Financial Review

Feb. 19, 2019 Links

What we are reading: Walmart beats as online sales surge – Business Insider.  Online sales were strong. Does the Walton family earn more in a minute than Walmart workers do in a year? – Washington Post. True. Bernie Sanders to seek U.S. presidency again in 2020 – Reuters. Larry David for VP. House Dems to probe White House’s nuclear power efforts in Saudi Arabia – Axios. Deutsche Bank Reverses Pledge to Help Distressed Homeowners – Bloomberg. Dereg fever. Otherwise Rational People Still Betting Their Real Money On Steve Mnuchin Being Able To Reach A Trade Agreement With China – Dealbreaker. Believe it when it’s done. Space Force launch zooms closer to reality under President Trump’s directive – USA Today. Because if we have a Space Force, everything else will just fall into place. Exclusive: Fed’s Williams says new economic outlook necessary for rate hikes – Reuters. Rates on hold, tightening continues. Why Can’t Trump Build Anything? – New York Times. Infrastructure is dead.

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Financial Review

Buckle Up

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-15-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Stocks bounce. Brexit ministers resign. Fed monitors global growth. Oil signals slowdown. Mueller’s quiet time is over. NYT blasts Facebook. Earnings watch: Walmart, Nvidia, JC Penney, Nordstrom, Applied Materials, Sonos. GE’s bond problem. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-15-2018

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Financial Review

Time Out

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-24-218.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Stocks slip on concerns about trade wars, Rosenstein resignation/firing. Fed meets this week. Oil prices jump. Comcast to buy Sky. Sirius buys Pandora. Kors-Versace. Barrick buys Randgold. Sears near the end. Name changes. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-24-2018

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Financial Review

All Talk

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-16-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Dow has best day in months. China will talk about trade. Turkey continues meltdown. EM struggles. Walmart rules. Nordstrom racks a beat. JC Penney hardly worth a penny. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-16-2018

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Financial Review

In Other Words

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-20-2018.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:45 — 7.3MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Stocks drop. Weak bond sale. Staring down 3%. Watching the Fed. Walmart online disappoints. Amazon lurks. Albertsons buys (a moat) Rite Aid. Qualcomm sweetens NXP bid. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-20-2018

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Financial Review

And It’s Back

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-16-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Stocks bounce back. House passes their version of tax cuts, now it moves to the Senate. Walmart, Cisco, and P&G post big gains. Homebuilder confidence up. Fed heads consider how to fight the next recession, and how to protect financial privacy. Tesla’s mind blowing big rig. … Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-16-2017

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Financial Review

Barbarians at the Gate With Toothpaste

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-10-10-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…Dow record close. IMF won’t get fooled again. Tax reform version 3.0. EPA fights for whale oil. P&G proxy vote fails. Walmart battles Amazon, but profits before innovation. US & South Korea military hack. Deloitte hack is getting worse. NoCal’s worst wildfire. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 10-10-2017

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Financial Review

Good Luck

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-23-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Trump visits Phoenix, hilarity ensues. New home sales down. Lowe’s earnings miss. WPP miss. Google & Walmart v Amazon. Good luck. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-23-2017

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Financial Review

Toxic

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-17-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…All 3 indexes drop big. Barcelona attack. Trump fallout continues. The Cohn effect. Generals and senators. Walmart earnings. Alibaba better earnings. Mylan must pay. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-17-2017

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Financial Review

Black Hole Sun

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-05-18-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..The panic passes. Washington settles in for a long slog. Wall Street reassess risk. Brazil bribery probe. Walmart shows retailers still alive. Alibaba buy back. Happy B’day FB. Net neutrality dies.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 05-18-2017

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Financial Review

No Coffee

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-03-21-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Yield curve flattens. AHCA widely hated. Trying to close the deal. Markets overvalued. Banks take a hit. Current account deficit falls. Google can’t sell ads on hate sites. Walmart goes Silicon Valley. Apple sells cheap iPad, but don’t take it on a plane. Brit inflation leaps. Goldman Sachs plans to leave the City. Brit banks money laundering for Russia. Marriott adds rooms. Target remodels. Sears fades away. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 03-21-2017

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Financial Review

Again and Again

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-21-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:15 — 7.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..Walmart beats; Amazon counterpunches. Macy’s slips and sells RE. Home Depot beats and buys back. Verizon will buy Yahoo with a cut. Burger King buys Popeyes. Kraft won’t buy Unilever. Sprint-TMobile. International money transfers – there’s an app. Eurozone biz activity best in 6 years. HSBC tanks. BHP profit. China stops buying coal from North Korea. Waiting on the Fed. Oil prices move higher, as OPEC cuts production but US demand drops. Trump starts deportations. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-21-2017

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Financial Review

The Last Man on the Moon

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1A-01-17-2017.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 12:15 — 5.6MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS…..King Dollar gonna kill us all. Earnings season and weak forward guidance will be punished. Forget about soft Brexit. Xi to Davos. Deutsche Bank settles. BAT tobacco behemoth. Exxon buys Texas. Saudis ready to end cuts. GM announces jobs. Hyundai announces jobs. Walmart announces jobs. Lowe’s cuts. The last man on the moon. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-17-2017

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Financial Review

Probably a Preview

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-09-14-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSS  Edging lower. Monsanto/Bayer a big deal. Import prices fell. Census data on poverty, medical care, and inequality. Techies want real news. Autonomous shopping carts. Ford to Mexico. Uber minus Uber drivers. SpaceX minus a launch pad. Shipping minus customers. Apple’s back. Wells Fargo under investigation.   Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 09-14-2016

