1.13 billion), matching estimates. Excluding the effect of currencies, SAP’s operating profit dropped 2 percent.   Chip designer ARM Holdings supplies Apple’s iPhone. Arm said first quarter profits rose 24%, beating forecasts. Chief executive Simon Segars said: “As the world becomes more …

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