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Financial Review

New Ways to Hail a Taxi

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-18-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSStocks drift. Oil jumps. Jobless claims drop. AZ bad jobs numbers. Underwater mortgage update. Walmart gets bigger. Earnings confusion. US cancels private prison contracts. Harley emissions scam. Bankers still behaving badly. Autonomous Ubers and driverless flying buses. Seriously. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-18-2016

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Financial Review

We Can Be Patient

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-08-08-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSOil pops, stocks stall.  Fed waits. Walmart gets techie. Steinhoff gets Sleepy. Vail gets Blackcomb. TIAA gets Everbank. Delta suffers system outages. Appl has a new phone sans headphones. Samsung fights. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 08-08-2016

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Financial Review

Flip Flop Fedspeak

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-02-18-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-18-2016 DOW – 40 = 16,413 SPX – 8 = 1917 NAS – 46 = 4487 10 Y – .06 = 1.76% OIL – .12 = 30.54 GOLD + 22.30 = 1231.70 After spending 2015 calling for rate hikes St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Wednesday evening in a speech on monetary policy that it would be unwise for the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates given declining inflation expectations and recent equity market volatility. Bullard, who is a voting member of the Fed’s rate-setting committee this year, said he now feels key assumptions supporting higher rates have been undermined. Bullard’s big concern is inflation expectations, and inflation has been trending lower, and Bullard believes stock market expectations have a big impact on inflation. In contrast to Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen or Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, Bullard doesn’t think labor market conditions have much impact on inflation as the traditional “Phillips curve” suggests.   Today, San Francisco Fed President John Williams gave a speech in LA, where he said the economy “is, all in all, looking pretty good.” Williams said his views of the economy haven’t changed much from December: “When I look at my December forecast and compare it with my outlook for unemployment and core inflation today, there’s virtually no change” Williams said he was aware of potential risks facing the economy but …

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Financial Review

Been to the Mountaintop

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-01-15-2016.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 01-15-2016 DOW – 390 = 15,988 SPX – 41 = 1880 NAS – 126 = 4488 10 Y – .07 = 2.03% OIL – 1.52 = 29.68 GOLD + 10.30 = 1089.80   Let’s start with the good news: US stock and bond markets are closed Monday for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday.   For the day the Dow dropped 2.4%, the S&P 500 dropped 2.1%, and the Nasdaq lost 2.75%. And even though it was a volatile week, almost all of the damage for the week came in today’s session. The Dow Industrials did take out the September lows but not the August lows of 15,370. The Nasdaq composite knocked out the closing low from August but not the intra-day August low. The S&P 500 hit an intra-day low of 1857, dropping below the August 24th low of 1867. So we should wait for confirmation of a close below 1867 – at which point we have wiped out any reasonable support. The Russell 2000 small-cap index dropped as much as 3.5 percent to its lowest level since July 2013. The major S&P sectors all ended sharply lower. The energy sector dropped 2.87 percent as oil prices fell but the tech sector was the big loser, down 3.1%, with Intel down 9% following a weak earnings report after the close yesterday.   It’s a sea of red all …

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Financial Review

Inversion Dysfunction

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-23-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-23-2015 DOW – 31 = 17,792 SPX – 2 = 2086 NAS – 2 = 5102 10 YR YLD – .01 = 2.25% OIL + .09 = 41.99 GOLD – 8.50 = 1069.70 SILV – .04 = 14.25   Belgian authorities have extended a lockdown of Brussels for a fourth straight day after police raids searching for those behind last week’s Paris attacks failed to find a prime suspect. The Belgians say they have credible threats of imminent attacks against public gathering places like shopping malls and public transportation. The lockdown will see Brussels’ subway and many shops closed, as well as schools, offices, and mosques; although it is doubtful the terrorists are in mosques.   France’s economy slowed following the Nov. 13 terror attacks in Paris. However, that slowdown in the eurozone’s second-largest member wasn’t sharp enough to slow the Eurozone as a whole. Economic activity in the eurozone grew at the fastest pace since May 2011 in November, giving some optimism over the health of the region’s economy. Markit’s flash composite Purchasing Managers’ Index climbed to 54.4 from 53.9 last month, as a recovery continued to be led by the service sector. Growth meanwhile accelerated to a three-month high in Germany, where Markit’s flash composite PMI rose to 54.9 from 54.2, fueled by a big improvement in new business.   A reading of manufacturing sentiment in the US …

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Financial Review

Pick a Lane

http://media.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/p/content.blubrry.com/eatthebankers/SINCLAIR_NOE-SEG_1-11-17-2015.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:17 — 6.1MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | RSSFinancial Review by Sinclair Noe for 11-17-2015 DOW + 6 = 17,489 SPX – 2 = 2050 NAS + 1 = 4986 10 YR YLD – .01 = 2.26% OIL – .95 = 40.79 GOLD – 12.30 = 1070.80 SILV – .06 = 14.29   Global equity markets moved higher today, following the rally yesterday on Wall Street and brushed off concerns related to Friday’s terror attacks in Paris. In their final communique from a summit in Turkey, the leaders of the world’s largest economies stuck to a goal of lifting their collective output by an extra 2% by 2018, even though growth remains uneven and weaker than expected globally. G20 leaders also endorsed plans to address Syria’s refugee crisis, taxation, climate change, cyber security and inequality.   France launched another set of airstrikes on the ISIS stronghold of Raqqa in Syria early Tuesday as the country steps up its response to last week’s deadly attacks. The bombings follow a second night of home searches in France and Belgium to catch those responsible and linked to the killings. President Francois Hollande is now looking to expand his powers under France’s state-of-emergency statute and has called on the U.S. and Russia to form a “big unified coalition” to destroy ISIS.   Meanwhile, Russian officials said they had found evidence that the passenger jet that crashed in Egypt last month was downed by a bomb, the first time …

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